GREAT results in this league! $$$
2024-05-06

Tapio

外籍分析师

日乙

05/06 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

JEF United Ichihara Chiba VS Yokohama FC


Chiba host Yokohama FC for this Japan J2 League round 14 clash at Best Denki Stadium Monday afternoon Beijing time. This is the second tier level of Japanese football. The level of this league is quite mediocre by global standards – for a second tier. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of worse than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to make more profit betting on this league here! We have won four of the last five picks betting on the J2 League – longer-term results are also very impressive! Chiba are a mediocre team and do unarguably have some talent in the team. Yes, they have several decent players in the squad for this level but many of their players seem to be unable to reach their full potential. Chiba simply do not play very well as a team.. One reason for this must be their overrated coach who is, in my expert opinion, not a very good leader - or tactically smart.. Yokohama were relegated from J1 League to the J2 League after a difficult last season. There was a lot of negativity within and around the team but things look more solid now.. They did play badly last season but were also unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). For the J2 League level they have a very strong squad - even better than often suggested in the football media. They have a great chance of being promoted back to the first tier for next season! Yokohama have allowed only eight goals in the J2 League and it is hard to mention anything negative about their solid defence which has a lot of individual skill and an excellent structure. Well, the other top teams could probably cause Yokohama some trouble through very well-organized pressing.. Chiba most probably cannot do this - at least not for long - or without taking (too) big risks.. The eight goals conceded is clearly the lowest number in this league! Shimizu S-Pulse, the current leaders, have allowed 14 goals. Yokohama have a fine 24 points to their account and are in 3rd place. Chiba, on the other hand, occupy the 12th place and have grabbed 17 points. They have scored surprisingly many goals and have a better offensive structure than I estimated before the season started.. They have scored 25 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is significantly lower – 21.03 to be precise. Yokohama have netted the ball 20 goals and their number of xG is 23.12 and they can improve offensive. They should, in my view, sometimes attack a bit faster - denying to opponent to organize the defence.

I want to highlight that the visitors have an edge over Chiba in all areas of the game – with the expected lineups – and Yokohama should be solid favourites here. The bookies have made yet another mistake with their odds – offering Chiba odds of around 2.40-2.50 to take all three points. The Yokohama +0.5 goals handicap is the professional bettor's obvious choice here! Chiba have not been able to beat Yokohama in any of the last six games between the two teams. However, only two of these six matches were played in 2022 - the rest were played years ago..  Let's not forget that Yokohama have lost only one of their last seven matches. They have now won three games in a row and have looked confident on the pitch. In their last game they easily defeated Mito at home 2-0. The hosts fully deserved the three points! Indeed, they had many more goal attempts (14-6), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (8-1), total passes, completed passes, and dangerous attacks (62-37) as well as expected goals (xG). Before this they had to struggle hard to defeat a rather tricky opponent, Blaublitz, on the road but took a 2-0 win. K. Onohora scored an own goal in the 1st half but Blaublitz played active football and pushed hard in an attempt to level the score in front of loud home fans. T. Yamane, however, punished the slightly too aggressive hosts - scoring 2-0 to Yokohama in the 76th minute. Yokohama defended in a very mature and organized way – I was pretty impressed! On the 24th of April Yokohama beat Okayama after penalties on the road in an YBC Levain Cup battle. Okayama played better than usual but Yokohama proved their class and showed great fighting spirit – despite not being even close to their best..

Chiba have won two of their last five games. In their most recent game Chiba lost to Iwaki on the road 0-1. Iwaki had more goal attempts, shots off target, corner kicks (8-1), total passes, attacks and dangerous attacks as well as expected goals (xG). Iwaki's Y. Shimoda was sent off in the 77th minute but Iwaki were disappointing with the one-man-advantage. Before this they defeated Vegalta Sendai 2-0 on the road as clear favourites – priced around 2.00 to win on the betting market. However, the hosts had 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (12-8), shots off target (11-5), corner kicks (3-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts also generated a little more in expected goals (xG). In round 11 Chiba were priced around 1.95 to win by the bookies against Blaublitz at home but lost 1-2 - despite a 68% ball possession. Blaublitz's K. Hachisuka was sent off in the 47th minute but they scored two goals playing with 10 men - putting Chiba to shame! Yes, Chiba's balance on the pitch was oddly poor in the second half – there were way too big spaces between their players and some of their players even looked a bit lazy at times.. The visitors' S. Aoki even missed a penalty late into the second half. In round 10 Chiba were priced around 1.80 to win on the betting market but failed to beat Oita Trinita at home. It was, in the end, a disappointing 1-1 draw. Chiba did have 21 goal attempts but most of these had a pretty low goal expectancy. Furthermore, most of their attacks were way too slow - and also lacked some creativity..  Consequently, the visitors were, in most cases, able to organize the defence. Chiba recorded only four shots on goal.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

JEF联合千叶市原VS横滨FC


北京时间周一下午,日本J2联赛第14轮在千叶主场迎战横滨FC。这是日本足球的第二梯队。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平相当平庸——对于一个二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有利可图的投注机会,可以在这个联赛中获得更多的利润!我们在过去的5次选秀中赢了4次,长期的结果也非常令人印象深刻!千叶是一支平庸的球队,毫无疑问,球队中确实有一些天赋。是的,他们在这个级别的阵容中有几名不错的球员,但他们的许多球员似乎无法充分发挥他们的潜力。千叶作为一个团队打得不太好。其中一个原因一定是他们被高估的教练,在我的专家看来,他不是一个很好的领导者,也不是一个很聪明的战术。在经历了上个赛季的艰难后,横滨队从J1联赛降到了J2联赛。车队内部和周围有很多消极情绪,但现在情况看起来更加稳定了。他们上个赛季确实打得很糟糕,但在期望积分(xPTS)方面也很不走运。对于J2联赛来说,他们有一个非常强大的阵容——甚至比足球媒体经常说的还要好。他们下赛季很有可能升回一线队!横滨在J2联赛中只丢了8个球,很难对他们坚实的防守提出任何负面的评价,他们有很多个人技术和出色的结构。嗯,其他顶级球队可能会通过组织严密的施压给横滨带来一些麻烦……千叶很可能做不到这一点——至少不会太久——或者不冒(太)大的风险。丢8球显然是联赛中最少的!目前领先的清水s脉冲队丢了14个球。横滨获得24分,排名第三。另一方面,千叶排在第12位,拿到了17分。他们进了很多球,而且他们的进攻结构比我在赛季开始前估计的要好。他们已经进了25个球,但是他们的预期进球数(xG)要低得多,准确地说是21.03个。横滨已经打进20球,他们的xG数是23.12,他们可以改善进攻。在我看来,他们有时应该进攻快一点——拒绝对手来组织防守。

我想强调的是客队在比赛的各个方面都比千叶有优势——在预期的阵容上——横滨应该是最受欢迎的球队。博彩公司在赔率上又犯了一个错误——千叶的赔率在2.40-2.50左右。横滨+0.5目标障碍是职业赌徒的明显选择在这里!千叶在两队最近的六场比赛中都没能击败横滨。然而,这六场比赛中只有两场是在2022年举行的,其余的都是几年前举行的。别忘了,横滨队最近七场比赛只输了一场。他们现在已经赢了三场比赛,在球场上看起来很自信。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比0轻松击败了水户。东道主完全配得上这三分!事实上,他们的进球次数(14胜6负)、射正、射偏、角球次数(8胜1负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、危险进攻次数(62胜37负)以及预期进球数(xG)都要多得多。在此之前,他们不得不努力击败一个相当棘手的对手,Blaublitz,但最终以2-0取胜。奥诺霍拉在上半场打进了一个乌龙球,但布劳布里茨踢得很积极,试图在吵闹的主场球迷面前扳平比分。然而,山根在第76分钟以2-0的比分击败了东道主横滨。横滨以一种非常成熟和有组织的方式进行了防守——我印象非常深刻!4月24日,在YBC列文杯的客场比赛中,横滨队在点球大战中击败了冈山队。冈山队打得比平时好,但横滨队证明了他们的水平,表现出了伟大的战斗精神——尽管他们还没有达到最好的水平。

千叶在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,千叶队客场0-1输给了磐城队。岩崎的进球次数、射偏、角球次数(8胜1负)、总传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数以及预期进球次数(xG)都更多。岩城队的下田在第77分钟被红牌罚下,但岩城队以一人优势令人失望。

在此之前,他们在客场以2-0击败了仙台维加尔塔,成为明显的夺冠热门——在博彩市场上,他们的胜率在2.00左右。然而,主队的控球率为60%,进球次数(12-8)、射偏(11-5)、角球次数(3-1)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。东道主的预期进球(xG)也略高一些。在第11轮比赛中,博彩公司对千叶队主场对阵Blaublitz的胜率定价在1.95左右,但最终以1比2输掉了比赛——尽管控球率为68%。Blaublitz的K. Hachisuka在第47分钟被罚下,但他们在10人的情况下进了两个球——让千叶蒙羞!是的,千叶下半场在球场上的平衡很差,球员之间的空间太大了,有些球员有时甚至看起来有点懒。客队的青木甚至在下半场后期错失了一个点球。在第10轮比赛中,千叶在博彩市场上的胜率在1.80左右,但未能在主场击败大分三一。结果是令人失望的1-1平局。千叶确实有21次进球尝试,但其中大多数的进球预期都很低。此外,他们的大多数进攻都太慢了,也缺乏一些创造力。因此,在大多数情况下,来访者能够组织辩护。千叶只有4次射正。

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