86% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WINS! 欧冠 巴黎圣曼VS多特蒙德
2024-05-07

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧冠

05/08 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

On Tuesday night, we will know the first UEFA Champions League finalist! In Paris, the local PSG will host Dortmund Borussia and after the 1st game, Borussia is leading 1:0. In this game, I predict PSG's win during the regular time.

Let's look at the first game. Borussia scored in the 36th minute and that was the only game. A draw could have been an equal score because both teams had only the same xG rating - 1.78 for Borussia and 1.70 for PSG. The French team controlled the ball 57% of the time while Borussia had 43% while the shooting stats were similar.

It's not the first time teams will play against each other this season because both teams were in the same group during the group stage! In Dortmund, the teams played 1:1 but in Paris, PSG was a better team, scored twice and won 2:0. PSG was a great home team during the group stage because they had 2 wins and 1 draw, the team scored a total of 6 goals and conceded 1 time.

PSG defender Lucas Hernandez is currently mourning his Euro 2024 dreams, as the man who sustained a devastating ACL injury during France's 2022 World Cup campaign suffered a similar issue in last week's first leg, meaning that he may not play again until 2025. Hernandez joins long-term Achilles absentee Presnel Kimpembe on the sidelines and fringe duo Layvin Kurzawa and Sergio Rico. Dortmund did not emerge unscathed on the defensive front either last week, as right-back Julian Ryerson left the field with cramps and was not involved in the beating of Augsburg, which Ramy Bensebaini, Julien Duranville and Sebastien Haller also missed.

The first game was very close and PSG can't afford to lose, so I expect the team to dominate and win. PSG is playing very well at home and I wouldn't be surprised to see extra period.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周二晚上,我们将知道第一位欧冠决赛选手!在巴黎,当地的巴黎圣日耳曼将主场迎战多特蒙德,第一场比赛结束后,多特蒙德以1:0领先。在这场比赛中,我预测巴黎圣日耳曼会在常规时间获胜。

让我们看看第一个游戏。俄罗斯在第36分钟进球,这是唯一一场比赛。平局本来可以是一个相等的分数,因为两支球队的xG评分都是一样的——拜仁是1.78,巴黎是1.70。法国队的控球率为57%,而俄罗斯队的控球率为43%,两队的投篮数据相似。

这已经不是本赛季两支球队第一次交手了,因为两支球队在小组赛阶段就被分在了同一个小组!在多特蒙德,两队1:1的比赛,但在巴黎,PSG是一支更好的球队,他们梅开二度,以2:0取胜。巴黎圣日耳曼在小组赛期间是一个伟大的主场球队,因为他们取得了2胜1平,球队总共进了6球,丢了1球。

巴黎圣日耳曼后卫卢卡斯·埃尔南德斯目前正在为他的2024年欧洲杯之梦哀悼,这位在2022年法国世界杯期间遭受严重前交叉韧带伤病的球员在上周的首回合比赛中也遭遇了类似的伤病,这意味着他可能要到2025年才能再次参加比赛。埃尔南德斯加入了长期缺阵的阿基里斯-金彭贝和边锋库尔扎瓦和里科的行列。多特蒙德在上周的后防线上也不是毫发无损,右后卫朱利安·赖尔森因为抽筋离开了场地,没有参加对奥格斯堡的比赛,本塞拜尼、杜兰维尔和哈勒也缺席了比赛。

第一场比赛比分非常接近,巴黎圣日耳曼输不起,所以我希望球队能够控制局面并获胜。巴黎圣日耳曼在主场踢得很好,我不会对加时赛感到惊讶。

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