A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 荷乙 格拉夫VS特尔斯达
2024-04-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

荷乙

04/13 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

De Graafschap VS SC Telstar


De Graafschap welcome Telstar for this Eerste Divisie round 34 battle at De Vijverberg in Doetinchem early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Dutch football. The level of this league is decent – for a second tier I mean. We can expect a match of mediocre level by this league's standards here! I expect a somewhat one-sided game here. Indeed, the hosts have a very clear edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. I expect them to be aggressive right from the kickoff – putting big pressure on the visitors' pretty leaky defence. Indeed, the visitors have conceded 55 goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is even bigger. They have pretty good fans by this league's standards. Telstar have been very on the road in this league so far this season. Indeed, they have lost 12 of the 16 away games. Their score difference in these 16 matches is abysmal  - 12:29 to be precise! They are very often way too passive away from home which usually results in too big pressure on their defence – late into the second half at the latest. They are currently in 16th place in the standings in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They have no chance of being promoted to the Eredivisie for next season. Last season they ended up in 19th place. The hosts finished in 9th place with 21 points more to their account than Telstar.

De Graafschap have improved a lot from last season and currently occupy the 6th place in the standings with 55 points to their account. Their score difference is okay – 49:46. They have a genuine chance of being promoted to the first tier for the next season. I would have expected a little more from them offensively but they can still improve in this area of the game. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 53.43. Telstar have netted the ball only 40 times. Telstar have taken some wins at home recently but have lost six of their last seven away games. In their last game they beat Jong PSV 3-1 at home but the match could easily have gone either way. Telstar were very clear favorites in this game on the betting market. The hosts recorded more goal attempts but the visitors had 53% ball possession but recorded more attacks. The xG numbers were 1.65-1.54 in Jong PSV's favour. The hosts lost to a dangerous team, Dordrecht 1-2 on the road in their last game. However, De Graafschap had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-11), shots on goal, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they beat Jong Az at home 2-1. The xG numbers were 1.44-0.67. In round 30 they lost to Groningen 2-4, currently in 3rd place, away from home as big underdogs. Yes, the hosts were the better team, but not by a wide margin. Groningen had 52% ball possession and recorded four more attacks than the visitors – 100-96. Odds of around 1.55 are widely available on the home win and we will gladly take it!



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De Graafschap VS SC Telstar


北京时间周六凌晨,德格拉夫夏普欢迎Telstar参加联赛第34轮在德维弗贝格的比赛。这是荷兰足球的第二高水平。这个联赛的水平是不错的——我是说对于一个二线球队来说。按照这个联赛的标准,我们可以期待一场中等水平的比赛!我认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。事实上,东道主在比赛的各个方面都有非常明显的优势。我希望他们从开球开始就有侵略性——给客队漏洞百出的防线施加巨大的压力。事实上,客队已经丢了55个球。他们允许的预期进球数(xGA)甚至更大。按照这个联盟的标准,他们有相当不错的球迷。本赛季到目前为止,电视之星在这个联盟中一直很活跃。事实上,他们在16场客场比赛中输掉了12场。他们在这16场比赛中的比分差简直糟透了——准确地说是12:29 !他们在客场总是太被动,这通常会给他们的防守带来太大的压力——最迟在下半场后期。他们目前在联赛中排名第16位,共有20家俱乐部。他们下赛季没有机会升入荷甲联赛。上个赛季他们只排在第19位。东道主以比电视之星多21分的成绩排在第九位。

德格拉夫沙普与上赛季相比有了很大的进步,目前他们以55分的积分排名第六。他们的比分差还好,49:46。下个赛季,他们确实有机会升入甲级联赛。我本来对他们的进攻有更多的期望,但他们在这方面仍然可以提高。他们的预期目标数(xG)是53.43。Telstar只把球打进了40次。电视之星最近在主场取得了一些胜利,但在过去的7场客场比赛中输了6场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场3-1击败了埃因霍温,但这场比赛很容易就会出现两种结果。在博彩市场上,电视之星在这场比赛中非常受欢迎。主队的进球次数更多,但客队的控球率为53%,进攻次数也更多。xG的数字是1.65-1.54,对钟埃斯温温有利。东道主在上一场比赛中客场1-2输给了一支危险的球队多德雷赫特。然而,德·格拉夫恰普有52%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(14-11次)、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻。在此之前,他们在主场2-1击败了世宗。xG值为1.44 ~ 0.67。在第30轮比赛中,他们以2-4输给了目前排名第三的格罗宁根,在客场他们是大输家。是的,东道主的表现更好,但差距并不大。格罗宁根队有52%的控球率,并且比客队多4次进攻——100比96。大约1.55的赔率是广泛可用的主场胜利,我们将很乐意接受它!

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