Team news and prediction 解放者杯 帕梅拉斯VS圣洛伦索
2024-05-30

Milos

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Palmeiras, three-time winners of the competition, secured first place in Group F with a 2-1 victory over Independiente del Valle. A 3-2 home victory against Liverpool has positioned the Argentines well to advance, currently three points ahead of both Liverpool and Independiente del Valle for second place.

Seeing Palmeiras dominate the group phase of this tournament is a familiar sight. The Sao Paulo club will finish top of their group for the eighth consecutive time, having won 17 of their previous 18 group contests. A victory or draw on Thursday would mark the second time in the past three editions that Abel Ferreira's men finish the Libertadores group stage unbeaten. Palestra have won their last nine group fixtures at Allianz Parque by a combined margin of 27 goals (34-7).

This year, Verdao has had to come from behind more frequently, conceding the opening goal on three occasions but still claiming seven points. Their only previous home fixture against San Lorenzo in the Copa Libertadores yielded a 1-0 victory for Palmeiras, who have only lost one group game at Allianz Parque against an Argentine opponent in this competition (4-3 against Defensa y Justicia in 2021).

San Lorenzo, under interim co-coaches Leandro Romagnoli and Gonzalo Prosperi, have shown resilience. After claiming just a single point from their first three group contests, they have the chance to win three successive matches in this phase for the first time since 2019. Since the beginning of May, they have suffered just one defeat (1-0 versus Deportivo Riestra). A loss in this match might still see their Libertadores journey continue, depending on the outcome of Liverpool's match, given the goal differentials.

Advancing to the knockout stage would be San Lorenzo's first since 2019. However, they have not won a Libertadores group fixture away from home since 2017 and have failed to score in their last five encounters as visitors in this stage of the competition.

For Palmeiras, Bruno Rodrigues might miss out due to a knee injury, while Mayke, Jose Manuel Lopez, and Endrick are all eligible to play despite recent yellow card suspensions in the Brasileiro Serie A. Abel Ferreira made three changes to his starting lineup from matchday four to five, with Richard Rios, Ze Rafael, and Lopez replacing Anibal Moreno, Gabriel Menino, and Raphael Veiga. Rios and captain Gustavo Gomez scored in their previous Libertadores match, marking their first and second goals in the tournament, respectively.

San Lorenzo will be without Facundo Altamirano due to a hamstring strain, while Jhohan Romana is available after serving a suspension. Gonzalo Lujan took Romana's place in the starting eleven on matchday five, with Gaston Gomez and Diego Herazo also coming in for Altamirano and Adam Bareiro. Goals from Ivan Leguizamon, Alexis Cuello, and Gaston Campi secured a narrow victory on matchday five.

San Lorenzo might adopt a defensive approach to avoid defeat, which could play into Palmeiras's hands. Given Palmeiras's form and home advantage, they are likely to secure a comfortable victory.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

三次夺冠的帕尔梅拉斯队以2-1战胜独立队,获得F组第一名。阿根廷主场3-2战胜利物浦,使阿根廷人很有可能出线,目前他们以3分的优势领先第二名的利物浦和德尔瓦莱独立队。

看到帕尔梅拉斯队在小组赛中占据主导地位是一个熟悉的景象。这支圣保罗俱乐部将连续第8次以小组第一的身份出线,此前他们在18场小组赛中赢了17场。周四的胜利或平局将标志着阿贝尔费雷拉的球队在过去的三届比赛中第二次以不败的成绩结束解放者队的小组赛。帕莱斯特拉在安联公园球场以27球(34-7)的总比分赢得了他们最近9场小组赛。

今年,维尔道不得不更频繁地后来居上,三次失球,但仍然得到7分。他们之前在解放者杯的唯一一场主场对阵圣洛伦佐的比赛中,帕尔梅拉斯以1-0的比分获胜,他们在安联公园球场只输过一场阿根廷对手的比赛(2021年4-3对阵正义防御队)。

在临时联合教练莱安德罗·罗马诺里和冈萨洛·普洛斯彼里的带领下,圣洛伦佐表现出了韧性。在前三场小组赛中只拿到一分后,他们有机会自2019年以来首次在该阶段取得三连胜。自五月初以来,他们只遭遇了一场失利(0 - 1输给拉科鲁尼亚)。如果本场比赛失利,他们的解放者之旅仍将继续,这取决于与利物浦的比赛结果,考虑到净胜球的差距。

这将是圣洛伦佐自2019年以来首次进入淘汰赛阶段。然而,自2017年以来,他们还没有在客场赢得过解放者队的一场小组赛,并且在本阶段的比赛中,他们在最近五场客场比赛中都没有进球。

对于帕尔梅拉斯来说,布鲁诺·罗德里格斯可能会因为膝盖受伤而缺席比赛,而梅克、何塞·曼努埃尔·洛佩斯和恩德里克虽然最近在巴西甲级联赛中被黄牌禁赛,但都有资格参加比赛。埃贝尔·费雷拉从比赛日的第4天到第5天对首发阵容进行了三次调整,理查德·里奥斯、泽·拉斐尔和洛佩兹取代了莫雷诺、梅尼诺和维加。里奥斯和队长古斯塔沃·戈麦斯在上一场解放者队的比赛中分别进球,这是他们在本届杯赛中的第一个和第二个进球。

由于腿筋拉伤,圣洛伦佐将失去法昆多·阿尔塔米拉诺,而约翰·罗马纳将在停赛后复出。在第五场比赛中,卢扬取代了罗马纳的位置,加斯顿·戈麦斯和迭戈·赫拉佐也代替了阿尔塔米拉诺和亚当·巴雷罗。莱吉萨蒙、奎洛和坎皮的进球确保了第五场比赛的险胜。

圣洛伦索可能会采取防守的方式来避免失败,这可能会对帕尔梅拉斯有利。考虑到帕尔梅拉斯的状态和主场优势,他们很可能获得一场轻松的胜利。

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