Nordsjaelland VS Aarhus AGF

Nordsjaelland host Aarhus for this Danish Superliga Championship Group round 26 battle at Right to Dream Park in Farum early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of better than mediocre level by European standards Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here. We have won six of the last seven bets betting on this league. The hosts currently occupy the 4th place in this group with a total of six clubs. The winner of this league qualifies for the UEFA Champions League qualification, the second-placed team to Europa League qualification and the team that finished in 3rd place qualifies for the Conference League qualification. Brondby top the standings with 55 points, Midtjylland are in second place (52 points), FC Copenhagen are in third place with 49 points, Nordsjaelland have taken 46 points. Aarhus have only 38 points in their pocket. The hosts still have a genuine chance of making it to the top-3 but to do that they would have to win matches like this! Aarhus's chances are extremely marginal. The hosts' number of expected points (xPTS) is slightly higher than 49 points. They have netted the ball 41 times in the Superliga but their number of expected goals (xG) is 45.43 and can improve offensively. They should sometimes attack a little faster and in a more straightforward way.. 

The hosts have conceded only 24 goals and their defence has obvious weaknesses. The 24 goals is the smallest number of goals allowed in this league. At home they have conceded only 10 goals, less than for example Copenhagen who even made it to the Champions League Playoffs! Aarhus have scored only 30 goals, the smallest number in this group. Their defence has been okay – they have conceded 26 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger – 32.45. Their goalkeeper has made many big saves and their opponents have simply wasted many big scoring chances this season. Moreover, many of their defenders have played above their normal level so far. In their last five games their defence has not been very solid. I expect them to play more relaxed and offensive football for the rest of the season. Nordsjalland have a clear edge over the visitors in all areas of the game – with the expected lineups. The visitors are without Beijmo, Bjur, Jensen-Abbew, Molgaard, Poulsen and Yakob. As for the hosts, Nygren is questionable. They are also surely massively motivated here! Odds of around 1.60 are widely available on the betting market. We will gladly take it!

The hosts have been in pretty good form recently – winning three of their last five games. In their last match they beat Silkeborg, a better team than the standings would reflect, 1-0 on the road. Nordsjalland were not at their best in this game and it was a balanced battle as a whole. Even so, the Nordsjalland players fought very hard - it was easy to see they simply had to take all three points. Before this they lost to Aarhus away from home 0-1 despite having 64% ball possession and recorded many more goal corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 81-49 to be precise. However, we need to realize that it was a LandsPokal Cup game and Aarhus were/are very motivated in this competition. Aarhus grabbed a point from Brondby in their last game - it was a 2-2 draw at home. The visitors did generate a little more in xG though. At home Aarhus, of course, seemed motivated but there were still situations where some of their players did not seem to defend as hard as they probably would have if they had a lot to play for.. Before beating Nordsjaelland Aarhus lost to Midtjylland 0-1. The visitors generated 1.45 in xG – Aarhus were, once again, lame offensively – generating only 0.34 in xG.

北荷兰VS奥胡斯AGF

北京时间周二凌晨，丹麦超级联赛小组赛第26轮将在法鲁姆的Right to Dream Park进行，届时北荷兰将主场迎战奥胡斯。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平要好于中等水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看略高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。过去七次赌这个联赛，我们赢了六次。东道主目前在该小组中排名第四，共有6家俱乐部。该联赛的冠军有资格参加欧洲冠军联赛，欧洲联赛第二名的球队有资格参加欧洲联赛，第三名的球队有资格参加欧洲联赛。布隆德比以55分排名第一，米特日兰以52分排名第二，哥本哈根以49分排名第三，北荷兰以46分排名第三。奥胡斯目前只拿到38分。东道主仍然有真正的机会进入前三，但要做到这一点，他们必须赢得这样的比赛!奥胡斯的机会非常渺茫。主机的期望点数(xPTS)略高于49分。虽然在中超联赛中打进41球，但期望进球数(xG)为45.43球，在进攻端还可以提高。他们有时应该更快一点，用更直接的方式进攻。

东道主只丢了24个球，他们的防守有明显的弱点。24球是这个联赛中最少的进球数。在主场，他们只丢了10个球，比打进欧冠季后赛的哥本哈根还少!奥胡斯队只进了30个球，是小组中进球最少的。他们的防守还不错，丢了26个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)要大得多——32.45个。他们的门将本赛季做出了许多重大扑救，而他们的对手只是浪费了许多重要的进球机会。此外，到目前为止，他们的许多后卫的表现都高于正常水平。在最近的五场比赛中，他们的防守不是很稳固。我希望他们在本赛季剩下的时间里踢得更轻松，更有攻击性。北嘉兰在比赛的各个方面都比客队有明显的优势——在预期的阵容上。游客们没有Beijmo, Bjur, Jensen-Abbew, Molgaard, Poulsen和Yakob。至于主持人，尼格伦值得怀疑。他们在这里肯定也很有动力!在博彩市场上，大约1.60的赔率随处可见。我们很乐意接受!

东道主最近状态不错，在最近的五场比赛中赢了三场。在上一场比赛中，他们客场1-0击败了西尔克堡，这是一支比积分榜更强的球队。北嘉兰在这场比赛中并没有发挥出最好的状态，这是一场平衡的战斗。尽管如此，北峡湾的球员们打得非常努力，很容易看出他们必须拿到全部三分。在此之前，他们在客场0-1输给了奥胡斯，尽管他们拥有64%的控球率，并且创造了更多的角球、进攻和危险进攻——准确地说是81比49。然而，我们需要意识到这是一场LandsPokal杯比赛，奥胡斯在这场比赛中非常有动力。奥尔胡斯在上一场比赛中从布隆德比那里抢了一分——主场2-2战平。不过，访客在xG中确实产生了更多的东西。在主场，奥胡斯看起来很有动力，但有些情况下，他们的一些球员似乎没有像他们有很多比赛要踢的那样努力防守。在击败北荷兰之前，奥胡斯0-1输给了米特荷兰。客队在xG的得分为1.45，而奥胡斯队在进攻端又一次表现不佳，在xG的得分仅为0.34。