Atletico Tucuman VS CA Platense

Atletico Tucuman welcome Platense for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 3 battle at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Argentinian football. The level of this league is pretty high by global standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of lower than mediocre level by the league's standards here. However, we have a very promising betting opportunity to increase the good streak of 4/5 last picks won betting on this league. As this is only the 3rd round we have to take a look at the Copa de la Liga Profesional results. This competition came to an end in April. The teams played in different groups. Tucuman were abysmal in this competition, finishing in 13th place in Group A where a total of 14 clubs played. Tucuman scored a pathetic eight goals – the lowest number in this group! Their number of expected goals (xG) was a little bigger though. Moreover, their defence was not solid at all – they conceded 23 goals. Their defenders made too many silly mistakes, their defensive structure was poor and their defenders were not active enough in defending. Yes, they can improve but the bookies give this factor way too much emphasis here! There have been some rumours of their team spirit being bad. I also do not trust their coach in terms of either tactical skills or as a leader. The biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers have made yet another mistake - offering odds of only around 2.00 on the home win at the time of posting. This is too low! With the expected lineups  -  even with the moderate home advantage -  Tucuman are only quite narrow favourites here – based on my sophisticated expert analysis. The Platense +0.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here with a 60% chance of winning. Odds of 1.86 are widely available

Platense played at a decent level in Group B - taking 9th place in the end. They took a total of 18 points. Their offense lacked – and still lacks – some individual skill and creativity to seriously challenge for a top-6 place. Indeed, they scored 10 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) was still 12.98 and will surely score more than one game per game on average in Liga Profesional! However, away from home they are usually pretty defensive. However, they can be very dangerous on fast counter attacks.. The goal expectancy here is very low but the bookies agree with me on that. No, Platense do not have the "biggest names in defence" but their defensive structure is fine. They conceded only 14 goals – just one more than Defensa Y Justicia who ended up in 3rd place. Tucuman have lost three of their last four games. In their last game they were somewhat disappointing - losing to Gimnasia L.P 1-2 as favourites on the betting market. It was a Copa Argentina game at a neutral location. In round 2 they had their chances but lost to Talleres Cordoba 0-2 on the road. The hosts, however, played below their normal level in this match. Platense, on the other hand, have lost only one of their last four games. In their most recent match they played well at home against Independiente but no goals were scored. Platense were priced around 3.40 to win at the time of kickoff but were the better team! Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts (16-4), shots on goal, shots off goal (6-0), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They defended in a very organized way – allowing the visitors only 0.29 in xG! Platense's number was 1.13. Before this they lost to Newells Old Boys 0-2 away from home but recorded more shots off goal, corner kicks (6-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. They were priced around 4.50 to win by the bookies but would have deserved a point. These games are yet another example of the bookies undervaluing this Platense!

图库曼竞技VS普拉坦塞CA

北京时间周二凌晨，阿根廷甲级联赛第三轮，图库曼竞技将在费耶罗纪念球场迎来与普拉塔塞的比赛。这是阿根廷足球的最高水平。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当高。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者可以期待一场低于中等水平的比赛。然而，我们有一个非常有希望的投注机会，以增加良好的连胜4/5的最后选择赢得投注这个联赛。由于这只是第三轮比赛，我们不得不关注一下西甲联赛的结果。比赛于4月结束。这些球队在不同的小组比赛。图库曼在本次比赛中表现糟糕，在A组14支球队中排名第13。图库曼只进了可怜的8球，是小组中最少的!不过他们的预期目标(xG)要大一些。此外，他们的防守一点也不稳固——他们丢了23个球。他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误，他们的防守结构很差，他们的后卫防守不够积极。是的，他们可以提高，但是博彩公司在这里太强调这个因素了!有传言说他们的团队精神很差。我也不相信他们的教练，无论是战术技巧还是领导能力。那些接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司又犯了一个错误——在投注时，主场获胜的赔率仅为2.00左右。这太低了!根据我老练的专家分析，在预期的阵容中——即使有适度的主场优势——图库曼在这里也只是很小的热门。普拉塔塞+0.5个进球障碍选项显然是明智的选择，有60%的获胜机会。1.86的赔率是很普遍的

普拉塔塞在B组表现不错，最终获得了第9名。他们一共得了18分。他们的进攻缺乏——而且仍然缺乏——一些个人技术和创造力来挑战前六的位置。的确，他们打进了10球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然是12.98，在西甲联赛中，他们的平均每场进球肯定会超过1球!然而，在远离家乡的地方，他们通常都很有防御性。然而，他们在快速反击时是非常危险的。这里的进球预期非常低，但博彩公司同意我的看法。不，普拉蒂塞没有“防守大牌”，但他们的防守结构很好。他们只丢了14个球，只比排在第三位的Justicia多一个。图库曼队最近四场比赛输了三场。在上一场比赛中，他们的表现有些令人失望——在博彩市场上以1比2输给了夺冠热门Gimnasia l.p.。这是一场阿根廷杯的比赛，场地是中立的。在第二轮比赛中，他们有机会，但在客场0-2不敌塔列雷斯科尔多瓦。然而，东道主在这场比赛中的表现低于他们的正常水平。另一方面，普拉塔塞在过去的四场比赛中只输了一场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场对阵独立队的比赛中表现出色，但没有进球。在开球时，普拉塔塞的胜率约为3.40，但他们是更好的球队!事实上，他们的进球次数(16-4)、射正、射偏(6-0)、角球、进攻和危险进攻的记录要多得多。他们以一种非常有组织的方式防守——在xG中只给了客队0.29分!普拉登斯的数字是1.13。在此之前，他们在客场0-2不敌纽厄尔斯老男孩队，但他们的射门、角球(6-1)、进攻和危险进攻都更多。博彩公司给他们开出的胜率约为4.50，但他们理应得到1分。这些比赛是另一个赌徒低估普拉登斯的例子!