A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-04-24

Tapio

外籍分析师

奥甲

04/24 02:30

已完赛

BW林茨
1:0
阿尔塔奇
解读理由:

FC Blau Weiss Linz VS Rheindorf Altach


BW Linz host Altach for this Austrian Bundesliga Relegation round 28 battle at Hofmann Personal Stadion early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier football. The level of this league is pretty good. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! We have done well betting on Austrian football long-term. A total of six clubs play in this group. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. The teams who finish in first and second place in the group will qualify for the Playoffs where the teams have a chance to earn a ticket for the UEFA Conference League qualification for the next season. The rock-bottom team will be relegated. Altach have 16 (group) points to their account. They have scored a total of 21 goals this season. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 27.65. They have allowed 33 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 31.88. They have a clear edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. Indeed, the hosts' score difference is 25:42. Their number of xG is 26.55 and xGA is 45.55. Altach are also the bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value - according to Transfermarkt.com.

Linz have only 13 (group) points in their pocket and are at moderate risk of being relegated. Altach still have a pretty good chance of making it to the top-2 in this group. Let's also remember that Linz have not been able to beat Alatch in the last nine matches between the two teams. However, only four of these nine games are recent. The bookies see this match as a coin toss -a 50/50 match without a favorite. Odds of around 2.85 are available on both teams to win. However, based on my expert analysis Altach deserve to be solid favorites. We will take the +0.5 goals handicap option. Linz have won one of their last 13 games! They played against Altach three days ago and it was a 2-2 draw. However, Altach generated significantly more in xG. Before this they played okay but lost to Tirol 1-2 on the road. Before this they played a goalless draw at home with Wolfsberger. It was an uneventful and low-level game as a whole. Altach have lost only one of their last eight games but have played "too many" draws.. Before the draw with Linz they beat Lustenau 1-0 away from home after a solid performance. They had 62% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal (5-1), total passes, completed passes, corner kicks and attacks than the hosts. Altach also generated much more in xG – 1.12-0.56 to be precise. In round 25 they faced Tirol at home – no goals were scored but Altach would have deserved a win as the xG numbers were 1.33-0.52.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

蓝维斯林茨VS莱茵多夫阿尔塔奇


北京时间周三凌晨,奥地利保级第28轮比赛将在霍夫曼个人体育场举行,主场迎战阿尔塔奇。这是一流的足球。这个联赛的水平相当不错。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个赚钱的赌博机会!我们长期看好奥地利足球。这一组共有六个俱乐部参加比赛。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等,则得分差将成为决胜局。小组第一名和第二名的球队将有资格进入季后赛,并有机会获得下赛季欧洲联盟联赛资格的入场券。垫底的队将降级。每个人有16(组)点到他们的帐户。他们本赛季总共进了21个球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)是27.65。他们丢了33个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是31.88个。他们在比赛的各个方面都明显领先东道主。事实上,东道主的比分差距是25:42。xG为26.55,xGA为45.55。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的估计总市值而言,阿尔塔赫也是一支更大的球队。

林茨目前只拿到13分(小组),降级的风险不大。他们仍然有很大的机会进入小组前二。让我们也记住,林茨在两队之间的最近九场比赛中都没能击败阿拉奇。然而,这9款游戏中只有4款是最近发行的。博彩公司认为这场比赛就像掷硬币一样,是一场五五开的比赛,没有赢家。两队获胜的赔率都在2.85左右。然而,根据我的专家分析,Altach应该是最受欢迎的。我们将采用+0.5个目标障碍选项。林茨队最近13场比赛只赢了一场!他们三天前和阿尔塔奇打了一场2比2的平局。然而,《Altach》在xG中生成的内容明显更多。在此之前,他们打得不错,但在客场1-2输给了蒂罗尔。在此之前,他们在主场与沃尔夫斯堡踢了一场0比0的平局。总的来说,这是一场平淡无奇的低级游戏。阿赫奇在最近8场比赛中只输了1场,但打了“太多”平局。在与林茨战平之前,他们在客场1-0击败了勒斯滕瑙。他们的控球率为62%,进球次数、射正次数(5比1)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、角球次数和进攻次数都比东道主多。准确地说,在xG - 1.12-0.56中,Altach也产生了更多。在第25轮,他们在主场面对蒂罗尔,虽然没有进球,但是阿塔奇本应该赢得一场胜利,因为xG值是1.33-0.52。

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