Who will qualify into semifinal?
2024-04-16

Przem

外籍分析师

欧冠

04/17 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion PSG has a really good chance to at least avoid loss in today's match. Double chance on the away side looks like great option to play.


Barcelona won first match in Paris 3:2. Match was very close and go both ways. Their situation is very comfortable, currently even draw in today's game is a great result.


PSG lost in the first game and that was first loss for them since start of November (!!!). For me they are simply too good to loss twice in a row. What is interesting - in Ligue 1 they playing better on the road than at home where they not recorded a single loss (10 wins in 14 matches with excellent 31:9 goals balance).


PSG top player Mbappe was quiet in opening match, but I expect big reaction from him. Barcelona today is without important defensive players like Balde, Gavi or Christensen so he should be able to produce some dangerous chances to score.


According to the local sources, PSG came for this game with strong belief: ‘In the PSG locker room they point out that Xavi Hernández and his players will not be able to fully exploit the field factor: the imposing Camp Nou is under construction and the Estadi Olímpic, with almost half capacity, will intimidate less. In addition, the 2,700 French followers will be able to be noticed more.’ I also don't have 100% trust for Barcelona at their current 'home", they already recorded there 3 losses in La Liga.


I don't see Barcelona as stronger team, I don't see Xavi as better coach so in those circumstances +0.5 AH on PSG looks like excellent value.



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在我看来,巴黎圣日耳曼很有可能在今天的比赛中避免输球。客场的双重机会看起来是个不错的选择。


巴塞罗那在巴黎的第一场比赛中以3:2获胜。比赛非常激烈,双方都赢了。他们的处境很舒服,目前在今天的比赛中甚至打平都是一个很好的结果。


巴黎圣日耳曼在第一场比赛中输了,这是他们自11月初以来的第一场失利(!!)对我来说,他们太好了,不能连输两次。有趣的是,在法甲联赛中,他们在客场的表现比在主场的表现要好,他们在主场没有一场失利(14场10胜,进球比例为31:9)。


巴黎圣日耳曼顶级球员姆巴佩在首场比赛中表现得很平静,但我希望他能做出巨大的反应。今天的巴塞罗那没有像巴尔德、加维和克里斯滕森这样重要的防守球员,所以他应该能够制造一些危险的得分机会。


据当地消息人士透露,巴黎圣日耳曼带着坚定的信念来观看这场比赛:“在巴黎圣日耳曼的更衣室里,他们指出哈维Hernández和他的球员将无法充分利用场地因素:雄伟的诺坎普正在建设中,而球场Olímpic的容量几乎只有一半,威慑力将会减弱。”此外,2700名法国粉丝将会受到更多关注。“我也不100%相信巴塞罗那在他们现在的主场,他们已经在西甲联赛中输了3场。”


我不认为巴塞罗那是一支更强的球队,我不认为哈维是一个更好的教练,所以在这种情况下,巴黎圣日耳曼+0.5 AH看起来是一个很好的值。

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