Toulouse VS Marseille

Toulouse welcome Marseille for this Ligue 1 round 30 clash at Stadium Municipal early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the fifth-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here. Toulouse currently occupy the 11th place in the standings with 39 points to their account. Marseille, on the other hand, are in 10th place. In reality neither team have a chance to make it to the top-6 – and a ticket in one of UEFA's club competitions for the next season. However, Toulouse have looked even surprisingly sharp recently and seem to be enjoying themselves – eager to take points and entertain their loyal fans! They have taken two wins in their last three matches. In their last game they beat a strong team, Rennes - who are currently in 7th place with 42 points – 2-1 on the road. Toulouse were heavy underdogs in this match – priced around 4.50 to win on the betting market. Before this it was a goalless draw at home against Strasbourg. However, Toulouse recorded more goal attempts, shots in goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in expected goals (xG) 0.98-0.54. Before this they took a deserved win over Clermont on the road after an impressive offensive performance. 0-3 was the final score.

Marseille are missing a total of 12 players today, many of them important. The bookies do not seem to give this enough emphasis! The hosts, on the other hand, are without only Desler and Skyttä. On Thursday Marseille beat Benfica after a very grueling 120 minutes of football in Portugal. It was a UEFA Europa League Playoffs second leg battle and Marseille qualified in the end. Many of the Marseille players looked extremely fatigued in the extra time – this is, of course, understandable.. Marseille will not have many (fresh) players from the optimum starting eleven here. I do not expect Marseille to be quite 100% mentally or physically ready for this.. At home they would probably perform better as betraying fans by playing "lazy"  is unacceptable. Surely they can win but Toulouse deserve to be solid favourites here! Odds of around 2.60 are widely available on the home win. With the recommended +0.5 goals handicap we have a 74% chance of winning. Marseille had a lame run in January and in the first half of February. After that they managed to grab several victories in a row under the new manager, J. Gasset. He replaced  the former AC Milan player, Gennaro Gattuso. Now Marseille are no longer enjoying Gasset's new manager bounce. Before beating Benfica on Thursday Marseulle lost five games in a row. In their last Ligue 1 game Marseille faced Lille on the road and the hosts deservedly kept all three points – 3-1 was the final score. They had more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes and attacks. The xG numbers were 1.55-0.77. Before this they did not have much of a chance against PSG, the reigning champions of France.

图卢兹VS马赛

北京时间周一凌晨，图卢兹将在市政体育场迎来法甲第30轮对阵马赛的比赛。这是世界上第五好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的标准稍微好一点的比赛。图卢兹目前以39分排名第11位。另一方面，马赛排在第10位。事实上，这两支球队都没有机会进入前6名，也没有机会获得下赛季欧足联俱乐部比赛的入场券。然而，图卢兹最近的表现甚至出人意料地犀利，他们似乎很享受比赛——渴望拿分，取悦他们的忠实球迷!他们在最近三场比赛中取得了两场胜利。在上一场比赛中，他们客场2-1击败了目前以42分排名第7的强队雷恩。在这场比赛中，图卢兹队是非常不受欢迎的球队，在博彩市场上的胜率约为4.50英镑。在此之前，他们在主场0比0战平斯特拉斯堡。然而，图卢兹的进球次数、射门次数、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG) 0.98-0.54。在此之前，他们凭借令人印象深刻的进攻表现，在客场击败克莱蒙，赢得了当之无愧的胜利。0比3是最后的比分。

马赛今天总共失去了12名球员，其中很多都是重要的球员。博彩公司似乎没有给予足够的重视!另一方面，东道主没有德斯勒和Skyttä。周四，在葡萄牙进行了120分钟的艰苦比赛后，马赛击败了本菲卡。这是欧联杯季后赛第二回合的比赛，马赛最终晋级。许多马赛球员在加时赛中看起来非常疲惫——这当然是可以理解的。马赛在最佳的首发11人中不会有很多(新鲜的)球员。我不认为马赛在精神上或身体上已经100%准备好了。在主场，他们可能会表现得更好，因为“偷懒”背叛球迷是不可接受的。当然他们能赢，但是图卢兹应该是最受欢迎的球队!主场获胜的赔率约为2.60。在建议的+0.5个进球障碍下，我们有74%的获胜机会。马赛在一月和二月上半月表现不佳。在那之后，他们在新教练J.加塞特的带领下取得了连续几场胜利。他取代了前AC米兰球员加图索。现在马赛不再享受加塞特的新教练带来的反弹。在周四击败本菲卡之前，马赛连输五场。在法甲联赛的最后一场比赛中，马赛在客场面对里尔，东道主当之无愧地保留了全部三分——3-1是最后的比分。他们有更多的进球尝试、射门、角球、总传球、完成传球和进攻。xG值为1.55 ~ 0.77。在此之前，他们没有多少机会对阵法甲卫冕冠军巴黎圣日耳曼。