Elfsborg VS Kalmar

Elfsborg and Kalmar lock horns in this Swedish Allsvenskan round 4 battle at Borås Arena in Borås early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is of average level high by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! Neither team have been convincing so far this season. However, both teams have a lot of potential for improvement. Last season Elfsborg finished, rather surprisingly, as high as in 2nd place. They played better than probably anyone would have expected before the season kicked off. They took a total of 64 points, however their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 57.45. Many of their players played above their average level last season. I would be very surprised to see them place in the top-2 this season. Kalmar played a pretty good last season – ending up in 6th place. They were undervalued by the bookies in many games last season and this is the case here as well.. They do not have any "big names" in the squad but play very well as a team, have an excellent team spirit – according to my sources. I also trust their coach – especially in terms of creating an optimal tactic – depending on the opponent. Yes, Elfsborg are the bigger and better team and have an edge in all areas of the game here. Even so, the current odds on the home win – around 1.55 – are much too low! We will take the Kalmar +1.5 goals handicap with a high chance of increasing the winning streak.

The hosts have won one of their last three games - but not by a margin of more than one goal.. In their last game they lost to Hammarby 0-3 away from home as only narrow underdogs on the betting market. The hosts deserved the three points as they generated much more in expected goals (xG). However, Elfsborg did have their chances too.. Before this they beat Vasteras 1-0 away from home as solid favourites on the betting market. They were lucky to win though. The hosts had 56% ball possession and recorded more shots off goal, corner kicks and attacks. They also generated 1.67 in xG – Efsborg managed only 0.48. In round 1 they were priced around 1.50 at home against Varnamo but it was a 2-2 draw. Elfsborg did record more goal attempts - 14-8 – but they seemed to be quite disorganized on the pitch and I was not impressed by their performance as a whole. Kalmar have lost three games in a row but would have deserved some points.. Yes, they have been a disappointment lately but the bookies have reacted too heavily to these performances. In their last game they were lame though and lost to Goteborg 0-1 at home. However, the visitors played at a better level than usual. In round 2 they lost to Sirius at home 1-2 but the ball possession was 50-50% and both teams generated 2.34 in xG. In round 1 they lost to Hammarby on the road 1-3 as clear underdogs on the betting market but could easily have taken a point! The hosts recorded only one more shot on goal and goal attempt - 11-10 to be precise. The xG numbers were 1.55-1.37 in the hosts' favor. Elfsborg and Kalmar last locked horns last September and Kalmar won 3-0 at this same stadium after a fine performance. They were priced around 7.00 to win by the bookies. This was yet another example of them being undervalued by the bookmakers! Even so, I expect Kalmar to be defensive here and they would probably happy with a point. The goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies estimate.

艾尔夫斯堡VS卡尔玛

北京时间周二凌晨，埃尔夫斯堡和卡尔玛在瑞典博拉夫斯竞技场上进行了瑞典阿尔斯文斯坎第四轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平属于中等水平。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平更好的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!本赛季到目前为止，这两支球队都没有令人信服的表现。然而，两支球队都有很大的改进潜力。上赛季，埃尔夫斯堡出人意料地名列第二。在赛季开始之前，他们的表现可能比任何人预期的都要好。他们共获得64分，但期望分数(xPTS)只有57.45分。他们的许多球员上个赛季的表现都高于平均水平。如果他们本赛季能进入前2，我会感到非常惊讶。卡尔玛上个赛季打得很好，最终排名第六。他们在上赛季的许多比赛中都被博彩公司低估了，现在也是这样。根据我的消息来源，他们的阵容中没有任何“大牌”，但作为一个团队，他们踢得非常好，有出色的团队精神。我也相信他们的教练——特别是在制定最佳战术方面——取决于对手。是的，埃尔夫斯堡是一支更大更好的球队，在比赛的各个方面都有优势。即便如此，目前主场获胜的赔率——大约1.55——还是太低了!我们将采取卡尔玛+1.5个进球障碍与高机会增加连胜。

东道主在最近三场比赛中赢了一场，但只赢了一球。在上一场比赛中，他们客场0-3输给了Hammarby，在博彩市场上仅是微弱的劣势。主队理应得到三分，因为他们创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。然而，埃尔夫斯堡也有机会……在此之前，他们在客场1-0击败了韦斯特罗斯队，成为博彩市场上的热门球队。不过他们很幸运能赢。东道主的控球率为56%，并且有更多的射门、角球和进攻记录。他们在xG中也生成了1.67，而埃夫斯堡只生成了0.48。在第一轮主场对阵瓦尔纳莫的比赛中，他们的定价在1.50左右，但结果是2-2平局。埃尔夫斯堡的进球次数确实更多，14胜8负，但他们在球场上似乎很混乱，我对他们的整体表现并不满意。卡尔玛已经连输三场了，但是应该得到一些积分。是的，他们最近的表现令人失望，但博彩公司对这些表现的反应太大了。在上一场比赛中，他们表现得很差劲，在主场0-1输给了哥德堡。然而，客队踢得比平时好。第二轮他们主场1-2不敌小天狼星，但控球率是50-50%，两队的得分都是2.34。在第1轮，他们客场1-3输给了Hammarby，在博彩市场上，他们显然处于劣势，但他们本可以轻松拿一分!东道主只记录了一次射正和射门，准确地说是11比10。对东道主有利的xG值为1.55-1.37。埃尔夫斯堡和卡尔玛上次交手是在去年9月，卡尔玛在同样的球场以3-0的比分取得了胜利。博彩公司给他们开出了七块左右的赔率。这是他们被庄家低估的又一个例子!即便如此，我希望卡尔玛在这里防守，他们可能会很高兴得到一分。这里的预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低。