Port Vale VS Wycombe Wanderers

Port Vale welcome Wycombe for this League One round 29 clash at Vale Park in Stoke on Trent early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the best 3rd tier on the planet! Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of lower than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won five picks in a row betting on this league. The stakes are very high for Port Vale here. Indeed, they are in 21st place in this league with a total of 24 clubs. The worst four teams will be relegated. Burton, in 20th place, have 43 points in their pocket. Port Vale have grabbed only 40 points. Yes, there is no denying the fact that they are surely more motivated than Wycombe here. I have, of course, taken this into account in my probability estimation! However, Port Vale are simply a bad team - in weak form! I see them being at very big risk of being relegated.. Their score difference is abysmal – 40:70. This is the second-worst goal difference in this league! Only Carlisle, the rock-bottom team by a wide margin, have done worse in terms of score difference 40:76. The bookies seem to give the motivation factor way too much emphasis.. I do not see Port Vale having too much potential for improvement.. The biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits see Port Vale as favourites here but I strongly disagree! Based on my sophisticated expert analysis the obvious smart bet is the Wycombe +0.5 goals handicap option. Port Vale were pretty bad already last season, but managed to avoid relegation by a margin of four points. Wycombe, on the other hand, played well last season, finishing in 9th place. I want to highlight that they took 20 points more than Port Vale! Furthermore, Port Vale have not been able to beat Wycombe in any of the last six games between the two teams! Some 14 months ago Wycombe beat Port Vale 3-0 away from home! They recorded more goal attempts and shots on goal, in fact Port Vale failed to manage a single shot on Wycombe's goal! Last December Port Vale "stole" a point from Wycombe away from home – it was a 1-1 draw. However, Wycombe were the much better team on the pitch. They recorded more goal attempts (8-3) and shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks as well as dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.65-0.26!

Wycombe currently occupy the 14th place with a decent 55 points to their account. Their score difference is 53:52. With the expected lineups they have a very clear edge over Port Vale in all areas of the game. According to my sources Port Vale do not have a good team spirit and I also do not trust their coach – either in terms of tactical skills or as a leader. Port Vale have been in poor form recently, winning only two of their last 20 matches! Furthermore, they have not won any of their last four games. In their last game they lost to Exeter 2-4 at home. Port Vale were priced around 1.85 to win on the betting market. This is yet another example of them being overvalued by the bookies. Exeter recorded more goal attempts (13-8) and shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks (10-4) as well as dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.55-0.57 in Exeter's favor. Before this Port Vale faced Peterborough away from home and had no chance at all. Indeed, the hosts had 76.30% ball possession and they also recorded massively more goal attempts (14-2) and shots on goal (6-0), shots off goal, corner kicks (13-1) as well as attacks and dangerous attacks - 65-15. The xG numbers were 2.34-0.06! Wycombe have been in mediocre form lately. They have won four of their last games – taking two draws and losing twice. In the League One they have lost only one of their last seven matches. In their last game they beat the very motivated Shrewsbury 2-0 on the road as narrow underdogs on the betting market. They recorded many more goal attempts (8-5) and shots on goal, shots off goal, as well as dangerous attacks than the hosts. The xG numbers were 0.87-0.27 in their favor. The hosts' T. Flanagan was sent off in the 67th minute though. Before this they faced Derby - a very strong team who are currently in 2nd place -  at home. Wycombe were priced around 5.00 to win the game by the bookies. It was a goalless draw but Wycombe recorded more goal attempts, and shots on goal, as well as attacks. Derby managed more dangerous attacks though. I liked the way Wycombe defended – in a very organized way - showing great fighting spirit. Derby, in fact, failed to record any shots on the hosts' goal!

淡水港VS威康比流浪者

北京时间周三凌晨，在斯托克河畔特伦特的淡水河谷公园，淡水港将迎来与维康比的第29轮比赛。这是世界上最好的第三梯队!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个赚钱的赌博机会!我们赌这个联赛连续赢了五次。对淡水港来说，这事关重大。事实上，他们在这个联赛中排名第21位，共有24家俱乐部。最差的四支球队将被降级。排在第20位的伯顿队得到43分。淡水港只拿到了40分。是的，不可否认的事实是，他们在这里肯定比威康比更有动力。当然，我已经在我的概率估计中考虑到了这一点!然而，淡水港只是一支糟糕的球队——处于弱状态!我认为他们有很大的降级风险。他们的比分差太大了——40:70。这是联赛第二差的净胜球!只有卡莱尔队，以巨大的差距垫底，在比分上比他们差40:76。博彩公司似乎过于强调动机因素。我不认为淡水港有太大的改进潜力。拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司认为，淡水港在这里是最受欢迎的，但我坚决不同意!根据我老练的专家分析，显然明智的赌注是威康比+0.5个进球障碍选项。韦尔港上赛季就已经很糟糕了，但还是以4分的优势成功保级。另一方面，威康比上赛季表现不错，排名第九。我想强调的是，他们比淡水港多拿了20分!此外，在两队最近的6场比赛中，维尔港一场也没能击败维康比!大约14个月前，威康比客场3-0击败了维尔港!他们记录了更多的进球尝试和射门，事实上，维尔港连一球都没射到维康比的球门!去年12月，维尔港客场从威科姆那里“偷”了一分——1-1战平。然而，威康比在球场上表现得更好。他们的进球次数更多(8胜3负)，射正、射偏、角球和危险进攻也更多。xG值为1.65-0.26!

目前，威康比以55分的成绩排在第14位。他们的比分差是53:52。在预期的阵容下，他们在比赛的各个方面都有明显的优势。根据我的消息来源，淡水港没有良好的团队精神，我也不相信他们的教练——无论是在战术技巧方面还是在领导方面。淡水港最近状态不佳，在过去的20场比赛中只赢了两场!此外，他们在过去的四场比赛中没有赢过一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场以2比4输给了埃克塞特。在博彩市场上，淡水河谷港的价格在1.85左右。这是他们被博彩公司高估的又一个例子。埃克塞特的进球次数(13-8次)、射正、射偏、角球(10-4次)以及危险进攻都更多。xG值为1.55-0.57，对埃克塞特有利。在此之前，维尔港在客场面对彼得伯勒，根本没有机会。事实上，东道主的控球率为76.30%，而且他们的进球次数(14胜2负)、射正(6胜0负)、射偏、角球(13胜1负)以及进攻和危险进攻(65胜15负)都要多得多。xG值是2.34-0.06!维康比最近表现平平。他们在最近的比赛中赢了四场，两平两负。在英甲联赛中，他们最近七场比赛只输了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场以2比0击败了非常积极的什鲁斯伯里队，但在博彩市场上却处于劣势。他们的进球次数(8胜5负)、射正、射偏以及危险进攻都比东道主多。xG值为0.87-0.27。东道主的弗拉纳根在第67分钟被罚下。在此之前，他们在主场面对德比——一支目前排名第二的强队。博彩公司给威康比开出了5英镑左右的胜率。这是一场0比0的平局，但维康比的进球次数、射门次数和进攻次数都有所增加。德比发动了更多危险的进攻。我喜欢维康比防守的方式——非常有组织的方式——展示了伟大的战斗精神。事实上，德比在主队的球门上没有任何射门!