Lamia VS Aris Thessaloniki

Lamia welcome Aris for this Greek Super League Championship Group round 35 battle at Athanasios Diakos Stadium late Wednesday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is better than average by European standards. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of relatively good level by the Super League standards. Most importantly, we have an excellent chance to take the 7th winner in a row betting on this league! A total of 36 rounds will be played. There is nothing to play for either team left this season. Indeed, Lamia currently occupy the 6th place in the standings. They have grabbed 35 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 40.14. Aris, on the other hand, are in 5th place in the league table with 52 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is 50.34. Panathinaikos, in third place – which is the last place for a team to finish and earn a ticket for the UEFA Conference League – have grabbed 71 points. In matches with nothing at stake played late in the season the home team often have a surprisingly good chance to take all three points – or at least a draw. This mainly due to the fact that the players want to thank the fans for their support throughout the season. Greece has a strong football culture and doing well in the last home game of the season – this is the case for Lamia here – is considered very important. I would not be at all surprised if Aris' head coach were to rotate the squad – perhaps even heavily – here. Lamia are a pretty small team for this level and can be proud of making it to the Championship Group. Their loyal home fans have played an integral role in this success story. By "success" I mean doing better than most journalists and bookies expected before the season started, Last season they played in the Relegation Group in the spring.

There is no denying the fact that Aris are the stronger team here by pure class. However, their season has been a slight disappointment. Even with some squad rotation they have a decent edge over the hosts. Their edge should be bigger in terms of defensive quality than offensive quality. Aris have conceded 40 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 46.77. Their defence does have a pretty good structure and Lamia will not find it easy to break the defence – unless Aris' head coach chooses not to field the best defenders – or they struggle to find 100% motivation here.. Both scenarios are definitely possible though! The Lamia defenders fight hard but lack individual skill compared to the top-5 teams. They have conceded 72 goals and their number of xGA is 67.67. Taking all the factors I have mentioned the current odds of 1.90 offered on the away win by the biggest bookies are way too low. I expect the smart money to pile up on the host – consequently the odds on the recommended bet (Lamia +0.5 goal handicap) might well drop before the kickoff.. Neither team have been in good form recently. In fact "not good" is an understatement – especially results-wise.. Indeed, Aris have won only one of their last six games – losing four of these six matches! The hosts have lost five of their last six games. In their last game Aris beat a big team. Panathinaikos away from home 1-0 as big underdogs - priced around 8.50 to win by the bookmakers. However, the win was massively undeserved and probably affects the odds in today's game. Panathinaikos had 60% ball possession and recorded hugely more goal attempts (21-7), shots on goal (9-1), shots off target, corner kicks (9-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.45-0.46! Before this Aris were lucky – again! It was a 1-1 draw at home against Olympiacos. The visitors, however, had 62% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (9-1), shots off target, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 3.11-0.98 in Olympiacos' favour. 

In round 32 AEK Athens dominated the events on the pitch in Thessaloniki, in front of the Aris fans, despite winning only 2-1. Aris recorded only 0.33 in xG – the visitors' number was 3.65! Lamia lost their last game 1-4 away from home against Olympiacos. However, Lamia recorded a decent 13 goal attempts. The host managed 17. Lamia also had 104 attacks – a pretty big number for a huge underdog. I want to emphasize that the final score is very misleading as the xG numbers were 1.54-0.87. Before this Lamia were priced around 13.00 to win at home against PAOK, a big team. Lamia did well, taking a point through a 1-1 draw. The ball possession was 46-54% and the visitors recorded only one more shot on goal than Lamia. Both had five shots on target. It was easy to see that in front of their fans, despite the fact that there are not so many of them - Lamia found extra energy and fighting spirit! Lamia were close to winning the game as S. Schwab scored the 1-1 goal in the 90+10th minute. Lamia's P. Amaral was sent off in the 90th minute which affected the game substantially..

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拉米亚VS阿里斯塞萨洛尼基

北京时间周三晚，拉米亚将在迪亚科斯球场迎来阿里斯参加希腊超级联赛小组赛第35轮的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平高于平均水平。足球迷和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以超级联赛标准衡量的相对较好的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一个极好的机会采取第七连胜投注这个联赛!比赛共进行36轮。本赛季剩下的两支球队都没有什么可玩的了。事实上，拉米亚目前在积分榜上排名第六。他们拿到了35分，但他们的期望分数(xPTS)是40.14分。另一方面，阿里斯队在积分榜上以52分排名第五。他们的xPTS数是50.34。排在第三位的帕纳辛奈科斯(Panathinaikos)已经得到71分，这是最后一支获得欧洲联盟联赛入场券的球队。在赛季后期进行的无悬念的比赛中，主队通常有惊人的好机会全取三分——或者至少是一场平局。这主要是因为球员们想要感谢球迷们整个赛季的支持。希腊有着强大的足球文化，在本赛季的最后一场主场比赛中表现出色——这就是拉米亚的情况——被认为是非常重要的。如果阿里斯的主教练在这里轮换阵容，我一点也不会感到惊讶。对于这个级别的球队来说，拉米亚是一支相当小的球队，能够进入英冠组是他们的骄傲。他们忠实的主场球迷在这个成功故事中扮演了不可或缺的角色。我所说的“成功”是指比大多数记者和博彩公司在赛季开始前预期的要好，上个赛季他们在春季参加了保级组。

不可否认的事实是，从纯粹的等级来看，Aris是这里更强的队伍。然而，他们这个赛季的表现有点令人失望。即使有一些阵容轮换，他们对东道主也有相当大的优势。他们在防守质量方面的优势应该大于进攻质量。阿里斯丢了40个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是46.77个。他们的防守结构确实很好，拉米亚很难突破他们的防守——除非阿里斯的主教练选择不派出最好的后卫——或者他们很难找到100%的动力。不过，这两种情况都是绝对可能的!与前五名的球队相比，拉米亚的后卫很努力，但缺乏个人技术。他们已经丢了72个球，他们的射门数是67.67。考虑到我提到的所有因素，目前最大的博彩公司对客场获胜的1.90赔率太低了。我预计聪明的钱会堆积在东道主身上——因此，推荐的赌注(拉米亚+0.5个进球障碍)的赔率可能会在开球前下降。两队最近的状态都不太好。事实上，“不好”是一种保守的说法——尤其是在结果方面。事实上，Aris在过去的六场比赛中只赢了一场，在这六场比赛中输了四场!东道主在最近6场比赛中输掉了5场。在上一场比赛中，阿里斯队击败了一支强队。帕纳辛奈科斯客场1-0作为大输家-定价约8.50赢得博彩公司。然而，这场胜利是非常不值得的，可能会影响今天比赛的赔率。帕纳辛奈科斯有60%的控球率，他的进球次数(21-7)、射正(9-1)、射偏(9-1)、角球(9-1)、进攻和危险进攻都要多得多。预期目标(xG)是2.45-0.46!在此之前，阿里斯又走运了!主场1-1战平奥林匹亚科斯。然而，客队有62%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试、射正(9比1)、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻。对奥林匹亚科斯有利的预期进球数是3.11-0.98。

在第32轮AEK比赛中，雅典在塞萨洛尼基的球场上占据了主导地位，尽管雅典只以2比1获胜。Aris在xG上的记录只有0.33，而访客人数是3.65!拉米亚上一场客场1-4输给了奥林匹亚科斯。然而，拉米亚有13次进球尝试。主持人设法做到了17。拉米亚也有104次攻击——对于一个巨大的失败者来说，这是一个相当大的数字。我想强调的是，最终的分数是非常具有误导性的，因为xG数字是1.54-0.87。在此之前，Lamia在主场赢PAOK的价格在13.00左右，这是一支强队。拉米亚做得很好，在1-1的平局中拿到了一分。控球率为46比54%，客队只比拉米亚多射门一次。两人都有5次射正。在f中很容易看出

在他们的粉丝面前，尽管他们的粉丝并不多，但拉米亚找到了额外的能量和斗志!在比赛进行到90分10秒时，施瓦布打进了1比1的进球，拉米亚队一度接近获胜。拉米亚的阿马拉尔在第90分钟被罚下，这对比赛产生了很大的影响。