Warta Poznan VS Korona Kielce

Warta Poznan and Korona Kielce lock horns in this Ekstraklasa round 28 battle at Respect Energy Stadium in Grodzisk Wielkopolski very early Saturday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is better than mediocre by European standards. My fans and I can expect a match of relatively lower than average quality by this league's standards here. However, my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! Warta Poznan currently occupy the 14th place in this group. They have 28 points in their pocket. Warta have netted the ball 25 times in this league so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is a little bigger. The visitors have much more offensive power and most of their offensive players are more skilled than those of the hosts. Indeed, Korona Kielce have scored 30 goals. Warta have allowed only 33 goals in the Ekstraklasa but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger. Korona Kielce have only 27 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is significantly higher!

The biggest bookies see the hosts as favourites here but I disagree! Indeed, with the expected lineups, based on my strongly data-based expert analysis, the visitors deserve to be the favourites here. I see the game as even more low-scoring than the bookies seem to estimate. Neither team have really improved me recently. Furthermore, the stakes are high and the players will surely want to avoid mistakes. Both teams are at risk of being relegated to the second tier. The draw would not surprise anyone – we will take the Korona Kielce +0.5 goals handicap option here. Neither team have been in good form recently. Indeed, both have won just one of their last five matches. Korona Kielce took a win in their last game, beating Stal Mielec 1-0 at home. It was a rather uneventful battle as a whole. Korona Kielce defended very well – Stal Mielec failed to record one shot on goal. Stal Mielec had 57% ball possession but Korona Kielce generated more in xG – 0.88-0.44 to be precise. This win was surely a big boost to their confidence. Before this they faced Widzew Lodz on the road and lost 1-3. However, they would have deserved at least a point – despite being pretty clear underdogs in this match – priced around 3.90 to win by the bookies. Both teams had four goal attempts. Korona Kielce generated 1.97 in xG – the hosts managed only 1.05. Warta Poznań lost to Slask Wroclaw 1-2 away from home in their last match. Warta were very lame in this game - especially offensively. They failed to record any shots on the hosts' goal. Slask – despite not being at their best - deserved to win the game as they generated more in xG.

波兹南VS凯尔切

北京时间周六凌晨，波兹南和凯尔切在格罗季斯克维尔科波尔斯基的尊重能源体育场进行了Ekstraklasa第28轮的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平还算中等。我和我的球迷可以期待一场相对低于联赛平均水平的比赛。然而，我和我的粉丝在这里还有另一个有希望的投注机会!瓦塔·波兹南目前在这个小组中排名第14位。他们已经拿到了28分。到目前为止，瓦尔塔在这个联赛中已经打进了25球。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)要大一些。客队的进攻力量要大得多，而且他们的进攻球员大多比主队的技术更娴熟。事实上，科罗纳-凯尔采已经进了30个球。瓦尔塔在Ekstraklasa只丢了33个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)要大得多。Korona Kielce的账户只有27分，但他们的预期积分(xPTS)要高得多!

最大的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，但我不同意!事实上，根据我基于数据的专家分析，根据预期的阵容，客队理应成为最受欢迎的球队。我认为这场比赛的得分比博彩公司估计的还要低。两支球队最近都没有提高我的水平。此外，赌注很高，玩家肯定希望避免犯错。两支球队都有降级到乙级的危险。平局不会让任何人感到惊讶——我们将选择科罗纳·凯尔切+0.5个进球障碍的选项。两队最近的状态都不太好。事实上，两队在最近的五场比赛中都只赢了一场。科罗纳·凯尔策队在上一场比赛中主场1-0击败了斯托尔·米列茨队，取得了胜利。总的来说，这是一场相当平淡无奇的战斗。科罗那·凯尔切防守很好——斯塔尔·米勒茨一脚射门都没射正。斯托尔·米列茨有57%的控球率，但科罗纳·凯尔切在xG - 0.88-0.44的比赛中创造了更多的控球率。这场胜利无疑极大地增强了他们的信心。在此之前，他们客场面对罗兹，以1-3输掉了比赛。然而，他们至少应该得到一分——尽管在这场比赛中他们明显处于劣势——博彩公司开出的胜率约为3.90分。两队都有四次射门机会。科罗那·凯尔采在上届比赛中取得了1.97分，东道主只取得了1.05分。波兹纳斯在上一场客场1-2不敌弗罗茨瓦夫。瓦尔塔在这场比赛中表现很差劲，尤其是在进攻端。他们没有在东道主的球门上记录任何射门。尽管没有达到最佳状态，但斯拉克应该赢得比赛，因为他们在xG上创造了更多。