In my opinion Hiroshima has a really good chance to win this game.

Hiroshima is excellent team on the road. They didn't lost away match since September 2023. On the other hand, Tokyo failed to win in last 3 consecutive matches in front of their home crowd. In last home game they lost 0:1 against Gamba.

I can imagine here really big troubles for Tokyo in the back. Hiroshima have huge firepower - they scored 11 goals in last 4 matches. In last game 2:0 at home against Iwata so team confidence for sure is on the very high level. On the other hand, Tokyo is without consistency or stability in defense. Only one clean sheet in last 10 matches in all competitions. That happened against Sagan Tosu from relegation zone, but even in that game they had 1.01 expected goals conceded.

Hiroshima have available all top players like Mitsuta, Higashi, Nakano or Ohashi. On the other hand, Tokyo have depleted squad before this game. They are without key defender Nagatomo, first goalkeeper Nozawa, best scorer Araki, best player (according to the ratings) Bangunagande and best assistant Matsuki. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on hosts performance today.

In those circumstances I see excellent value on the away side.

在我看来，广岛很有可能赢得这场比赛。

广岛是一支出色的客场球队。自2023年9月以来，他们没有输过客场比赛。另一方面，东京在最近3场比赛中未能在主场取胜。在上一场主场比赛中，他们0:1输给了甘巴队。

我可以想象东京在后面会遇到很大的麻烦。广岛拥有强大的火力，他们在最近4场比赛中打进11球。在上一场主场2:0对阵岩田的比赛中，球队的信心肯定处于非常高的水平。另一方面，东京在防御方面缺乏一致性和稳定性。最近10场比赛中只有1场零封对手。这发生在对降级区的萨根托苏的比赛中，但即使在那场比赛中，他们也有1.01个预期失球。

广岛有像三田、东、中野和大桥这样的顶级球员。另一方面，东京在本场比赛前已经耗尽了阵容。他们没有核心后卫永友，第一门将野泽，最佳射手荒木，最佳球员(根据评分)班古纳甘德和最佳助理松木。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对东道主今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下，我看到了客场的巨大价值。