+85% winning rate in this league!
2024-04-13

Borja

外籍分析师

德乙

04/13 19:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Big difference here.

Kiel is 2nd in the table, fighting with St Pauli for the title, who is just 2 points above. They have a 6 points advantage with 3rd position (playoff), and have been performing really well recently.

They have been vulnerable defensively during march, but in the last 4 games they improved and managed to keep the goal to nil, making also 4 consecutive victories. Kiel has been the positive surprise of the season, even with important players injured during the season they have been always at the top.

Although they don't have a strong squad, they have a lot of confidence and are having a great season, now fighting for the promotion to Bundesliga.

In the last 9 games they have lost only against leaders St Pauli, in a crazy match which finished 3:4 after a terrible start with 3 goals conceded in the first 36 minutes.

But Osnabruck is the main reason for this pick. At the bottom and 6 points below play-out, 7 below safe zone, they are almost relegated. They have been the whole season in the last positions, which is normal as they have the worst squad and with the lowest quality in the league, and have been promoted this season. They made very few changes in the squad so have not been able to be competitive in the 2. Bundesliga. Their level is 3. Bundesliga.

With 53 goals conceded in 28 games they have the worst defense, as well as the worst attack with 27 scored. Are in the best moment of the season with 4 victories in the last 6 games, but in the previous 21 games they won just 1.

They are a pure counter team, and are usually unable to make the game. Although this game could be good form them as Kiel will dominate, I see hosts being able to control those counters.

Defensively they have been terrible this season, defending like a youth team. And offensively are extremely harmless, particularly because they have absolutely no converter in their team. Their poor conversion of chances definitely has much to do with a lack of quality if you see guys like Conteh.

Kiel is individually better on every position, and although Osnabruck is full of motivation and confidence thanks to their recent results, I believe that their real level has been the one shown during the whole season, and not in the last 6 games. Kiel has the promotion very close, with only 6 rounds remaining to play, and three very difficult fixtures upcoming: Hamburg (4th), Hannover (5th) and Fortuna Dusseldorf (3rd), all of them their main rivals for the 2nd position and direct promotion. They can’t afford to lose points in fixtures like this one, Wehen or Kaiserlautern, all of them weak relegation teams.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这里有很大的不同。

基尔目前在积分榜上排名第二,与仅领先2分的圣保利争夺冠军。他们在季后赛的第三位有6分的优势,而且最近表现得非常好。

三月份他们的防守很脆弱,但在最近的4场比赛中,他们取得了进步,并设法将进球保持在零,并且取得了4连胜。基尔是本赛季最令人惊喜的球队,即使在重要球员受伤的情况下,他们也一直保持着最佳状态。

虽然他们没有强大的阵容,但他们有很多信心,并且正在经历一个伟大的赛季,现在正在为升入德甲而战。

在过去的9场比赛中,他们只输给了领头羊圣保利,在一场疯狂的比赛中,他们在开场36分钟就丢掉了3个球,以3:4结束了比赛。

但奥斯纳布吕克是这个选择的主要原因。在底部和6分以下出局,7低于安全区,他们几乎降级。他们整个赛季都在最后的位置上,这很正常,因为他们是联赛中最糟糕的球队,也是联赛中质量最低的球队,本赛季他们已经升级了。他们在阵容上做了很少的调整,所以在第二赛季没有竞争力。德甲。他们的等级是3。德甲。

他们在28场比赛中丢了53球,防守最差,进攻也最差,进了27球。在过去的6场比赛中,他们取得了4场胜利,这是本赛季最好的时刻,但在之前的21场比赛中,他们只赢了1场。

他们是一个纯粹的对抗团队,通常无法创造游戏。虽然这场比赛对他们来说可能会很好,因为基尔将占据主导地位,但我认为主队能够控制这些反击。

他们本赛季的防守很糟糕,就像一支青年队。进攻端是非常无害的,特别是因为他们的团队中完全没有转换器。如果你看到像孔蒂这样的球员,你就会发现他们糟糕的机会转换与质量的缺乏有很大关系。

基尔是单独更好的在每一个位置,虽然奥斯纳布吕克充满动力和信心由于他们最近的结果,我相信他们的真实水平是一个显示在整个赛季,而不是在过去的6场比赛。基尔离升班线很近,只剩下6轮比赛了,接下来还有三场非常艰难的比赛:汉堡(第四名)、汉诺威(第五名)和杜塞尔多夫(第三名),他们都是他们争夺第二名和直接升班线的主要对手。他们不能在像这样的比赛中丢分,当和凯泽劳滕,他们都是弱级球队。

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