Elfsborg VS Malmo FF

Elfsborg and Malmö lock horns in this Swedish Allsvenskan round 7 battle at Borås Arena Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is pretty average by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of clearly better than average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have a very promising betting opportunity here! We have won four picks in a row! Last season Elfsborg finished, rather surprisingly, as high as second place. They played better than probably anyone would have expected before the season started.. Indeed, they took a total of 64 points, however they were lucky in very many games and their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 57.44. Malmö, on the other hand, are reigning champions! They have been the most successful team in Sweden in the last 10 years, despite being disappointing  - and unlucky in 2022. At the moment they are clearly the best team in Sweden! Malmö are a significantly bigger team in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. Their squad is valued at pretty close to 40 million euros, which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. The Elfsborg players' total market value is estimated at some 18 million. This is slightly too high though. The two teams last locked horns in November last year and Malmö were dominant at home despite winning only 1-0. Elfsborg even failed to record any shots on goal! Moreover, they generated only 0.07 in expected goals (xG). Malmö's number was 2.34.

Malmö have been on fire so far this season. Indeed, they have won all six games in Allsvenskan so far this season! Their score difference is incredibly good! Indeed, they have scored a staggering 18 goals and have allowed only one goal! It is impossible to mention anything negative about their game at the moment. Yes, they have won nine games in a row! Elfsborg's level has dropped even more than I expected from last season. Consequently, I have lowered their power rating significantly from the in-depth preseason analysis/rating! This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. Indeed, they are in 12th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. They have a lame seven points to their account. Their score difference is weak. Indeed, Elfsborg have netted the ball only eight times and have allowed 11 goals. Yes, they surely have potential for improvement but it seems that the bookies give this potential way too much emphasis here. Indeed, odds on the away win are around 1.85 and we will gladly take it! With the expected lineups Malmö have a huge edge over Elfsborg in all areas of the game and the visitors have a 59.50% chance of winning this match. They are clearly sky-high in confidence, have an excellent coach and - based on my sources - a very good team spirit as well.

Despite all the "misery" Elfsborg did take a win in their last game. It was a 2-0 win at home over Sirius as very clear favourites, priced around 1.90-1.95 to win on the betting market. However, Elfsborg were far from impressive! Indeed, the visitors, quite incredibly, had 67% ball possession! Furthermore, they had more goal attempts, shots off goal, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 75-44! Sirius also generated more in xG – 1.67-1.14 to be precise. Before this they faced Norrköping on the road and started the game surprisingly well - Baidoo and Hedlund scored - and at halftime the score was 0-2. However, Norrköping were somehow "sleepy" and far from their best in the first half.. In the second, however, half Elfsborg completely collapsed – despite being priced around 2.15 to win by the bookies right before the kickoff. Indeed, Norrköping cruised to a deserved win – 4-2 in the end. Many of the Elfsborg players – as well as their head coach – looked angry, perhaps even "hopeless" after Norrköping had scored the 3-2 goal. I did not like Elfsborg's performance and there have been rumors of bad team spirit.. In round 4 of Allsvenskan Elfsborg lost to Kalmar at home 1-2. Elfsborg were priced around 1.60 to beat Kalmar by the bookmakers. This was yet another example of them being overvalued on the betting market! Kalmar had 59% ball possession but Elfsborg did record more goal attempts -10-7 to be precise. Before this Elfsborg lost to Hammarby 0-3 away from home as only narrow underdogs on the betting market. The hosts deserved the three points as they generated much more in expected goals (xG). However, Elfsborg did have their chances to net the ball too.. Before this they defeated Vasteras 1-0 away from home as pretty clear favourites on the betting market. They were, however, lucky to get all three points The hosts had 56% ball possession and recorded more shots off target, corner kicks and attacks. They also generated 1.68 in xG – Elfsborg's number was low - only 0.48.

In round 1 of Allsvenskan Elfsborg were priced around 1.50-1.55 to win at home against IFK Värnamo but it was at the end a 2-2 draw. Elfsborg recorded more goal attempts – but they seemed to be somewhat imbalanced on the pitch. Indeed, I was far from impressed by their performance as a whole. Malmö were not quite at their best in their last match but still deservedly beat a dangerous team, Djurgården, 2-1 after penalties in a Svenska Cupen (Swedish Cup) final. I want to emphasize that Djurgården played better than usual in this match. Before this Malmö humiliated a pretty big team, AIK, 5-0 at home! It was an extremely impressive performance as a whole but the final score still does flatter Malmö though as their number of xG was "only" 3.04. AIK are currently in 5th place with 11 points to their account. In round 5 Malmö beat Djurgården - this time on the road - 1-0 through Botheim's late goal. Malmö struggled quite a lot to break Djurgården's very well organized defence but proved their class and a "champions' mentality'' by keep pushing mercilessly which eventually resulted in the hosts' Nguen being sent off in the 83rd minute. I want to highlight that Malmö's defence was spectacular in this game – once again – and the hosts failed to record any shots on the visitors' goal! Moreover, they generated only 0.19 in xG! Yes, Djurgården were pretty passive in this game, perhaps fearing Malmö's skilled and fast offensive players but the hosts' number of xG is still very low - for a home match in front of a demanding crowd..

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艾尔夫斯堡VS马尔默FF

北京时间周日晚，Elfsborg和Malmö在瑞典阿尔斯文斯坎队的第七轮比赛中在bor<s:1>竞技场进行了较量。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是相当平均的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场明显高于联赛平均水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们在这里有一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们已经连续赢了四次了!上赛季，埃尔夫斯堡出人意料地获得了第二名。他们的表现可能比赛季开始前任何人预期的都要好。事实上，他们总共拿了64分，但他们在很多比赛中都很幸运，他们的期望积分(xPTS)只有57.44分。另一方面，Malmö是卫冕冠军!尽管在2022年世界杯上表现不佳，令人失望，但他们是过去10年瑞典最成功的球队。现在他们显然是瑞典最好的球队!根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的估计市场价值来看，Malmö是一支大得多的球队。他们的阵容价值接近4000万欧元，这在我的专家看来或多或少是正确的。埃尔夫斯堡球员的总市值估计约为1800万美元。这有点太高了。两队上一次交锋是在去年11月，当时Malmö队在主场以1比0的比分取得了压倒性的胜利。埃尔夫斯堡甚至没有射门!此外，它们只产生了0.07的预期目标(xG)。Malmö的数字是2.34。

Malmö本赛季到目前为止都很火。事实上，本赛季到目前为止，他们在阿尔斯温斯坎赢了6场比赛!他们的分数差距大得难以置信!的确，他们进了惊人的18球，只丢了1球!现在不可能提到任何关于他们比赛的负面消息。是的，他们已经连续赢了九场了!埃尔夫斯堡的水平比上赛季下降的还要多。因此，我从季前赛的深度分析/评级中大大降低了他们的能量评级!这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级，他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。事实上，他们在这个联赛中排名第12位，共有16家俱乐部。他们的账上只有区区七分。他们的分数差距很小。事实上，埃尔夫斯堡只进了8次球，丢了11个球。是的，他们确实有提高的潜力，但似乎博彩公司在这里过分强调了这种潜力。事实上，客场获胜的赔率约为1.85，我们将欣然接受!凭借预期的阵容，Malmö在比赛的各个方面都比埃尔夫斯堡有巨大的优势，客队有59.50%的机会赢得这场比赛。他们显然信心十足，有一位出色的教练，而且——根据我的消息来源——他们也有很好的团队精神。

尽管有这么多“不幸”，埃尔夫斯堡还是在上一场比赛中取得了胜利。在主场以2比0战胜小天狼星是非常明显的夺冠热门，在博彩市场上的胜率在1.90-1.95左右。然而，埃尔夫斯堡远非令人印象深刻!事实上，客队的控球率竟然高达67% !此外，他们有更多的进球尝试、射门、进攻，尤其是危险的进攻——75比44!天狼星在xG - 1.67-1.14中也产生了更多。在此之前，他们在客场面对Norrköping，比赛开局出奇的好——拜杜和赫隆德都进球了——半场结束时比分是0-2。然而，Norrköping有点“昏昏欲睡”，在上半场远没有达到最佳状态。然而，在第二场比赛中，埃尔夫斯堡完全崩溃了——尽管在开球前，博彩公司的胜率在2.15左右。的确，Norrköping最终以4:2的比分赢得了一场应得的胜利。在Norrköping以3比2的比分进球后，许多埃尔夫斯堡的球员——以及他们的主教练——看起来很生气，甚至可能是“绝望”。我不喜欢埃尔夫斯堡的表现，有传言说他们的团队精神很差。在阿尔斯温斯坎的第四轮比赛中，埃尔夫斯堡主场1-2不敌卡尔玛。博彩公司对埃尔夫斯堡的定价约为1.60英镑，以击败卡尔玛。这是他们在博彩市场上被高估的又一个例子!卡尔玛有59%的控球率，但埃尔夫斯堡的进球次数更多，准确地说是10比7。在此之前，埃尔夫斯堡客场0-3输给了汉姆比，在博彩市场上只有微弱的劣势。主队理应得到三分，因为他们创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。然而，Elfsborg d

他们也有机会把球打进网。在此之前，他们在客场1-0击败了韦斯特罗斯队，这在博彩市场上是很明显的热门。然而，他们很幸运地得到了全部三分，东道主的控球率为56%，并且有更多的射门、角球和进攻。他们在xG中也产生了1.68——Elfsborg的数字很低，只有0.48。

在阿尔斯温斯堡主场战胜IFK Värnamo的第一轮比赛中，价格在1.50-1.55左右，但最终以2-2战平。埃尔夫斯堡的进球次数更多，但他们在球场上似乎有些不平衡。事实上，他们的整体表现并没有给我留下深刻的印象。Malmö在上一场比赛中并没有发挥出最佳状态，但在瑞典杯决赛中，他们仍然在点球大战中以2-1击败了一支危险的球队，djurg<s:1> rden。我想强调的是，djurgamatrden在这场比赛中比平时打得好。在此之前Malmö在主场5-0羞辱了一支强大的球队AIK !这是一个非常令人印象深刻的表现，但最终的得分仍然让Malmö感到满意，尽管他们的xG数字“只有”3.04。AIK目前以11分排名第五。在第五轮Malmö击败了djurg<s:1> rden -这一次是在客场- 1-0通过Botheim最后的进球。Malmö努力想要打破djurg<s:1>登组织严密的防线，但通过无情的进攻证明了他们的水平和“冠军心态”，最终导致东道主恩根在第83分钟被红牌罚下。我想强调的是，Malmö在这场比赛中的防守是惊人的——再一次——主队没有在客队的球门上进球!此外，他们在xG中只生成了0.19 !是的，djurgatrden在这场比赛中很被动，可能是害怕Malmö技术娴熟、进攻速度快的球员，但东道主的xG数量仍然很低——对于一场主场比赛来说，观众要求很高。