Fortuna Dusseldorf VS 1. FC Magdeburg

Dusseldorf welcome Magdeburg for this German 2. Bundesliga round 34 clash at Merkur Spiel-Arena late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the last round of 2, Bundesliga. This is the second-best 2. tier in the world, after the English Championship. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. However, we have won an impressive five picks in a row betting on this league and have yet another very promising match here – betting-wise I mean. I expect a rather offensive and relaxed game here. The goal expectancy is a little higher than the bookie estimate. Neither team have anything left to play in terms of promotion or relegation. Players are also expected to be avoiding injuries and possibly to be slightly more selfish - going for goal rather than passing the ball if they have a promising scoring chance...  I would not be at all surprised to see Magdeburg's manager rotate his squad – perhaps even heavily here. As for Dusseldorf I believe their head coach D. Thioune will field at least close to the best eleven as they have two tough games coming up against the third-last Bundesliga team. The winner will play in the Bundesliga next season. There is a pretty long time until the 1st leg so remaining match fit and high in confidence must be very important.. Unnecessary risks will surely be avoided though and if the hosts are in a clear lead in the second half Thioune will surely "save" / take the key players off the pitch, offering some younger players a chance to shine! Let's keep in mind that Dusseldorf are a big team and have a pretty deep squad for this level. Indeed, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the bigger team here – by a wide margin. Their squad is valued at around 37 million euros. The Magdeburg players, on the other hand, have an estimated market value of some 17 million euros – this is a little too high in my expert opinion. In Germany – and in many other big football countries, for example England - doing well in the very last home is widely considered very important! In my over 23 years of professional football betting I have detected that the bookmakers and recreational bettors regularly fail to give this factor about emphasis! We will take advantage of this and place a bet on the home win. Odds of around 1.85-1.90 are widely available on the betting market at the time of posting. In front of their loud and quite demanding fans Dusseldorf have a 59% chance of sending the visitors home empty-handed.

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the bigger team here – by a very large margin. Indeed, the Dusseldorf squad is valued at some 38 million euros. The Magdeburg players, on the other hand, have an estimated market value of some 17 million. Dusseldorf were much better than Magdeburg last season already, finishing in 4th place. The visitors ended up in 11th place. Moreover, Dusseldorf have won four last games between these two teams. The teams last locked horns last December and the visitors, Dusseldorf, took a 3-2 win after generating a little more in expected goals (xG). The visitors cannot match Dusseldorf in any area of the game. Indeed, the hosts have scored a whopping 69 goals in this league so far. This is clearly the highest number in the 2. Bundesliga. The top-2 teams, St. Pauli and Holstein Kiel have scored 6o and 63 goals. Magdeburg have netted the ball only 44 goals - 10 goals less than a disappointing team, Kaiserslautern who are currently in 15th place in this league with a total of 18 clubs. Their offense lacks speed, creativity, and individual skill to challenge for a top-10 place in this league. Their defence is mediocre – they have allowed 51 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 54.45. The host defence can be vulnerable under very intense and well-structured pressing but Magdeburg are not expected to be capable of doing this.. Dusseldorf will finish in 3rd place but are in 2nd place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. Magdeburg, on the other hand, are in 14th place in this rating.

Dusseldorf have won all of their last five competitive games at home. Moreover, they have won four of these games by a margin of more than one goal. Dusseldorf have not lost any of their last seven games, winning 5/7. In their last game they faced Holstein Kiel on the road and it was a 1-1 draw. However, Dusseldorf recorded many more goal attempts (19-8), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (13-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks – 59-26. Moreover, they generated much more than the hosts in xG – 2.54-1.33 to be precise. Before this they very easily beat Nurnberg 3-1 at home. Dusseldorf recorded many more goal attempts (28-12), shots on goal (10-4), shots off target, total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 3.43-1.14. Magdeburg have won only one of their last 11 games and many of their players have looked a bit lazy on the pitch at times recently.. They are now finally safe -  also mathematically -  and I would not be surprised if some of their players were already thinking of the upcoming summer holiday.. By saying this I do not, of course, imply that they would deliberately lose or anything like that. In their last game they faced Greuther Furth at home as clear favourites, priced around 2.05 to win on the betting market but it was a lame performance. Magdeburg recorded only two shots on goal. The visitors generated 1.67 in xG – the hosts' number was only 0.44. Before this they were very disappointing, losing to Kaiserslautern 1-4 on the road. The hosts generated 2.87 in xG – Magdeburg managed only 0.65!

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杜塞尔多夫VS . 1FC马格德堡

杜塞尔多夫欢迎马格德堡参加这次德国2。北京时间周日晚，德甲第34轮比赛将在默克斯皮尔竞技场举行。这是德甲第二轮的最后一轮。这是第二好的。排名世界第一，仅次于英格兰联赛。足球迷和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。然而，我们已经在这个联赛中连续赢得了令人印象深刻的五次选择，并且在这里还有另一场非常有希望的比赛-我的意思是博彩方面。我认为这将是一场相当有攻击性和轻松的比赛。预期进球略高于博彩公司的估计。这两支球队都没有晋级或降级的机会。球员们也被期望避免受伤，可能会稍微自私一点——如果他们有一个很有希望得分的机会，他们会去进球而不是传球……如果看到马格德堡的主教练轮换阵容，我一点也不会感到惊讶——也许在这里会更频繁。至于杜塞尔多夫，我相信他们的主教练D. Thioune将派出至少接近最好的11人，因为他们有两场艰难的比赛要面对德甲倒数第三的球队。获胜者将在下赛季参加德甲联赛。距离首回合还有很长一段时间，所以保持比赛状态和高度的信心是非常重要的。不过，不必要的风险肯定会避免，如果东道主在下半场明显领先，蒂翁肯定会“拯救”/让关键球员离开球场，给一些年轻球员一个发光的机会!让我们记住，杜塞尔多夫是一支强大的球队，在这个级别的比赛中拥有相当强大的阵容。事实上，根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，东道主在这里是一支更大的球队，而且差距很大。这支球队的身价约为3700万欧元。另一方面，马格德堡球员的市场价值估计在1700万欧元左右，这在我的专家看来有点太高了。在德国——以及许多其他足球大国，比如英格兰——在最后一个主场取得好成绩被普遍认为是非常重要的!在我超过23年的职业足球投注中，我发现博彩公司和娱乐投注者经常不重视这个因素!我们将利用这一点，押注主场获胜。在投注时，投注市场上的赔率约为1.85-1.90。杜塞尔多夫有59%的机会在球迷面前让他们空手而归。

根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，东道主在这里是一支更大的球队，而且差距很大。事实上，杜塞尔多夫队的身价约为3800万欧元。另一方面，马格德堡球员的市场价值估计约为1700万欧元。杜塞尔多夫上赛季已经比马格德堡强多了，排在第四位。客队最终获得第11名。此外，杜塞尔多夫在这两支球队之间的最后四场比赛中取得了胜利。两队上一次交锋是在去年12月，客队杜塞尔多夫(Dusseldorf)在创造了更多的预期进球(xG)后以3比2取胜。客队在比赛的任何方面都无法与杜塞尔多夫匹敌。事实上，到目前为止，东道主已经在联赛中打进了69个进球。这显然是2中最大的数。德甲。排名前两的球队圣保利和荷尔斯泰因基尔分别打入60球和63球。马格德堡只进了44球，比令人失望的凯泽斯劳滕少了10球，凯泽斯劳滕目前在联赛中排名第15位，共有18家俱乐部。他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和个人技术来挑战联盟前十的位置。他们的防守很平庸——他们丢了51个球，但是他们的预期失球数(xGA)是54.45。东道主的防线在非常密集和结构良好的压迫下可能会很脆弱，但马格德堡预计不会有能力做到这一点。杜塞尔多夫将获得第三名，但在我的电力评级中排名第二。这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级，他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。另一方面，马格德堡在这一排名中排名第14位。

杜塞尔多夫在最近的五场主场比赛中取得了全胜。此外，他们在这些比赛中赢得了四场超过一球的胜利。杜塞尔多夫最近7场比赛没有输过一场，5胜7负。在上一场比赛中，他们客场与荷尔斯泰因基尔队打成1-1平。然而，杜塞尔多夫在比赛中打进了更多的进球

射门次数(19胜8负)、射正、射偏、角球次数(13胜2负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(59胜26负)。而且，准确地说，它们比xG - 2.54-1.33中的宿主产生的更多。在此之前，他们在主场3-1轻松击败纽伦堡。杜塞尔多夫记录了更多的进球次数(28胜12负)、射正(10胜4负)、射偏、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。xG值为3.43 ~ 1.14。马格德堡在最近的11场比赛中只赢了一场，他们的许多球员最近在球场上看起来有点懒散。他们现在终于安全了——在数学上也是如此——如果他们的一些球员已经在考虑即将到来的暑假，我不会感到惊讶。当然，我这么说并不是暗示他们会故意输掉比赛或类似的事情。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场对阵格鲁瑟·福特，他们显然是夺冠热门，在博彩市场上的胜率约为2.05，但表现不佳。马格德堡只有2次射正。访问者在xG中产生了1.67，而东道主的数字只有0.44。在此之前，他们非常令人失望，在客场1-4输给了凯泽斯劳滕。东道主在本届世界杯上产生了2.87个进球，而马格德堡只产生了0.65个!