Who will be the winner in El Clasico? 西甲皇马VS巴萨
2024-04-21

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

04/22 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Big game in La Liga which could decide the title winner, or not.

Real Madrid has at the moment 8 points advantage, which means that a victory here could make the difference up to 11 with only 6 games remaining to play. But if Barcelona wins, the difference will be 5 points and will add more interest to the title race in the last round. However, I see guests able to avoid defeat here.

Real Madrid is coming from an amazing game at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday, which was one of the most difficult and most demanding games in recent years. They were 120 minutes defending, running behind the ball, with only 36% possession and were physically very intense as they had to keep the concentration for a long period. Carvajal and Vinicius had to be subbed off due to some physical issues during the game.

However, they managed to win in penalties and qualify, beating Man City, which gave them a huge boost of motivation and made them forget the tiredness.

Coach Ancelotti will make some changes in the lineup. Tchouameni, who was suspended in the UCL, will play to give some rest to Nacho as CB, whilst also Lucas and Modric could play replacing Carvajal and Camavinga.

Given the fatigue and situation in the league, I expect Madrid to play a slow-paced game, controlling the tempo. A draw would be a great result for them, keeping the distance up to 8 points plus the goal average (as they won the previous game 1:2).

On the other hand, for Barcelona the season is almost over. This could be their last success in the Xavi era, and I expect them to play with high motivation for that. As you may know, Xavi announced that will leave the club when the season ends, and at the moment they can only fight for the La Liga title which is very difficult.

They had a difficult game in the midweek against PSG, losing 1:4 in a game which surely affected them, as was conditioned by the red card received at 30’ when they were leading 1:0 in the game and 2:4 in the leg. However, they couldn’t manage the situation with 10 players and conceded many chances, 4 goals and were eliminated from the Champions League one more year.

They’ll have less fatigue than Madrid, as they had one more day to rest. Also played at home, whilst Madrid played in Manchester.

The victory here is mandatory for them to at least continue in the title race, and not have the season over with still 6 rounds remaining to play. They lost all the titles played this season, including the Supercup where they lost 1:4 against Real Madrid as well, so I expect them to be very motivated here in their last chance to give a good performance and give joy to their fans. Winning a Clasico is always a big boost for the fans and the clubs.

The truth is that Barcelona is at the moment in their best period of the season. They have been playing well lately in both areas, finding the balance and with some players in great form such as Rapinha or Pedri, whose back has been very positive for Barcelona. Before PSG’s defeat they were in a 6 consecutive games winning run, including a great performance against Atletico Madrid where they won 0:3.

In a game like this one I think that fatigue and motivation could be the key, and in both things Barcelona has the advantage.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

西甲的一场重要比赛将决定谁能夺冠。

皇马目前有8分的优势,这意味着在只剩下6场比赛的情况下,在这里取胜可能会把比分提高到11分。但如果巴塞罗那获胜,差距将是5分,这将为最后一轮的冠军争夺战增加更多的兴趣。不过,我认为客人们可以避免在这里失败。

周三,皇家马德里在阿提哈德球场完成了一场精彩的比赛,这是近年来最困难、最艰巨的比赛之一。他们花了120分钟防守,在球后跑动,只有36%的控球率,他们必须长时间保持注意力集中,身体上非常紧张。卡瓦哈尔和维尼修斯在比赛中因为身体问题被罚下场。

然而,他们设法在点球大战中获胜并晋级,击败了曼城,这给了他们巨大的动力,让他们忘记了疲劳。

主教练安切洛蒂将对阵容做出一些调整。在欧冠联赛被禁赛的Tchouameni将为纳乔的后腰位置提供一些休息,同时卢卡斯和莫德里奇也可以代替卡瓦哈尔和卡马文加。

考虑到联赛的疲惫感和形势,我希望皇马踢一场慢节奏的比赛,控制节奏。平局对他们来说将是一个很好的结果,将差距保持在8分加上平均进球数(因为他们在上一场比赛中以1:2获胜)。

另一方面,对于巴萨来说,赛季即将结束。这可能是他们在哈维时代的最后一次成功,我希望他们能为此而充满斗志。正如你所知,哈维宣布将在赛季结束后离开俱乐部,目前他们只能为西甲冠军而战,这是非常困难的。

他们在周中对阵巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛中经历了一场艰难的比赛,以1:4的比分输掉了比赛,这场比赛无疑对他们产生了影响,因为他们在比赛中1:0领先,在回合中2:4领先的情况下在30分钟收到了红牌。然而,他们无法应对只有10名球员的局面,他们丢了很多机会,进了4球,又一年被淘汰出了欧冠。

他们会比马德里少一些疲劳,因为他们多了一天的休息时间。他们也在主场比赛,而皇马则在曼彻斯特比赛。

这场胜利对他们来说是必须的,至少要继续争夺冠军,而不是在剩下6轮比赛的情况下结束赛季。他们失去了本赛季所有的冠军头衔,包括超级杯,他们也以1:4输给了皇家马德里,所以我希望他们在最后的机会中充满动力,表现出色,给球迷带来欢乐。赢得国家德比对球迷和俱乐部来说总是一个巨大的鼓舞。

事实是,巴萨现在正处于本赛季最好的时期。他们最近在这两个领域都打得很好,找到了平衡,一些球员状态很好,比如拉皮尼亚和佩德里,他们的背部对巴塞罗那来说非常积极。在巴黎圣日耳曼被击败之前,他们已经连续6场获胜,其中包括对阵马德里竞技的一场出色的比赛,他们以0:3获胜。

在这样一场比赛中,我认为疲劳和动力可能是关键,在这两方面巴萨都有优势。

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