Austin FC VS Houston Dynamo

Austin welcome Houston Dynamo for this MLS battle at Q2 Stadium Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is mediocre by global standards. However, football in the USA has been on the rise in recent years. The level of this league, where teams from the USA and Canada play, has risen during the past 5-10. With the arrival of one the best players in the history of football, Leo Messi, and players like Luis Suarez and Busquets football fans and the bookies alike follow this league more closely than some years ago. However, the bookies do still make quite a few mistakes in this league. We have won seven of the last eight picks betting on this league! My fans and I have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here but I expect a match of somewhat average level here. Houston have played 11 games and the hosts 12 matches so far. Both teams play in the Western Conference. Austin have taken 16 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – only 13.21 to be precise. Last season they were pretty poor, finishing in 12th place in this conference. They took only 39 points. Houston were much better, ending up in 4th place with a fine 51 points. Not that much has, after all, changed from last season. I would also like to mention that Austin do not have very good fans by the MLS standards.. Austin have netted the ball 15 times in MLS this season and their offense has been a little better as a whole than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 13.24. Their offense lacks speed, creativity and individual skill to seriously challenge for a top-6 position. They have conceded 15 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xG) is 16.78.

Houston have not been quite at their best this season yet, not denying this. However, they can improve. They should attack faster – denying the opponent the chance to organize the defence.. They have a decent 17 points in their pocket and their number of xPTS is a bit bigger. They have scored 11 goals but their number of xG is 14.45. Their defence has no obvious weaknesses – they have allowed only 11 goals which is the lowest number in this league. They do not have the very best defenders in the league on paper but defend very well as a team. We should give their coach a lot of credit for this! In their last game they beat Sporting Kansas City 2-1 on the road as solid underdogs – priced around 3.30 to win on the betting market. However, they generated 1.55 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.68. Before this they lost to Detroit 3-4 after penalties at home in the US Open Cup. However, they would have deserved a win as they had 64% ball possession and recorded a whopping 30 goal attempts! They also recorded many more shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (14-1) total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this it was a goalless draw at home against St. Louis but Houston had 63% ball possession and recorded an impressive 22 goal attempts! They also recorded many more shots on goal (9-3) shots off target, total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as one more dangerous attack. Austin were okay as a whole in their last game but lost to Dallas 1-2 in their last match. Before this they were, however, lucky to get a point through a 0-0 draw against Vancouver on the road. The hosts had 62% ball possession and recorded 22 goal attempts! Auston managed only four! Vancouver also recorded many more shots on goal (7-1), shots off target, corner kicks (10-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 75-22. On the 27th of April they defeated Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 at home but the final score is misleading! Galaxy had 54% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off target, corner kicks (10-2) total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 85-31. The biggest bookies see the hosts as favourites here – offering them odds of only around 2.55 to send to visitors home empty-handed. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis this is incorrect. The Houston +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here!

奥斯汀FC VS休斯顿迪纳摩

北京时间周四上午，奥斯丁将在Q2体育场迎来休斯顿迪纳摩队的这场大联盟之战。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平是中等的。然而，近年来，美国的足球一直在上升。这个由来自美国和加拿大的球队参加的联赛的水平在过去的5-10年里有所提高。随着足球历史上最好的球员之一梅西的到来，以及像路易斯·苏亚雷斯和布斯克茨这样的球员，足球迷和博彩公司都比几年前更关注这个联赛。然而，博彩公司在这个联赛中仍然犯了不少错误。我们在过去的8次选秀中赢了7次!我的球迷和我还有另一个赚钱的赌博机会，但我希望这是一场中等水平的比赛。到目前为止，休斯顿已经打了11场比赛，东道主打了12场比赛。这两支球队都在西部联盟比赛。到目前为止，奥斯汀已经拿到了16分，但他们的预期分数(xPTS)更低，准确地说只有13.21分。上个赛季他们的表现很差，只排在东部第12位。他们只拿了39分。火箭则好得多，以51分的好成绩排在第四。毕竟，与上个赛季相比，并没有太大的变化。我还想提一下，按照大联盟的标准，奥斯汀没有很好的球迷。奥斯丁本赛季在MLS有15次进球，他们的进攻整体上比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好一些。他们的预期进球数(xG)是13.24。他们的进攻缺乏速度，创造力和个人技术来挑战前六的位置。他们丢了15个球，但他们的预期失球数(xG)是16.78个。

休斯顿本赛季还没有达到他们的最佳状态，我不否认这一点。然而，他们可以改进。他们应该更快地进攻，不给对手组织防守的机会。他们的口袋里有体面的17分，他们的xpt的数量有点多。他们进了11个球，但是他们的进球数是14.45个。他们的防守没有明显的弱点——他们只丢了11个球，这是联赛中最少的。他们的防守在纸面上并不是联盟中最好的，但作为一个团队，他们的防守非常出色。我们应该给他们的教练很大的信任!在上一场比赛中，他们在客场2-1击败了堪萨斯城体育队，但在博彩市场上，他们的胜率在3.30左右。然而，它们在xG中生成了1.55，而主机只生成了0.68。在此之前，他们在美国公开赛的主场点球大战中以3-4不敌底特律。然而，他们应该赢得一场胜利，因为他们有64%的控球率，并且记录了惊人的30次射门!他们也记录了更多的射正、射偏、角球(14胜1负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。在此之前，休斯敦主场0比0战平圣路易斯，但火箭控球率为63%，并且有令人印象深刻的22次射门!他们也记录了更多的射正次数(9-3)、射偏次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数以及一次更危险的进攻。奥斯丁在上一场比赛中整体还不错，但在上一场比赛中以1比2输给了小牛。然而，在此之前，他们在客场0-0逼平温哥华的比赛中幸运地拿到了一分。主队有62%的控球率，有22次射门!奥斯顿只做到了四个!温哥华队的射门次数(7胜1负)、射偏、角球次数(10胜2负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(75胜22负)也更多。4月27日，他们在主场2-0击败洛杉矶银河队，但最终的比分是误导!银河拥有54%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射偏次数、角球次数(10胜2负)、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(85胜31负)。最大的博彩公司认为东道主在这里是最受欢迎的——给他们的赔率只有2.55左右，让游客空手而归。根据我基于数据的专家分析，这是不正确的。火箭+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注!