PSG to make a comeback in the UCL? 欧冠 巴黎圣曼VS多特蒙德
2024-05-07

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

I still see PSG favorite to qualify to the final in this leg.

First game was an amazing performance by Borussia, who created an amazing atmosphere at the Signal Iduna Park and made the team play a great game.

It’s fair to say that Borussia Dortmund deserved the victory, although both teams had chances enough to see more goals. Especially Kylian Mbappé who sent a shot to the post, but also both goalkeepers and defenders made great saves in the two areas.

I expect PSG to make a strong start of the game, especially trying to take advantage of Borussia’s weak point: their slow defenders and their lack of pace. They already struggled in the first leg and here I expect much more action from PSG upfront, with players like Demebele or Mbappe who have been performing great recently.

This will be Mbappe's last game at their hometown in the UCL with PSG, so I expect him to make a good performance.

In previous game Borussia created many chances from the wings, so Achraf Hakimi will be important in this fixture. PSG also needs to control their best player - Marcel Sabitzer, and also will have to deal with goalkeeper Gregorio Kobel who has been one of the best goalkeepers in the tournament so far with amazing saves.

Borussia Dortmund is well known for their mental strength, but I can’t see them being able to hold the result for a long time here with PSG pushing hard. They have been living on the edge during the whole tournament, with some very lucky actions in the most important games of the tournament so far.

Another important point is that also PSG didn’t play a league game this weekend (as opposed to Borussia), so they rested all players and will be physically stronger.

Both teams already played in the group stage as well. The first game was in Dortmund with the spoils split 1-1. However, it was a game that PSG controlled with 60% possession and 18 shots to Dortmund’s 16. Then in the second game in Paris, it was a 2-0 win for the home side, with Dortmund getting just one of their 14 shots on target and having just 31% possession.

I believe that the previous game was a mix of everything: strong performance by Borussia, low effectiveness upfront by PSG (which is very rare) and also a bit of luck. But I expect this game to see the real advantage that PSG has.

I expect PSG to dominate this game with over 60% possession and create plenty of chances. They just need to be cautious with Borussia’s counter attacks and the long balls to Fullkrug (as they did and managed to score in the previous game).



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我仍然认为巴黎圣日耳曼最有可能在这回合进入决赛。

第一场比赛是博卢西亚的精彩表现,他在伊杜纳公园球场创造了令人惊叹的气氛,让球队踢出了一场精彩的比赛。

公平地说,多特蒙德配得上这场胜利,尽管两支球队都有足够的机会获得更多的进球。尤其是基利安·姆巴佩佩尔,他射门击中门柱,而且守门员和后卫都在这两个区域做出了出色的扑救。

我希望巴黎圣日耳曼在这场比赛中有一个强势的开局,特别是试图利用俄罗斯的弱点:他们的后卫速度慢,缺乏速度。他们在第一回合已经表现不佳了,我希望巴黎圣日耳曼在前场有更多的表现,像德梅贝莱和姆巴佩这样的球员最近表现很好。

这将是姆巴佩在巴黎圣日耳曼的最后一场比赛,所以我希望他能有好的表现。

在上一场比赛中,俄罗斯队在边路创造了很多机会,所以哈基米在这场比赛中很重要。巴黎圣日耳曼还需要控制他们最好的球员马塞尔·萨比策,同时还必须对付守门员格雷戈里奥·科贝尔,他是迄今为止欧洲杯上最好的门将之一,有很多精彩的扑救。

多特蒙德的精神力量是出了名的,但是在巴黎圣日耳曼的努力下,我不认为他们能把结果保持很长时间。在整个比赛中,他们一直处于危险的边缘,在迄今为止最重要的比赛中,他们有一些非常幸运的表现。

另一个重要的一点是,巴黎圣日耳曼本周末没有踢联赛(与博洛什亚相反),所以他们让所有球员休息,身体会更强壮。

两支球队都已经参加了小组赛。第一场比赛在多特蒙德进行,比分为1比1。然而,这场比赛PSG控制了60%的控球率和18次射门,而多特蒙德只有16次射门。然后在巴黎的第二场比赛中,主队以2比0取胜,多特蒙德14次射门中只有1次射正,控球率只有31%。

我相信上一场比赛是各种因素的混合:俄罗斯的强势表现,巴黎圣日耳曼的低效率(这是非常罕见的),还有一点运气。但我希望这场比赛能看到巴黎圣日耳曼真正的优势。

我希望巴黎圣日耳曼能以超过60%的控球率统治这场比赛,并创造大量的机会。他们只需要小心对付俄罗斯队的反击和给富勒克鲁格的长传(就像他们在上一场比赛中所做的那样)。

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