Wexford VS Longford Town

Wexford welcome Longford for this Irish Division round 2 battle at Ferrycarrig Park early Wednesday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played eight games so far. This is the second-highest level of Irish football. The level of this league is extremely low by European standards – even for a second tier. Even for example the Finnish Ykkösliiga is of much better quality! Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of pretty average quality by this league's standards here. Many goals are expected but I still do not recommend watching this match. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another interesting betting opportunity here! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the bigger team here – but not by a wide margin. Indeed, the Wexford players have an estimated total market value of only 50 000 euros – a very low number. The only player with a listed market value is their goalkeeper, O. Mason. Rather weirdly, no Longford player has an estimated market value! However, they have a few decent youngsters in the squad. I expect 2-3 or their players to be valued at 50 000 euros by the end of the season. Wexford finished in 4th place last season. They took a total of 53 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was smaller. They were overvalued in very many games last season. Their score difference was, in all honesty, not great – 53:54 to be precise. Longford, on the other hand, ended up in 8th place with 40 points to their account. Their number of xPTS was much bigger – 47.11. 

Yes, this season Longford will probably do worse than last season but the bookies should still respect them more. Wexford deserve to be the favourites here as they have an edge in all areas of the game here. However, their odds of around 1.50 offered by the biggest bookies are way too low. We will take the Longford +1.5 goals goals handicap option with a strong chance of winning! The Wexford defence has not been solid at all - they have allowed 15 goals in this league so far. Consequently, I would not be very surprised if Longford were able to score more than once here. Longford have allowed 18 goals. They have netted the ball eight times but their number of expected goals (xG) is 10.03. However, they can still improve in all areas of the game. Improve they should as they have only three points in their pocket.. Their number of xPTS is 7.65.  Wexford occupy the 4th place and their score difference is 16:15. Their number of xG is 12.13 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 13.12. Let's not forget that  Wexford have won only five of their last 13 matches. Moreover, they have won just one of their last 15 games by a margin of one goal! In their last game they beat a pretty lame team, Cobh Ramblers, 4-2, on the road as clear favourites on the betting market. The final score is somewhat misleading though. The hosts even had 59% ball possession! The expected numbers were 1.55-1.87.. Longford have lost two of their last games – both 0-3 – but played better than the final scores would suggest. The bookies have clearly overreacted to these heavy defeats. I want to highlight that they played - as a whole - below their normal level in these games.

韦克斯福德VS朗福德镇

北京时间周三凌晨，韦克斯福德将在费里格公园迎来爱尔兰联赛第二轮对阵朗福德。然而，实际上两支球队到目前为止已经打了8场比赛。这是爱尔兰足球的第二高水平。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平是极低的——即使是二级联赛。即使是芬兰的Ykkösliiga，质量也要好得多!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。预计会有很多进球，但我还是不建议看这场比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个有趣的投注机会!根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，东道主在这里的实力更强，但差距并不大。事实上，这些韦克斯福德球员的总市值估计只有5万欧元，这是一个非常低的数字。唯一有市场价值的球员是他们的守门员O.梅森。更奇怪的是，没有一个朗福德球员的市场价值!然而，他们的阵容中有一些不错的年轻人。我预计到本赛季结束时，他们的2-3名球员的身价将达到5万欧元。韦克斯福德上赛季排名第四。他们总共拿了53分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)要小一些。上赛季他们在很多比赛中都被高估了。坦率地说，他们的得分差距并不大，确切地说是53:54。另一方面，朗福德以40分排名第八。他们的xPTS数量要大得多，为47.11个。

是的，这个赛季朗福德可能会比上赛季表现更差，但博彩公司仍然应该更加尊重他们。韦克斯福德应该成为最受欢迎的球队，因为他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。然而，最大的博彩公司提供的1.50左右的赔率太低了。我们将采取朗福德+1.5个进球的进球障碍选项，有很强的获胜机会!韦克斯福德的防守一点也不稳固，他们在联赛中已经丢了15个球。因此，如果朗福德能够在这里进球不止一次，我不会感到非常惊讶。朗福德丢了18个球。他们有8次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)是10.03。然而，他们仍然可以在比赛的各个方面有所提高。他们应该改进，因为他们口袋里只有三分。它们的xPTS数是7.65。韦克斯福德排名第四，他们的比分差距是16:15。他们的xG数是12.13，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是13.12。别忘了，韦克斯福德在过去的13场比赛中只赢了5场。此外，他们在最近的15场比赛中只赢了一球!在上一场比赛中，他们以4比2击败了一支相当蹩脚的球队——Cobh Ramblers，这支球队在投注市场上显然是夺冠热门。不过最终的得分多少有些误导。主队甚至有59%的控球率!预期数字为1.55-1.87。朗福德在最近的两场比赛中都以0比3输掉了比赛，但他们的表现比最终比分所显示的要好。博彩公司显然对这些惨败反应过度。我想强调的是，他们在这些比赛中的整体表现低于他们的正常水平。