Who wins the relegation battle?
2024-04-27

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

04/28 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Motivation is key here.

Alaves has been in poor form recently, with poor performances and bad results. However, they achieved a huge win against Atletico last weekend which means that now they are 10 points above relegation and the target is almost done, as we have only 18 points in play.

They have won just 2 of the last 10 games, with poor performances upfront as they have not been generating any danger. At the beginning of the season they were much better in this aspect, with many chances generated but missed. But lately there have not been chances either. With only 28 goals scored in 32 games are one of the worst attacks in the league.

However, it has been a very successful campaign for Alaves, who had a very weak squad for this league and managed to avoid relegation without struggle, as they never were in the relegation zone.

Furthermore, for this game they have important missing. The two starter CBs Abqar and Rafa Martin are suspended, whilst Sedlar has an ACL injury. This means that Alaves will have to play with RB and LB (Tenaglia and Duarte) as central backs. And usually in this situations we always see some mistakes.

On the other hand, Celta has improved a lot with their new coach, playing much better and getting good results. However, they are just 6 points above the safe zone and with 31 points, probably will need 4-5 more.

They are coming with confidence after their victory 4:1 against Las Palmas, and have been a very competitive side recently. Only Real Madrid and Betis managed to beat them with the new coach (6 games).

Key player Larsen is suspended, but their best player Iago Aspas is in the best moment of the season with great performances, including the game against Las Palmas with 2 goals and 2 assists.

Celta has a very difficult calendar upcoming: Villarreal, Atletico and Athletic. So they need points in this game to avoid problems in the last rounds of the season. They have an easy game against Granada, and the last round will be against Valencia who could be fighting for the Conference League position. This means that Granada’s game and this one are key: they need at least 4 points in those two fixtures.

I expect a very tight game. Alaves has been struggling a lot to dominate games and achieve positive results. The game against Atletico was different because they were very motivated (due to their situation and rival’s entity). But this game will be different: they are in a quiet position, and surely will be happy with a draw.

I believe that Celta should be slightly favorite here. They have more quality and have more motivation to win.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

动机是关键。

阿拉维斯最近状态不佳,表现不佳,成绩也不好。然而,他们在上周末对马竞的比赛中取得了巨大的胜利,这意味着他们现在距离保级有10分的优势,而且目标已经接近完成,因为我们只剩下18分了。

在过去的10场比赛中,他们只赢了2场,他们的前场表现很糟糕,因为他们没有制造任何威胁。在赛季初,他们在这方面要好得多,有很多机会,但都错过了。但最近也没有机会了。32场比赛只进28球,是联赛中进攻最差的球队之一。

然而,对于阿拉维斯来说,这是一个非常成功的赛季,他们在这个联赛中有一个非常弱的阵容,并且成功地避免了降级,因为他们从来没有在降级区。

此外,对于这个游戏,他们有重要的缺失。两名首发球员阿布卡尔和马丁将停赛,而塞德拉的前交叉韧带受伤。这意味着阿拉维斯将不得不让右后卫和右后卫(特纳利亚和杜阿尔特)担任中后卫。通常在这种情况下,我们总会看到一些错误。

另一方面,塞尔塔在新教练的带领下进步了很多,踢得更好,取得了不错的成绩。然而,他们只比安全区高出6分,现在已经31分了,可能还需要4-5分。

在4:1战胜拉斯帕尔马斯之后,他们充满了信心,并且最近一直是一支非常有竞争力的球队。只有皇马和贝蒂斯在新教练的带领下击败了他们(6场)。

关键球员拉尔森停赛,但他们最好的球员伊阿古·阿斯帕斯正处于本赛季最好的时刻,表现出色,其中包括对阵拉斯帕尔马斯的比赛,他有2球2助攻。

塞尔塔即将迎来一个非常艰难的赛程:比利亚雷亚尔,马竞和竞技。所以他们需要在这场比赛中得分,以避免在本赛季的最后几轮出现问题。他们对格拉纳达有一场轻松的比赛,最后一轮将对阵瓦伦西亚,他们可能会争夺联盟的位置。这意味着格拉纳达的比赛和这场比赛是关键:他们需要在这两场比赛中至少得到4分。

我预计会有一场激烈的比赛。阿拉维斯一直在努力控制比赛并取得积极的成绩。与马竞的比赛是不同的,因为他们非常有动力(由于他们的情况和对手的实力)。但这场比赛将有所不同:他们处于一个安静的位置,肯定会对平局感到高兴。

我相信塞尔塔应该是最受欢迎的球队。他们更有实力,更有动力去赢球。

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