在我看来,南安普敦确实有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少1分的佳绩; 我并不看好利兹。
利兹在本赛季两队之间的首场比赛中获胜,但这对利兹来说并不容易,因为南安普顿的射门次数和控球率更高。
总体而言,南安普敦是一支拥有不错潜力的优秀球队,他们曾在半决赛中出战。我不认为他们是一支比利兹质量更差的球队。南安普敦队仍然有很好的动力赢得最后两场比赛,俱乐部可以多赚1000万英镑,这是巨大的差距。经理哈森胡特尔说:“我们知道我们可以打得比以前更好。我们现在正在展示它。我们还有两场比赛,两场艰难的比赛,还需要拿到六分。”甚至利兹队的经理比尔萨也对南安普敦表示敬意,他说:“根据以往的表现,他们曾处于积分表中不同的位置;他们有一群非常有能力的球员,但没有能登上更高的位置,因为他们中间有9-10场比赛不尽人意。但是团队的水平要高于他们在排名上的位置。''
对于南安普敦而言,这是个好消息,因为重要的中后卫贝德纳雷克(35场比赛)和中场罗密(20场比赛)昨天重新开始训练。南安普敦以几乎最强大的阵容参加这场比赛。今天只有重要的左后卫贝特兰缺席。另一方面,利兹这边4名重要球员缺席:中后卫科赫,中场中场克利希和埃尔南德斯以及边锋科斯塔。
当然,利兹在过去两场比赛中都取得了不错的成绩,但南安普敦在最近两轮比赛中也取得了胜利。 2场比赛之前南安普敦队的前锋和队长英格斯回到了球队,他是比赛的改变者。在最近的两场比赛中,南安普敦队攻入6球,他们以3:1击败水晶宫(英格斯攻入2球),并且以3:1击败富勒姆。圣徒两次主场作战,根本不用去旅行。在本赛季,南安普敦在18场主场比赛中有15场至少进了一球,他们今天应该得分,尤其是在英格斯的比赛中。到目前为止,利兹在18场比赛中失球33球(根据预期的目标,他们应承认38.90失球!),他们是全联盟客场比赛中防守最差的球队之一,只有4支球队在客场失球更多。
另一个有趣的话题-利兹是整个联盟中唯一一支没有在本赛季客场比赛中被平局的球队。今天也许是个好时机?
在我看来,主场获胜似乎是一个很好的选择。
In my opinion Southampton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up. I don't see Leeds as a favorite here.
Leeds won in first match of the season between both teams, but that wasn't fully easy match for Leeds as Southampton had more shots and higher ball possession.
Southampton in overall is good team with decent potential, they played in FA Cup semifinal. I don't see them as a worse team than Leeds quality-wise. Southampton still have very good motivation to win last two matches, club could earn 10mln£ more and this is huge difference. Manager Hasenhuttl said: ''We know that we could play better than we did. We are showing it now. We have two games to go, two tough games and six points to get.'' Even Leeds manager Bielsa have big respect for Southampton, he said: ''It's a team who is in a different position in the table with regards to the performances they have had. They have a group of players who are very capable and they didn't finish higher up in the table because they had a phase of 9 or 10 games that was negative. But the level of the team is superior to the position they find themselves in the table.''
Great information for Southampton because key central defender Bednarek (35 matches) and key central midfielder Romeu (20 matches) back to training yesterday. Southampton coming for this match with almost strongest possible squad. Only important left defender Bertrand is unavailable today. On the other hand Leeds is without 4 important players: central defender Koch, central midfielders Klich and Hernandez and winger Costa.
Of course, Leeds is in good form as they won last two matches, but Southampton as well won in last two rounds. 2 matches ago Southampton top striker and team captain Ings came back to the squad and he is game changer. In last two games Southampton scored 6 goals, they won 3:1 against Crystal Palace (Ings scored 2 goals) and they won 3:1 against Fulham. Saints twice played at home and they don't have to travel at all. In current season Southampton scored at least one goal in 15 of 18 home matches and they should score today, especially with Ings on the pitch. Leeds conceded 33 goals (according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 38.90!) in 18 away matches so far, they have one of the worst defense in away matches in whole league - only 4 teams conceded more goals on away.
One more interesting - Leeds is the only one team in whole league without a draw in away match in current season. Maybe today is good moment for that?
Double chance on home win looks like excellent bet in my eyes.