The most logical choice for this game
2024-05-04

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

05/04 19:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Bournemouth has a really good chance to avoid big loss in this game. +2 AH on the away side looks like very safe option to play.


In last 6 matches between both teams, Arsenal only twice won with more than one goal difference. In previous season Arsenal won at home 3:2.


I saw last Arsenal match in derby of North London against Tottenham. Arsenal won 3:2, but that was fully undeserved result as they had only 9 shots in that game (1.03) expected goals scored. Tottenham played better - 15 shots, 62% ball possession and 2.42 expected goals scored. Arsenal is under the huge pressure because they have to win all matches till end of the season to have a chance to grab a title. It's young team and they already showed couple times they are not rock solid in pressure moments.


Bournemouth playing the best season in their history. Tally of 48 points is a club record for Premier League season. They already matched the club's Premier League record for the most wins and away victories in a one season. Guests' results are even more impressive in last 25 rounds. Bournemouth recorded 42 points in that period and this is top5 result (!). In addition to that, they came for this game full of confidence as they won last two matches 'to nil'.


Arsenal defensive formation doesn't looked super solid against Tottenham. Bournemouth have scored in 13 consecutive league away matches and they should be able to continue that streak today.


In those circumstances such high HC line looks like very valuable option to play.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来伯恩茅斯很有可能在这场比赛中避免大的损失。客场+2 AH看起来是非常安全的选择。


在两队最近的6场比赛中,阿森纳只有2场胜率超过1个净胜球。上个赛季,阿森纳在主场3:2获胜。


我看了上一场阿森纳对热刺的北伦敦德比。阿森纳3:2获胜,但这是完全不应该的结果,因为他们在那场比赛中只有9次射门(1.03)。热刺踢得更好——射门15次,控球率62%,预期进球2.42个。阿森纳承受着巨大的压力,因为他们必须在赛季结束前赢得所有比赛,才有机会夺取冠军。这是一支年轻的球队,他们已经表现出几次他们在压力下不是坚如磐石。


伯恩茅斯打出了他们历史上最好的赛季。48分是俱乐部本赛季英超联赛的记录。他们已经追平了俱乐部在英超联赛中一个赛季最多的胜利和客场胜利的记录。在过去的25轮比赛中,嘉宾的成绩更是令人印象深刻。伯恩茅斯在这段时间里得到了42分,这是排名前5的成绩(!)除此之外,他们在这场比赛中充满了信心,因为他们在前两场比赛中以“0比0”获胜。


对阵热刺时,阿森纳的防守阵型看起来并不稳固。伯恩茅斯已经连续13场客场进球,今天他们应该可以继续连胜。


在这种情况下,这种高HC线看起来是非常有价值的选择。

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