The first game finished 1:1 so everything is in the air for the second leg. However, I believe that hosts are the favorites to qualify to the final.

Atalanta achieved a draw in the Velodrome last week, which is a success. Even the coach Gasperini said that, understanding why Marseille have lost just one game at home this season - against PSG.

However, Atalanta is also a strong home team: only two defeats (Liverpool and Bolonia) in 2024 at home, with 11 wins in their last 14 home games. It also includes the comeback against Fiorentina (4:2 after 0:1 in first leg) in the Cup semifinals, which gave them confidence and the chance to win one title.

They are 5th in the Serie A, in UCL positions for the next season. Are also in great form with three consecutive victories in the league.

Gasperini will have to deal with some absences: Sead Kolasinac, Rafael Toloi, and Emil Holm are on the sidelines with injuries, all of them defenders. However, Toloi is still doubtful and could return for this fixture. Anyway, Atalanta has plenty of quality upfront to compensate for that. The topscorer Scamacca (17 goals so far) is their main threat upfront, but the strong point of Atalanta is that they have several players in the squad who have scored more than 10 goals this season: Lookman (11), Koopemeiners (15) and De Ketelaere (11).

As mentioned in the first leg, the wings will be the key here. Atalanta uses a 3-5-2 system with strong wings, and Marseille need to be careful with this as it’s where Atalanta generates a lot of danger, especially with Davide Zappacosta and Matteo Ruggeri. For the guests, Quentin Merli and Jonathan Clauss will be important in this area.

On the other hand, Marseille played a great game in the first leg, where I’d say that they wasted a good chance to win. They generated plenty of chances, but missed them. However, this has been the same during the whole season: they are the team in the Ligue 1 with more draws (11 in 31 games). We must remember that Marseille’s campaign has been poor so far, as they are out of the European positions at the moment in the Ligue 1.

In football when you miss the chance to win, usually you have to pay for it. Marseille missed that chance in the first leg at home, and I expect Atalanta to make a strong performance here. Both teams will leave a lot of spaces, attack and generate chances. We already saw it in the first leg with many chances wasted from both sides, but I’d say that Atalata was more effective.

For this fixture I expect Atalanta to make a better performance, especially because Marseille is also a weak traveler with 4 defeats in their last 5 away games. They are the worst traveler in the Ligue 1, and have won just two away games in 2024: Thionville and Clermont, both very weak teams.

I expect an open game between two offensive teams. However, since Gasperini’s troops have bagged 2+ goals in four of their last five home matches, I see La Dea as a decent value to reach the final.

第一场比赛1:1结束，所以第二回合的一切都悬而未决。不过，我相信东道主是晋级决赛的大热门。

亚特兰大上周在室内自行车赛中取得了平局，这是一个成功。甚至连主教练加斯佩里尼也这么说，他理解为什么马赛本赛季只在主场输掉了一场比赛——对阵巴黎圣日耳曼。

然而，亚特兰大也是一支强大的主场球队:在2024年主场只输了两场(利物浦和博洛尼亚)，在过去的14场主场比赛中取得了11场胜利。这还包括在杯赛半决赛中与佛罗伦萨(首回合0:1逆转为4:2)的逆转，这给了他们信心和赢得一个冠军的机会。

他们在意甲排名第五，下赛季在欧冠排名第五。我们在联赛中也取得了三连胜。

加斯佩里尼将不得不处理一些缺阵的问题:科拉西纳茨、托洛伊和霍尔姆都因伤缺阵，他们都是后卫。然而，托洛伊能否在本场比赛中复出仍然是个疑问。无论如何，亚特兰大有足够的质量来弥补这一点。进球最多的斯卡马卡(17球)是他们锋线上的主要威胁，但亚特兰大队的优势在于，他们的阵容中有几名球员本赛季进球超过10球:Lookman(11球)，Koopemeiners(15球)和De Ketelaere(11球)。

正如在第一回合提到的，翅膀将是这里的关键。亚特兰大使用3-5-2阵型和强大的边路，马赛需要小心，因为这是亚特兰大制造很多危险的地方，尤其是有萨帕科斯塔和鲁格里的时候。对于嘉宾来说，昆汀·梅里和乔纳森·克劳斯将在这方面发挥重要作用。

另一方面，马赛在首回合踢得很好，我想说他们浪费了一个赢球的好机会。他们创造了很多机会，但都错过了。然而，这在整个赛季都是一样的:他们是法甲中平局最多的球队(31场11场)。我们必须记住，马赛的表现一直很糟糕，因为他们目前在法甲的欧洲排名之外。

在足球比赛中，如果你错过了获胜的机会，通常你必须为此付出代价。马赛在首回合主场失去了那个机会，我希望亚特兰大在这里能有出色的表现。两支球队都会留下很多空间，进攻和创造机会。我们已经在第一回合看到了这一点，双方都浪费了很多机会，但我想说亚特兰大更有效率。

对于这场比赛，我希望亚特兰大能有更好的表现，特别是因为马赛也是一个在最近5场客场比赛中输了4场的弱队。他们是法甲最差的球队，在2024年只赢过两场客场比赛:蒂恩维尔和克莱蒙特，这两支球队都很弱。

我期待两支进攻型球队之间展开一场较量。然而，由于加斯佩里尼的球队在最近的五场主场比赛中有四场打进2球以上，我认为拉迪亚是进入决赛的一个不错的价值。