Who wins La Liga's game today?
2024-05-12

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Atletico has been lacking consistency this season, mainly due to their poor away performances. However, at home has been very reliable with good performances and a solid balance of 15/1/1, losing points only against Barcelona and Getafe (3:3).

They have almost achieved the target, which was the TOP4/UCL. I think that more due to Athletic Bilbao’s fault, who decreased their performances and lost many points in the last rounds (due to the Spanish Cup which they won) than their own merits. It doesn’t matter, the TOP4 is almost done as they have 6 points advantage with 12 remaining to play.

However, the ambition and intensity is not negotiable with Simeone. Especially at home where for some reason, Atletico is performing much better. Well, home performances are expected. What has not been expected for Atletico this season are their terrible away performances (6/3/8), but this won’t be the case.

Although they are without targets, I expect them to play with ambition and motivation, and of course they have way more quality than Celta.

Celta has been terrible this season. They have changed the coach and improved a lot, almost securing the safe zone which was in danger. However I believe that this is a similar case to Atletico Madrid: this has not been Celta’s merit, this has been Cadiz (and other relegation teams) fault who have had an awful season. This season will be one of the seasons in recent history in La Liga where it will be easier to avoid relegation. Cadiz, who is marking the relegation zone, has only 26 points with 12 remaining to play. Normally in La Liga are needed around 38-40 points to avoid relegation, and Cadiz most probably will finish with less than 32-34.

In a normal season, like the last ones, Celta would be in relegation and fighting for the safe zone till the last round. But in this case, they’ll need just 2-3 points more. They have 34 at the moment.

For them their crucial game is next weekend against Granada. Granada is one above the bottom, they are relegated and will play without motivation as several players will leave the team in 1 month. That’s the game where they are focused, especially because also Celta is in terrible form physically.

In the recent rounds we have seen Celta very tired, playing the last minutes of the games with a lot of fatigue and struggling a lot. They have a short squad so need to be very careful with this midweek round.

Two weeks ago they made an awful away performance against Alaves, losing 3:0. Last weekend they managed to beat Villarreal, but were clearly helped by the red card which Vilarreal saw at 17’ when they were 0:1 up. However, Celta again struggled in the second half and conceded a goal playing against 10, so had to score a late goal at 83’ to get the important victory.

I expect Atletico to dominate this game, especially because they have a clear physical advantage. Celta’s performances have been poor recently, beating mainly relegation teams and being outplayed by the top ones (Betis, Madrid, Villarreal with 11 players till the red card…).



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

马竞本赛季缺乏稳定性,主要是由于他们糟糕的客场表现。然而,在主场的表现非常可靠,15/1/1的稳定平衡,只在对阵巴萨和赫塔菲(3:3)的比赛中失分。

他们几乎达到了目标,即TOP4/UCL。我认为这更多的是由于毕尔巴鄂竞技的失误,他们的表现下降了,在最后几轮比赛中丢了很多分(因为他们赢得了西班牙杯),而不是他们自己的优点。没关系,TOP4几乎已经完成了,因为他们有6分的优势,还有12场比赛要打。

然而,西蒙尼的野心和强度是没有商量余地的。特别是在主场,由于某种原因,马竞的表现要好得多。嗯,我们期待主场演出。本赛季马竞在客场的糟糕表现(6/3/8)是出乎意料的,但这不会发生。

虽然他们没有目标,但我希望他们有雄心和动力,当然他们比塞尔塔更有实力。

塞尔塔这个赛季踢得很糟糕。他们更换了教练,提高了很多,几乎确保了处于危险中的安全区。然而,我相信这与马竞的情况相似:这不是塞尔塔的功劳,这是加的斯(和其他保级球队)的错,他们有一个糟糕的赛季。本赛季将是西甲近代史上最容易保级的赛季之一。加的斯目前正处于降级区,仅积26分,比赛还剩12场。通常在西甲联赛中,保级需要38-40分左右,而加的斯很可能以低于32-34分的成绩结束。

在一个正常的赛季,就像上个赛季一样,塞尔塔会降级,为安全地带而战,直到最后一轮。但在这种情况下,他们只需要再多2-3分。他们现在有34个。

对他们来说,关键的比赛是下周末对阵格拉纳达。格拉纳达是排名垫底的球队之一,他们已经降级,由于几个球员将在一个月内离队,他们将没有动力继续比赛。这是他们关注的比赛,特别是因为塞尔塔的身体状况很糟糕。

在最近的几轮比赛中,我们看到塞尔塔非常疲惫,在比赛的最后几分钟,他们都很疲劳,很挣扎。他们的阵容很短,所以在周中的比赛中需要非常小心。

两周前,他们在客场对阵阿拉维斯的比赛中表现糟糕,以3:0输球。上周末他们成功击败了比利亚雷亚尔,但显然是比利亚雷亚尔在17分0比1领先时吃到的红牌帮助了他们。然而,塞尔塔在下半场再次陷入困境,并在对阵10的比赛中丢了一球,因此不得不在83分的最后时刻进球以获得重要的胜利。

我希望马竞能统治这场比赛,特别是因为他们有明显的身体优势。塞尔塔最近的表现不佳,击败的主要是降级球队,被顶级球队(贝蒂斯、马德里、比利亚雷亚尔等11名球员被红牌罚下的球队)击败。

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