Vietnam VS Philippines
Vietnam and Philippines lock horns in Asia World Championship Qualification 2nd stage Group F round 5 clash at My Dinh National Stadium in Hanoi Thursday afternoon Beijing time. The stakes are, of course, high although none of the four countries in this group – Iraq, the best team of the four - and Indonesia being the other two – have a good chance of actually qualifying for the World Cup 2026.. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a clash of relatively low level by this competition's standards.. Vietnam currently occupy the 3rd place in this group. They have grabbed only three points so far. The visitors, on the other hand, have just points in their pocket but have been unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). There is, however, no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the stronger team here. They unarguably have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game. However, the key question here is: How much better are Vietnam than The Philippines..? Based on my in-depth sophisticated expert analysis definitely not as much better as the biggest bookies with the largest stake limits seem to believe! Indeed, the odds on the home win are around 1.35 which is way too low! With the expected lineups their chance of taking all three points is 61.50%. We will take the Philippines +1.5 goals handicap option with a 63.50% of winning once again betting on Asian football. The teams last locked at Rizal Memorial Stadium in Manila last November and Vietnam won as clear favourites – priced around 1.65 to win by the bookies. Yes, they were the better team on the pitch as a whole but not by a wide margin! They had 53% ball possession and recorded just two more goal attempts than the hosts – 9-7 to be precise. The Philippines, rather surprisingly, even recorded more shots off goal and corner kicks. I want to mention also the fact that The Philippines were not at their best in this game and can definitely improve - especially offensively.. They have scored only one goal in this group so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is significantly bigger! Vietnam have netted the ball only twice and simply lack individual skill and creativity in offense. Vietnam's offense is better than that of the visitors – mainly thanks to a more solid defensive structure.. They have allowed five goals – the visitors have conceded nine goals.
Vietnam are currently in 115th place in the FIFA Ranking.. This is too high though! The visitors, on the other hand, occupy the 141st place which is clearly too low 135-138th would be a more accurate ranking. In my World "power rating/ranking" I rate the teams in terms of their pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Vietnam have been abysmal recently and cannot be high in confidence at the moment. They have lost seven games in a row! Moreover, I also do not trust their head coach in terms of tactical skills – or as a leader. The Philippines' coach is not that great either though. I expect a pretty defensive and uneventful game here and the goal expectancy is lower than the bookies estimate. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 52.50%. The Philippines are often even a little too cautious away from home but luckily Vietnam's offense has looked lame – as mentioned before. Vietnam do not have a very good football culture – compared to say for example Japan and South Korea.. In their last game the stadium was not even close to sold out.. As a result the home advantage is not very high here.. In their last game Vietnam were simply terrible, losing to Indonesia 0-3 at home as pretty clear favourites! Yes, they had four more goal attempts but Indonesia recorded many more shots on target. Before this they suffered a 0-1 defeat in Indonesia, failing to record any shots on goal! The hosts had six. Most of Vietnam's attacks were slow and predictable – making it easy for the opponent to organize the defence.
The Philippines have been in decent form recently and have won twice, taken one draw and lost four times in their most recent seven games. In their last game they lost to Iraq as huge underdogs - priced close to 10.00 to win - at home 0-5. Yes, Iraq deserved to win but The Philippines had their chances too, recording a decent seven shots in goal. The final score is very misleading and probably affects the odds here.. Before this they lost in Iraq only 0-1 despite the hosts being priced around 1.03-1.05 to win by the bookies! Iraq definitely deserved to win but I need to mention that they recorded only five shots on goal. I liked the way the Filippinos defended – for almost the full 90 minutes. The hosts had an over 80% ball possession. The Philippines fought very hard and seemed to be really motivated the play for their country. They had just one goal attempt but still recorded 65 attacks – a good number! In round 2 they faced Indonesia at home and it was a 1-1 draw after a somewhat balanced game, Both teams had 10 goal attempts but they had one more shot on goal. Indonesia were priced around 1.80-1.90 to win so once again The Philippines were underrated on the betting market!
越南VS菲律宾
北京时间14日下午,越南队与菲律宾队在越南河内美定国家体育场进行了亚洲世锦赛预选赛第二阶段F组第5轮比赛。当然,赌注很高,尽管这个小组的四个国家——伊拉克是四个国家中最好的球队,印度尼西亚是另外两个——都没有很好的机会获得2026年世界杯的资格。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场相对较低水平的比赛。越南目前在这一组中排名第三。到目前为止,他们只拿到了3分。另一方面,客队口袋里只有积分,但在期望积分(xPTS)方面运气不佳。然而,毫无疑问,东道主在这里是更强大的球队。毫无疑问,他们在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势。然而,这里的关键问题是:越南比菲律宾好多少?根据我的深入复杂的专家分析,绝对没有最大的赌注限制的最大博彩公司所相信的那样好!事实上,主场获胜的赔率大约是1.35,这太低了!根据预期的阵容,他们拿到全部三分的几率是61.50%。我们将以63.50%的赔率再次投注亚洲足球,选择菲律宾+1.5个进球的障碍选项。两队上一次在马尼拉的黎萨尔纪念体育场交手是在去年11月,越南队以明显的夺冠热门胜出——博彩公司开出的赔率约为1.65。是的,他们在球场上整体表现更好,但差距并不大!他们有53%的控球率,并且仅仅比主队多两次射门——准确地说是9比7。令人惊讶的是,菲律宾队的射门和角球次数甚至更多。我还想说的是,菲律宾在这场比赛中没有达到最佳状态,他们肯定可以提高,尤其是在进攻端。到目前为止,他们在这个小组只进了一个球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)要大得多!越南队只有两次进球,而且在进攻端缺乏个人技术和创造力。越南的进攻比客队好,主要是因为他们的防守结构更稳固。他们丢了五球,客队丢了九球。
越南目前在国际足联排名第115位。不过这太高了!另一方面,游客排在第141位,显然太低了,更准确的排名是135-138位。在我的世界“力量评级/排名”中,我根据球队的纯粹等级和最好的首发11人来对他们进行评级。越南最近的情况非常糟糕,目前不可能有很高的信心。他们已经连输七场了!此外,我也不相信他们的主教练在战术技巧方面——或者作为一个领导者。菲律宾的教练也不是那么好。我希望这是一场非常防守和平静的比赛,期望进球比博彩公司估计的要低。总进球数少于2.5个的概率为52.50%。菲律宾人在客场常常有点过于谨慎,但幸运的是,越南的进攻看起来很蹩脚——就像之前提到的那样。与日本和韩国相比,越南没有很好的足球文化。在他们上一场比赛中,体育场的票差一点就卖光了。因此主场优势不是很高。在上一场比赛中,越南简直太糟糕了,主场0-3输给了印尼,他们显然是夺冠热门!是的,他们有四次进球尝试,但印度尼西亚的射门次数更多。在此之前,他们在印度尼西亚遭遇了一场0-1的惨败,一球未进!东道主有六个。越南的大多数进攻都是缓慢而可预测的,这使得对手很容易组织防守。
菲律宾最近状态不错,在最近的7场比赛中取得了2胜1平4负的成绩。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场0-5输给了伊拉克队,当时他们是一个巨大的失败者,他们的胜率接近10美元。是的,伊拉克应该获胜,但菲律宾也有机会,他们有7次射门。最终的比分非常具有误导性,可能会影响到这里的赔率。在此之前,他们在伊拉克只输了0-1,尽管博彩公司对东道主的赔率在1.03-1.05左右!伊拉克绝对配得上胜利,但我得提一下,他们只有5次射门。我喜欢菲律宾人防守的方式——几乎打满了90分钟。主队的控球率超过80%。菲律宾打得很努力,看起来真的
为他们的国家激发了这场戏。他们只有一次进球尝试,但仍然记录了65次进攻——一个不错的数字!在第二轮比赛中,他们在主场迎战印度尼西亚,双方战成1比1平局,双方都有10次射门机会,但他们都有一次射门机会。印尼的胜率在1.80-1.90左右,所以菲律宾在博彩市场上再次被低估了!