Crucial game for the Europa League and I see Real Sociedad favorite here. However their current 7th position isn’t a bad deal for any of both teams, as they’ll play in Europe anyway. The difference is playing in the UEL or the Conference League
Betis have had poor performances lately, with a narrow win against bottom and worst team in the league Almeria (3:2) and a crazy draw in the midweek against Las Palmas (2:2). In both games they showed the same: fragility in defense, lack of pace, and fatigue.
Betis looks exhausted in this last fixtures of the league, and it’s due to the huge amount of injuries they have had during the season, the large amount of games played (Cup + UEL), and the fact that now with lot of games in a short period of time, they also have many injures so can’t make rotations or give a rest to their key players.
For this fixture they’ll miss Pezzella, Guido, Chimy Avila, Bakambu, Bartra and Isco. Some of them are long term absences, but others like Isco or Guido suffered an injury in their last game against Las Palmas. Ruibal is also suspended but it isn’t a bad notice because he has been performing terribly lately.
Between those injuries, Isco and Guido are key players in the team without replacement. Bakambu is the starter striker and Pezzella is the main CB. His replacement Bartra has been injured the whole season as well.
Their last game will be away against Real Madrid, which means that they need to win this fixture if they want to have chances for the TOP6, a position they lost this week due to their draw against Las Palmas and Real Sociedad’s victory.
Real Sociedad isn’t either in their best moment, but I’m seeing some small lights of improvement and hopes. They did what they had to do, winning Valencia in the midweek. Now they depend on themselves to secure the 6th position, starting for this fixture and finishing the league with a home game against Atletico, where they should be able to achieve more points than Betis at Santiago Bernabeu.
Real Sociedad have had the same problem as Betis: many injuries, fatigue, lot of matches from different competitions… However I believe they managed much better this midweek round with the rotations, giving a rest to their key players and making many changes in the lineups.
They still have some injuries like Zubimendi or Zubeldia, but have good replacements and their best players (Kubo, Merino, Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal, Le Normand…) are available.
Furthermore, they are a difficult team to beat, as only top teams like Real Madrid or Barcelona managed to beat them in their last 9 games. They lost many points against easy rivals with draws, but aren’t an easy team to beat.
I believe that Real Sociedad will try to control the game and put pace in the field, where they have a clear advantage. For me this is a very equal game but for Betis a draw or a defeat is almost the same, so they’ll have to take more risks and leave more spaces, which could benefit Real Sociedad.
这是欧联杯的关键一场比赛,我认为皇家社会很喜欢这场比赛。然而,他们目前的第七名对两支球队来说都不是坏事,因为他们无论如何都会在欧洲比赛。不同的是在UEL还是联盟打球
贝蒂斯最近的表现不佳,先是以3:2的比分险胜联赛排名垫底的球队阿尔梅里亚,然后在周中以2:2的比分逼平拉斯帕尔马斯。在这两场比赛中,他们都表现出了同样的特点:防守脆弱、节奏缓慢、疲劳。
在联赛的最后一场比赛中,贝蒂斯看起来很疲惫,这是由于他们在赛季中遭受了大量的伤病,打了大量的比赛(杯赛+ UEL),而且现在在短时间内有很多比赛,他们也有很多伤病,所以他们无法轮换或让他们的关键球员休息。
在这场比赛中,他们将失去佩塞拉、吉多、奇米·阿维拉、巴坎布、巴特拉和伊斯科。他们中的一些人是长期缺阵的,但是伊斯科和圭多在上一场对拉斯帕尔马斯的比赛中受伤。鲁巴尔也被禁赛了,但这并不是一个坏消息,因为他最近的表现非常糟糕。
在这些伤病中,伊斯科和圭多是球队中不可替代的关键球员。巴坎布是首发前锋,佩泽拉是主要的后腰。他的替代者巴尔特拉整个赛季都在受伤。
他们的最后一场比赛将是客场对阵皇家马德里,这意味着如果他们想有机会进入前6名,他们需要赢得这场比赛。本周,由于战平拉斯帕尔马斯和皇家社会的胜利,他们失去了前6名的位置。
皇家社会也不是在他们最好的时刻,但我看到了一些改进和希望的小光。他们做了他们必须做的,在周中赢得了瓦伦西亚。现在他们依靠自己来确保第6的位置,从这场比赛开始,然后在联赛结束时主场对阵马竞,他们应该能够在圣地亚哥伯纳乌比贝蒂斯获得更多的积分。
皇家社会也有和贝蒂斯一样的问题:很多伤病,疲劳,来自不同比赛的比赛……但是我相信他们在周中轮换的时候做得更好,让他们的关键球员得到了休息,并且在阵容上做了很多改变。
他们仍然有一些伤员,比如祖比门迪和祖贝尔迪亚,但他们有很好的替补,他们最好的球员(久博、美利诺、巴雷内西亚、奥亚扎巴尔、勒诺曼德……)都可以上场。
此外,他们是一支很难被击败的球队,因为在过去的9场比赛中,只有皇马或巴塞罗那这样的顶级球队能够击败他们。他们在与轻松的对手打成平局时丢了很多分,但他们不是一支容易被击败的球队。
我相信皇家社会会努力控制比赛,并在他们有明显优势的地方加快节奏。对我来说,这是一场势均力敌的比赛,但对贝蒂斯来说,平局或失败几乎是一样的,所以他们必须冒更大的风险,腾出更多的空间,这可能对皇家社会有利。