Breidablik VS Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik host Vikingur Reykjavik for this Besta Deild Karla round 14 battle at Kópavogsvöllur early on Friday morning Beijing time. However, in reality, both teams have played eight games so far. This is the first tier of Icelandic football. The level of this league is very low European standards. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of very high quality by this league's standards here. Vikingur the reigning champions of Iceland but are very often still overrated by the bookies. Last season they grabbed 66 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 59.66. They netted the ball 76 times but also allowed quite a lot of goals - 30 to be precise - in 27 matches.. Indeed, their defence is not all that solid, after all. At the moment they top the league table with 21 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS is "only" 16.33. They have scored 19 goals but have allowed on average of almost one goal per game. They are surprisingly vulnerable to fast counter attacks – this is something Breidablik are, in fact, very good at! Of course the hosts can also attack in many other ways as well! They have scored an impressive 21 goals so far. This is clearly the highest number in this league. They have conceded 11 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 8.32.
Breidablik currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings with 18 points to their account and have improved a lot from last season. Indeed, in 2023 they finished only in 4th place but were also unlucky in terms of xPTS. They have very good fans by Icelandic standards and I expect a good number of fans to be at Kópavogsvöllur cheering for their team. Facing a strong team is surely very motivating and exciting for both the fans and the Breidablik players! Last season Breidablik beat Vikingur in both games at Kópavogsvöllur. On the 25th of September 2023 Breidablik comfortably beat Vikingur 3-1 in front of very supportive fans. With the expected lineups and taking home advantage into account Breidablik deserve to be the favourites here. Most of the bookies disagree – offering both teams of around 2.50 to take all three points. Both teams have won four of their last five games and lost once. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the teams are more or less equal with a squad value of around three million euros. In their last game Vikingur beat Akranes 1-0 on the road as big favourites – priced around 1.50 to win. They were the better team on the pitch but failed to impress me. The hosts M. Vardic was sent off in the 55th minute when the score was still 0-0. The red card affected the game significantly. Before this Vikingur beat Vestri, a limited team, 4-1 away from home in their last game as huge favourites according to the bookies. Yes, they deserved to win but the final score flatters them! Indeed, the ball possession was 44-56% and the hosts recorded a relatively high 103 attacks.. Breidablik easily defeated Fram on the road 4-1 in their last game – proving that their offense is very dangerous. Before this they were not quite at their best but still defeated Stjarnan 2-1 at home. They deserved to win after recording many more goal attempts and shots on goal.
布雷达布里克VS雷克雅未克
北京时间周五凌晨,布雷达布利克主场迎战雷克雅未克,他们将在Kópavogsvöllur进行第14轮比赛。然而,在现实中,两队到目前为止已经打了8场比赛。这是冰岛足球的第一梯队。这个联赛的水平是很低的欧洲标准。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场按照联赛标准非常高质量的比赛。Vikingur是冰岛的卫冕冠军,但仍然经常被博彩公司高估。上赛季他们拿到了66分,但他们的预期得分(xPTS)“只有”59.66分。他们在27场比赛中打进76球,但也丢了很多球——准确地说是30个。事实上,他们的防御毕竟不是那么牢固。目前,他们以21分领跑积分榜,但他们的积分“只有”16.33分。他们进了19个球,但每场比赛平均只丢了一个球。令人惊讶的是,他们很容易受到快速反击的攻击——事实上,这是Breidablik非常擅长的!当然,宿主也可以用许多其他方式进行攻击!到目前为止,他们已经打进了令人印象深刻的21球。这显然是联盟中最高的数字。他们丢了11个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)只有8.32个。
布雷达布里克目前以18分排名第二,比上赛季有了很大的进步。事实上,在2023年,他们只获得了第四名,但在xPTS方面也很不走运。按照冰岛的标准,他们有非常好的球迷,我希望有很多球迷会在Kópavogsvöllur上为他们的球队加油。面对一支强队对球迷和布雷达布里克的球员来说都是非常鼓舞人心的!上个赛季,布雷达布里克在Kópavogsvöllur的两场比赛中都击败了维金古尔。2023年9月25日,布雷达布里克在非常支持的球迷面前以3-1轻松击败了维金古尔。考虑到预期的阵容和主场优势,布雷达布里克理应成为最受欢迎的球队。大多数的博彩公司不同意,给两队大约2.50分来获得全部三分。两队在最近的5场比赛中都取得了4胜1负。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,这两支球队的总身价都在300万欧元左右。在上一场比赛中,维金古尔队在客场1-0击败阿克拉内斯队,成为夺冠热门。他们是场上的强队,但没能打动我。主队瓦迪奇在第55分钟被红牌罚下,当时比分还是0-0。红牌对比赛影响很大。在此之前,根据博彩公司的说法,Vikingur在上一场比赛中以4比1的比分击败了Vestri,这是一支实力有限的球队。是的,他们配得上胜利,但是最后的比分使他们得意!事实上,控球率为44-56%,主队的进攻次数也相对较高,达到103次。布雷达布里克在上一场比赛中以4比1轻松击败了弗拉姆,这证明了他们的进攻非常危险。在此之前,他们并没有处于最佳状态,但仍然在主场2-1击败了斯特亚南。他们理应赢得比赛,因为他们有更多的进球尝试和射门。