With few chances, but Villarreal is still in the Europe Conference League position race.

They are 5 points below Valencia and 6 below Betis, and looking their recent performances they are going for it. They are one of the best teams in the league recently, with only 1 defeat in the last 10 which was an unlucky one against Atletico (1:2) conceding at 87’. They are performing very well, especially upfront where they are generating a lot of chances and scoring many goals. Sorloth is in great form (15 goals + 5 assists), and Gerard Moreno is being their key player upfront as always.

Their defense is a concern this season and clearly their weak point. They have conceded 55 goals so far, meaning that they have the third worst defense in the league. However, they have also scored 51 and have the ability to win games even conceding goals. In their last 7 games they have scored 16. However, their target for this game will surely try to keep the goal to nil, and it’s something I believe they can do due to their rival's weak attack.

Furthermore, Betis and Valencia have difficult games this weekend (Sevilla and Barcelona), so it’s a good chance for Villarreal to reduce the difference with them.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano is lacking motivation. They won last weekend against Osasuna in a crucial game for them, because now are 9 points above relegation with only 18 remaining to play. They won’t need too much more points to avoid relegation, just 2-3 more maybe. After Osasuna’s victory the team and players were already celebrating, as they know the the target is almost done. So I expect them to decrease the motivation and intensity in this fixture.

They are one of the worst teams in La Liga in the last months. Their last 15-20 rounds have been terrible, having a huge inability to produce chances and score goals, lacking concentration in defense, and being unable to dominate games. They have not been competitive at all, with all of their players far from their best form.

Their main problem this season has been the lack of goal. Don’t have any reliable scorer, because all of their strikers are in terrible form. Their topscorer is winger Alvaro Garcia with only 6 goals. And he is doubtful for this game due to an injury which made him lose the last two games as well. He has not scored a goal since February so isn’t in good form either. With only 27 goals scored, Rayo Vallecano has the third worst attack in the league.

Playing away they have been totally outplayed recently, so I expect the same here.

Villarreal will dominate the game and generate plenty of chances to score. I don’t see them conceding too much here as Rayo Vallecano has at the moment the worst attack in the league in my opinion. Don’t have any real danger upfront, are just scoring goals from outside the area, set pieces, or lucky actions. But in open play they are not generating anything.

I expect Villarreal here to dominate the game, play with more motivation, generate more chances and win the fixture. Form, quality and motivation is undoubtedly in the home side for this fixture.

虽然机会不多，但比利亚雷亚尔仍在争夺欧洲联赛的位置。

他们比瓦伦西亚落后5分，比贝蒂斯落后6分，从他们最近的表现来看，他们正在努力争取。他们是最近联赛中最好的球队之一，在过去的10场比赛中只输了1场，其中一场是不幸的对阵马竞(1:2)，他们在第87分钟失球。他们表现得非常好，尤其是在前场，他们创造了很多机会，进了很多球。索洛斯状态很好(15球+ 5助攻)，杰拉德·莫雷诺一如既往地是锋线上的关键球员。

他们的防守是本赛季的一个问题，显然是他们的弱点。到目前为止，他们已经丢了55个球，这意味着他们的防守在联赛中排名第三。然而，他们也进了51球，即使丢球也有能力赢得比赛。在过去的7场比赛中，他们进了16球。然而，他们在这场比赛中的目标肯定会努力保持零分，我相信他们可以做到，因为他们的对手进攻薄弱。

此外，贝蒂斯和瓦伦西亚这周末都有困难的比赛(塞维利亚和巴塞罗那)，所以比利亚雷亚尔很有可能缩小与他们的差距。

另一方面，巴列卡诺缺乏动力。上周末，他们在一场关键的比赛中战胜了奥萨苏纳，因为他们现在距离保级还有9分的差距，而且只剩下18分的比赛。他们不需要太多的积分来保级，也许再多2-3分就可以了。在奥萨苏纳的胜利之后，球队和球员们已经在庆祝了，因为他们知道目标就要完成了。所以我希望他们在这场比赛中减少动力和强度。

他们是过去几个月西甲联赛中表现最差的球队之一。他们最近的15-20轮踢得很糟糕，他们在创造机会和进球方面非常无能，在防守上缺乏专注力，也无法控制比赛。他们根本没有竞争力，他们所有的球员都远没有达到最佳状态。

他们本赛季的主要问题是缺少进球。没有可靠的得分手，因为他们所有的前锋状态都很糟糕。他们的最佳射手是边锋阿尔瓦罗·加西亚，他只有6个进球。而且他的伤病也让他输掉了前两场比赛，所以他能否参加这场比赛还是个疑问。自从二月以来他就没有进过球，所以他的状态也不太好。巴列卡诺只进了27球，他的进攻在联赛中排名第三。

在客场比赛中，他们最近完全被击败了，所以我希望在这里也是如此。

比利亚雷亚尔将统治比赛并创造大量的得分机会。我不认为他们在这里丢太多球，因为在我看来巴列卡诺目前的进攻是联赛中最糟糕的。没有任何真正的威胁，只是在禁区外进球，定位球，或者幸运的动作。但在公开比赛中，它们不会产生任何东西。

我希望比利亚雷亚尔能在这里统治比赛，踢得更有动力，创造更多的机会，赢得比赛。毫无疑问，状态、质量和动力是主场比赛的关键。