Who will qualify into semifinal?
2024-04-18

Przem

外籍分析师

欧罗巴

04/19 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Milan has a really good chances to at least avoid loss in this game.


First match between both teams finished with Roma 1:0 win, but that wasn't deserved result at all. Expected goals scored for Milan 1.61, for Roma 0.60. Now it's time for revenge. Milan can here without any fear as they didn't lost at this stadium in last 4 consecutive matches and recorded 3 wins during that run.


No new absences for Milan so their lineup should look exactly the same like in first game against Roma. We will see on the pitch all their top players like Leao, Hernandez, Pulisic or Giroud. On the other hand, Roma have one new absence - their key central midfielder Cristante is unavailable. It's huge blow. According to the ratings, he is in top3 of Roma players in current season.


Milan is better team, no doubt about that. Difference between both is visible in Serie A table. Milan is second, 6 places above Roma and with 14 points more. That should be visible also on the pitch. Milan is rock solid on the road as they went unbeaten in 14 of 17 away league matches and scored 37 goals in the process! Roma won just above half of their Serie A matches (16 out of 31) and conceding more than one goal per game.


Milan's firepower is huge. They scored more than two goals in 4 of the last 6 matches in all competitions. Rome is not so productive. In last 5 consecutive matches in all competitions they failed to score more than one goal.


Is very hard to imagine hosts win. For Roma even draw is acceptable result so in those circumstances double chance on the away side looks good to play.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,米兰在这场比赛中至少有很好的机会避免输球。


两队的第一场比赛以罗马1:0获胜结束,但这根本不是应得的结果。米兰的预期进球数为1.61,罗马为0.60。现在是复仇的时候了。米兰可以毫无畏惧地来到这里,因为他们在过去的4场比赛中没有输过球,并且取得了3场胜利。


米兰没有新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和第一场对罗马的比赛一模一样。我们将在球场上看到他们所有的顶级球员,比如莱奥、埃尔南德斯、普利西奇和吉鲁。另一方面,罗马有一个新的缺阵——他们的核心中场克里斯坦特无法上场。这是一个巨大的打击。根据评分,他在本赛季的罗马球员中排名前三。


米兰是一支更好的球队,这一点毫无疑问。两者的区别在意甲积分榜上是显而易见的。米兰排名第二,比罗马高6位,多14分。这在球场上也应该是可见的。米兰在客场坚如磐石,他们在17场客场比赛中14场保持不败,并在此过程中打进37球!罗马队在意甲联赛中只赢了一半以上的比赛(31场比赛中的16场),而且场均失球超过一个。


米兰的火力是巨大的。在各项赛事的最后6场比赛中,他们有4场进球超过2球。罗马没有那么高产。在最近的5场比赛中,他们在各项赛事中都没有进过一个球。


很难想象东道主会赢。对于罗马来说,即使平局也是可以接受的结果,所以在这种情况下,客场的两倍机会看起来很不错。

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