Kerry FC VS Athlone Town

Kerry host Athlone for this Irish Division round11 battle at Ferrycarrig Park early Saturday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is extremely low by European standards – even for a second tier! Even for example the Finnish Ykkösliiga is of much better quality! Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of pretty low average quality - even by this league's standards here. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors are the bigger team here – but not by a clear margin at all. Indeed, the Athlone players have an estimated total market value of only 50 000 euros – a very low number indeed. Only one of their players, Gideon Tetteh, has a listed market value. Rather surprisingly, no Kerry player has an estimated market value available! However, they have a few reasonably promising youngsters in the squad. I expect two or even three or their players to be valued at 50 000 euros by the end of this season. Athlone finished in 5th place last season. They took a total of 53 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was lower – 43.21 to be precise. They were overvalued in very many matches last season and this seems to be that case here against Kerry as well! We have every reason to expect them to be much worse this season than in 2023. Kerry were " mess" last season, finishing in last place. The team had a lot of problems on and off the pitch. They took a pathetic 10 points last season but of course were not as bad as this would suggest! Their number of xPTS was massively higher. This season looks hugely better for them! The terrible last season seems to still affect the odds - even in this game

Rather surprisingly, Kerry have not lost any of their last seven games but six of these seven matches have been draws! Even with a hint of luck they would have grabbed many more points. In their last game they faced Treaty United on the road and no goals were scored. However, Kerry had 55% ball possession and recorded many more shots off target, corner kicks, as well as expected goals (xG) 2.98-1.78. Kerry were clear underdogs in this match - priced around 3.60 to win on the betting market. They are currently in 8th place with nine points to their account. However, their number of xPTS is 11.02. Kerry's score difference is 9:10 which is, in fact, better than that of the visitors! Indeed, Athlone's defence has been surprisingly poorly organized this season and they have allowed 16 goals in this league. Their defenders have also made too many silly mistakes.. In offense they have more skilled and faster players than Kerry, no denying that. Yes, they are the better team by pure class but not by a wide margin! The bookies offer Athlone odds of only around 2.35 and this is way too low – taking the decent home advantage and the expected starting lineups into account. Athlone have not been in strong form recently - and have won only two of their last nine games! They did take a win in their most recent game though, at home over Finn Harps 1-0 but it was a balanced clash as a whole and either team could easily have taken all three points! The visitors had 55% ball possession but Athlone did generate moderately more in xG though.

凯瑞VS阿斯隆镇

北京时间周六凌晨，克里将在摆渡公园迎战爱尔兰联赛第11轮的阿斯隆。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是极低的——即使是二级联赛!即使是芬兰的Ykkösliiga，质量也要好得多!足球迷和我们这些抱着长远利益的严肃投注者，可以期待一场平均质量相当低的比赛——即使以联赛的标准来看也是如此。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，客队在这里是更大的球队，但差距并不明显。事实上，阿斯隆球员的总市值估计只有5万欧元，这确实是一个非常低的数字。他们的球员中只有吉迪恩·泰特(Gideon Tetteh)有上市市值。令人惊讶的是，没有一名凯瑞球员的市场价值是可以估计的!然而，他们在球队中有一些相当有前途的年轻人。我预计到本赛季结束时，他们的两名甚至三名球员的身价将达到5万欧元。阿斯隆上赛季排名第五。他们总共拿了53分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)较低，准确地说是43.21。他们在上赛季的很多比赛中都被高估了，在对阵克里的比赛中似乎也是如此!我们有充分的理由预计，他们本赛季的表现会比2023年糟糕得多。克里上个赛季“一团糟”，排在最后一名。这支球队在场上和场下都有很多问题。他们上赛季只拿了可怜的10分，但当然不是那么糟糕!他们的xPTS数量要高得多。这个赛季对他们来说看起来好多了!上赛季糟糕的表现似乎仍然影响着赔率——即使在这场比赛中也是如此

令人惊讶的是，克里在过去的7场比赛中没有输过一场，但这7场比赛中有6场是平局!即使有一点点运气，他们也会得到更多的分数。在上一场客场对阵条约联队的比赛中，他们没有进球。然而，克里拥有55%的控球率，并记录了更多的脱靶射门和角球，以及预期进球(xG) 2.98-1.78。克里在这场比赛中明显处于劣势，在博彩市场上的胜率约为3.60英镑。他们目前以9分排名第8位。但是，他们的xPTS数量为11.02。克里的比分差距是9:10，实际上比客队好!事实上，阿斯隆本赛季的防守组织得非常糟糕，他们在联赛中丢了16个球。他们的后卫也犯了太多愚蠢的错误。在进攻端，他们拥有比克里更有技术和速度的球员，这是不可否认的。是的，从纯粹的水平来看，他们是一支更好的球队，但差距并不大!博彩公司给出的赔率只有2.35左右，这太低了——考虑到体面的主场优势和预期的首发阵容。斯隆最近状态不佳，在最近的9场比赛中只赢了2场!他们在最近的一场比赛中取得了胜利，在主场1-0战胜了芬恩·哈普斯，但这是一场平衡的比赛，任何一支球队都可以轻松拿下三分!客队有55%的控球率，但阿斯隆在比赛中确实产生了更多的球。