Last round of games in Portugal and stakes are particularly high at the bottom of the table.

Boavista, which underperformed through the entire season, find themselves in pole-position before all matches kick off as their fate is in their own hands. They must make sure Rio Ave or Farense do not take them over and push into relegation play-off - in order to do so, all Jesualdo Ferreira’s men need to do is take 3 points against unmotivated Gil Vicente.

Draw is unlikely to be enough as Boavista loses head-to-head to Rio Ave and should Ave beat bottom of the league (and relegated) Nacional - on level points Boa is going to lose the tie.

Apart from having 0 motivation in this game, Gil Vicente is also the worst home team in the competition with 4-4-8 balance. The only side to perform worse on home soil is relegation Nacional - 15 points vs. Gil’s 16.

According to portuguese resources, Gil is likely to rotate their squad tonight, which must give the ultra motivated visitors an edge.

The given -0.5 handicap looks more than generous to me, considering the set up and importance of the game for Boavista. Taking into account Ferreira’s experience and the decent quality of the squad in his hands, they should be able to do the job tonight and take life saving 3 points