On Sunday night, 5 games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and one of them will be between Roma and Genoa. After 36 games, Roma has 17 wins, 9 draws, 10 losses, 60 points and 6th place while Genoa has 11 wins, 13 draws, 12 losses, 46 points and 11th place. In this game, I predict Roma's win.
Roma hasn't played very well in the last couple of weeks as they have 3 draws and 2 losses during the last 5 games. They lost a crucial game to Atalanta as both teams are fighting for the last place in the Champions League. Since the end of April, Roma's opponents have been very tough: Juventus, Bayer (twice), Napoli and Atalanta. Despite previous poor performances, the team has been very good at home with 11 wins and 4 draws in 18 games, a total of 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home, Roma has generated an xG of 1.35 while the xGA is 1.10.
Genoa has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games but the team isn't competing for anything in the last 2 rounds. Genoa has drawn the last two round games (against Milan and Fiorentina). While the team scored 3 goals against Milan, the opponents had a much better xG. The team hasn't performed very well on the road as they have just 4 wins and 7 draws in 18 road games, with a total of 18 goals scored and 12 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 0.82 on the road while the xGA is 1.48.
Roma can still get the Champions League place but they need to win. In the last round of the season, Roma is playing against Empoli so getting 6 points isn't impossible. Atalanta has a very packed schedule because they have to play 3 rounds in the Serie A until June 2nd and they have the Europa League final on May 22nd. I expect Roma to be very focused and get 3 points in this game.
周日晚上,意甲将进行5场比赛,其中一场是罗马对热那亚。36场比赛后,罗马取得17胜9平10负60分排名第6,热那亚取得11胜13平12负46分排名第11。在这场比赛中,我预测罗马会赢。
罗马最近几周踢得不太好,他们最近5场比赛3平2负。他们在一场关键的比赛中输给了亚特兰大,两支球队都在争夺冠军联赛的最后一个席位。自四月底以来,罗马的对手都很强硬:尤文图斯,拜耳(两次),那不勒斯和亚特兰大。尽管此前表现不佳,但这支球队在主场的表现非常出色,在18场比赛中取得了11胜4平的成绩,总共进了37球,丢了19球。在主场,罗马的xG值为1.35,xGA值为1.10。
热那亚在最近的3场比赛中取得了2胜1平的成绩,但是球队在最近的2轮比赛中并没有争夺任何东西。热那亚在最近两轮比赛中平局(分别对阵米兰和佛罗伦萨)。虽然球队在对米兰的比赛中进了3个球,但对手的战术表现要好得多。球队在客场表现不佳,18场客场比赛仅取得4胜7平,进18球失12球。在客场比赛中,xG为0.82,xGA为1.48。
罗马仍然可以获得欧冠席位,但他们需要赢球。在本赛季的最后一轮,罗马将对阵恩波利,所以拿到6分不是不可能的。亚特兰大队的赛程排得很满,因为他们在6月2日之前要打3轮意甲比赛,5月22日还要参加欧联杯决赛。我希望罗马能非常专注,在这场比赛中拿到3分。