Strong results in this league! $$$
2024-04-19

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬超

04/19 23:00

已完赛

塞那乔其
1:0
埃尔维斯
解读理由:

SJK VS Ilves


SJK and Ilves lock horns in this Veikkausliiga round 3 battle at OmaSp Stadion in Seinäjoki late Friday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Finnish football. However, the level of this league is low by European standards. The fact that HJK Helsinki, a team from my hometown, has qualified for the UEFA Conference League twice and for the Europa League once in the last three years does not change this fact. However, here we can expect a match of much better than average quality. The bookies make a lot of mistakes with their odds and I expect yet another very profitable season. We have won six of the last eight picks betting on Veikkausliiga. As only two rounds have been played so far we have to give the in-depth preseason analysis enough emphasis. I had Ilves in 2nd place in my power rating before the season kicked off. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best starting lineup – excluding factors like motivation or an exceptional match schedule. Ilves did not do well in the Veikkausliiga last season but did show their potential and fighting spirit by winning the Suomen Cup (Finnish Cup). They beat FC Honka in the final as clear underdogs on the betting market. They are a massively better team this season and it seems that the betting market does not fully realize this. For example a very good midfielder A. Popovitch and defender J. Pikkarainen have joined the team. They also hired R. Riski, a dangerous striker, who played abroad and at HJK for many years. He has suffered from injuries in the past a couple of seasons but is finally healthy now and is a very dangerous player by Veikkausliiga standards!

In the round 1 Ilves played a goalless draw at home against Lahti but would have deserved a narrow win. However, Lahti defended very well and had some luck on their side. Ilves had 64% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in expected goals (xG) than Lahti. In their last game they lost to Gnistan, a newly-promoted team, 4-6, at home. It was a bizarre game and Gnistan played better than usual. Ilves seemed to be on their way to a pretty easy win as they were leading 2-0 at halftime. I cannot really explain what happened in the 2nd half, perhaps Ilves thought that they were in solid control and their concentration lapsed a bit.. However, Gnistan also took advantage of almost every scoring chance in this game. Ilves were mocked quite a lot after the game in the Finnish media and the bookies have overreacted to this embarrassing loss. Ilves had 58% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts,shots off target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. SJK are favorites on the betting market here, priced around 2.40 won at the time of writing this analysis Friday afternoon Beijing time but this is correct! SJK are a young team with some talented players but by pure class Ilves are much better. Ilves have a bigger announced players' salary budget and are also a bigger team in terms of players' estimated market value - according to Transfermarkt.com. Ilves deserve to be solid favourites here! I also want to mention also that in Veikkausliiga the home advantage is smaller than in most European leagues. SJK have started the season okay (1 win and 1 draw) but have not shown anything that would make me raise their power rating – which is 5th.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

SJK VS Ilves


北京时间周五上午晚些时候,SJK和伊尔维斯将在维拉考斯利亚联赛第三轮比赛中在Seinäjoki的OmaSp体育场进行较量。这是芬兰足球的最高水平。然而,按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平很低。来自我家乡的赫尔辛基HJK在过去的三年里两次进入欧洲联盟联赛,一次进入欧洲联赛,但这并不能改变这一事实。然而,在这里,我们可以期待一场比平均质量好得多的比赛。博彩公司在赔率上犯了很多错误,我期待着又一个非常有利可图的赛季。我们在过去的8次选秀中赢了6次,赌的是维克考斯利加。由于到目前为止只打了两轮比赛,我们必须给予深入的季前赛分析足够的重视。在赛季开始之前,我把伊尔维斯排在我的能量评分第二名。这一排名反映了拥有最佳首发阵容的球队的纯粹级别,排除了动力或特殊赛程等因素。伊尔维斯上赛季在维考斯利加表现不佳,但在赢得苏门杯(芬兰杯)的比赛中表现出了他们的潜力和斗志。他们在决赛中击败了FC Honka,在博彩市场上显然处于劣势。本赛季他们是一支强大得多的球队,而博彩市场似乎并没有完全意识到这一点。例如,一个非常优秀的中场波波维奇和后卫J.皮卡莱宁已经加入了球队。他们还聘请了r·里斯基(R. Riski),他是一名危险的前锋,曾在国外和香港jk效力多年。在过去的几个赛季里,他一直饱受伤病的折磨,但现在他终于恢复了健康,按照维克考斯利加的标准,他是一名非常危险的球员!

在第一轮比赛中,伊尔维斯在主场0比0战平拉赫蒂,但他本可以以微弱优势取胜。然而,拉赫蒂防守很好,他们这边也有一些运气。伊尔维斯有64%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正、射偏、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。他们也比拉赫蒂产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以4比6输给了新升班马格尼斯坦队。这是一场奇怪的比赛,格尼斯坦比平时打得好。半场结束时他们以2-0领先,伊尔维斯似乎正在轻松取胜的路上。我真的无法解释下半场发生了什么,也许伊尔维斯认为他们控制得很好,但他们的注意力有点涣散……然而,格尼斯坦也利用了本场比赛中几乎所有的得分机会。比赛结束后,伊尔维斯在芬兰媒体上受到了很多嘲笑,博彩公司对这场令人尴尬的失利反应过度。伊尔维斯的控球率为58%,他的进球次数、射偏、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。在北京时间周五下午写这篇分析时,SJK在这里的博彩市场上是最受欢迎的,价格在2.40韩元左右,但这是正确的!SJK是一支年轻的球队,有一些有天赋的球员,但从纯粹的水平来看,伊尔维斯要好得多。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,伊尔维斯公布的球员工资预算更高,球员的估计市场价值也更高。我应该是这里最受欢迎的球员!我还想提一下,在维克考斯利加,主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛都要小。SJK本赛季开局不错(1胜1平),但没有任何表现能让我提高他们的实力评级——排名第五。

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