5 WINNERS in a row! $$$ 欧冠 阿森纳VS拜仁
2024-04-09

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧冠

04/10 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Arsenal VS Bayern Munich


Arsenal host Bayern Munich for this UEFA Champions League quarter-finals first leg clash at Emirates Stadium in London early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The stakes are gigantic between these two very big teams. However, only Arsenal are world-class at the moment. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of elite quality here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to increase the hot streak of five consecutive wins! In this league we have won 7/9 last picks! Arsenal currently top the English Premier League standings with an impressive 71 points to their account. This is clearly the best league in the world. Bayern Munich, on the other hand, are having a disappointing season – by their standards. Last season they were far from impressive in the Bundesliga, the 3rd-best league on the planet. They did take the championship though as Dortmund very surprisingly failed to win their last game, as huge favourites. At the moment they are in 2nd place in the Bundesliga, a whopping 16 points behind Bayer Leverkusen! Their coach, Tuchel, will leave the club after the season and there has been a lot of speculation on his situation/position in the football media. A big percentage of Bayern fans would have wanted to sack him already. There are also a lot of rumors on Tuchel having a bad relationship with many players. Furthermore, Tuchel is an overrated coach in my expert opinion – both in terms of tactical skill and as a leader. He has been in decline since winning the Champions League with Chelsea in 2021. Arsenal's manager, Arteta, is learning quickly and is a great leader. The players and fans alike respect - or even "love" him. However, he is not yet a top-3 manager in the world.

It is true that Champions League games are to some extent "different" from domestic league games. I have, of course,  taken this into account in my probability estimation. In big Champions League games Bayern have often raised their level from the level they perform in the Bundesliga. Arsenal have not even made it to the Champions League for many years. However, they are a young team that has been steadily improving for some three years now and are close to their peak at the moment. According to my sources they also have an excellent team spirit! As for Bayern I would guess this is not the case at the moment.. I want to highlight that Bayern have not been even close to winning the Champions League for many years.. Their decline started already in the 2021-2022 but the pace of the decline has accelerated this season.  In 2020 they did, however, beat a disappointing PSG in the final 1-0.  It seems that the bookies give Arsenal's lack of success in the Champions League way too much emphasis here. The home advantage in international club games is often even a little bigger than the bookies and recreational bettors realize – this is the case here as well! In the 2md leg, in Germany, Arsenal will probably have to fight very hard to win– unless they completely crush Bayern here..  Let's not forget that in the last round of Playoffs Bayern even lost to Lazio, a pretty limited team, 0-1 away from home after a very lame performance. Yes, by pure class Manchester City are the best team on the planet but their edge over for example Arsenal, Liverpool is pretty marginal at the moment. Bayern are not among the top-5 teams on the planet at the moment! The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers offer odds of around 1.75 on the home win here and we will gladly take it to extend the winning streak!

 Arsenal have been in much better form than the German visitors recently. They have won eight of their last 10 games – the visitors have won only 5/10! In their last game Arsenal crushed Brighton 3-0 on the road. Brighton are not a bad team and played in the UEFA Europa League Playoffs this season. Arsenal were dominant in this game - generating 4.02 in expected goals (xG)! Brighton managed only 0.33. Before this they offered Luton hardly any chance scoring – taking a comfortable 2-0 win at home. In round 30 of the Premier League, on the 31st of last month, Man City hosted Arsenal and the two teams played an extremely high-level but very defensive game at Etihad Stadium. Man City only recorded one shot on target – Arsenal managed two. Either team could have won this clash but the hosts did generate a bit more in xG. I - along with many other professional bettors and football commentators - was impressed with Arsenal's ability to suffocate Man City's offense in this clash. Even the Norwegian "monster" striker E. Håland looked totally clueless in this match! Arsenal were solid underdogs in this game – indeed, Man City were priced around 2.00 to win on the betting market at the time of kickoff. Bayern have lost two of their last games; they lost to a newly-promoted -and a very small team by Bundesliga standards - Heidenheim 2-3 on the road as big favorites – priced around 1.40 to win by the bookies. It was a shameful performance from Bayern! They led 2-0 at halftime but looked a bit lazy and arrogant in the 2nd half. Before this they were priced below 1.35 to beat Dortmund at home but lost 0-2 after a lazy and somewhat disorganized performance. The Bayern fans were very disappointed – some even furious - during and after the game. Going into this game Bayern had won 9/10 of the last matches between the two teams. To sum up, we can never say that Bayern are without chances in any football but at the moment they are very far from their best level. They cannot match Arsenal in any area of the game. Arsenal have the biggest edge over the visitors in terms of defensive quality. Bayern's elite striker H. Kane is the only Bayern player who has performed at top level this season.  



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿森纳VS拜仁慕尼黑


北京时间周三凌晨,阿森纳将在伦敦酋长球场迎战拜仁慕尼黑,进行欧冠1 / 4决赛首回合比赛。这两支非常大的球队之间的赌注是巨大的。然而,目前只有阿森纳是世界级的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以在这里期待一场高质量的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有希望的投注机会来增加五连胜的连胜纪录!在这个联赛中,我们赢得了7胜9负!阿森纳目前以令人印象深刻的71分领跑英超积分榜。这显然是世界上最好的联赛。另一方面,拜仁慕尼黑正经历着一个令人失望的赛季——以他们的标准来看。上个赛季,他们在德甲这个世界上排名第三的联赛中表现不佳。他们确实获得了冠军,尽管多特蒙德在上一场比赛中出人意料地未能获胜,他们是夺冠热门。目前他们在德甲排名第二,落后勒沃库森足足16分!他们的教练图切尔将在赛季结束后离开俱乐部,足球媒体对他的处境和位置有很多猜测。很大一部分拜仁球迷已经想解雇他了。还有很多关于图切尔和很多球员关系不好的传闻。此外,在我看来,图切尔是一个被高估的教练——无论是战术技巧还是作为一个领导者。自2021年随切尔西赢得欧冠冠军以来,他的状态一直在下降。阿森纳的主教练阿尔特塔学得很快,是一个伟大的领袖。球员和球迷都尊重他,甚至“爱”他。然而,他还不是世界排名前三的教练。

诚然,欧冠比赛在某种程度上与国内联赛“不同”。当然,在我的概率估计中,我已经考虑到了这一点。在欧冠的重要比赛中,拜仁的水平往往比他们在德甲的表现要高。阿森纳甚至已经很多年没有进入欧冠了。然而,他们是一支年轻的球队,三年来一直在稳步进步,目前正接近他们的巅峰。据我所知,他们也有出色的团队精神!至于拜仁,我想这不是目前的情况。我想强调的是,拜仁已经很多年没有接近欧冠冠军了……它们的下降已经在2021-2022年开始,但本季度下降的速度加快了。然而,在2020年,他们确实在决赛中以1比0击败了令人失望的巴黎圣日耳曼。似乎博彩公司在这里过分强调了阿森纳在欧冠联赛中的失败。国际俱乐部比赛的主场优势往往比博彩公司和休闲投注者意识到的还要大一点——这里的情况也是如此!在第2回合,在德国,阿森纳可能会非常努力地争取胜利——除非他们在这里彻底击败拜仁。让我们不要忘记,在季后赛的最后一轮,拜仁甚至输给了拉齐奥,一个相当有限的球队,0-1客场在一个非常糟糕的表现。是的,从纯粹的等级来看,曼城是这个星球上最好的球队,但他们与阿森纳、利物浦相比的优势目前微乎其微。拜仁现在还不是世界前五的球队!最大的博彩公司谁接受最大的赌注从客户提供的赔率约1.75在主场获胜,我们将很高兴地采取它来延长连胜!

阿森纳最近的状态比德国客队好得多。他们在最近10场比赛中赢了8场,而客队只赢了5场!在上一场比赛中,阿森纳客场3比0大胜布莱顿。布莱顿是一支不错的球队,本赛季参加了欧联杯季后赛。阿森纳在这场比赛中占据统治地位——预期进球数为4.02 !布莱顿只得到了0.33分。在此之前,他们几乎没有给卢顿任何得分的机会——在主场以2:0轻松取胜。上个月31日,英超联赛第30轮,曼城主场迎战阿森纳,两支球队在阿提哈德球场进行了一场高水平但非常防守的比赛。曼城只有一次射正,而阿森纳有两次射正。任何一支球队都有可能赢得这场比赛,但东道主在比赛中确实创造了更多的机会。我和其他许多职业投注者和足球评论员一样,对阿森纳在这场比赛中压制曼城进攻的能力印象深刻。在这场比赛中,就连挪威的“怪物”前锋E. ha<s:1>兰德也显得毫无头绪!屁股

在这场比赛中,他们都是绝对的失败者——事实上,在开球时,曼城在博彩市场上的胜率约为2.00。拜仁最近输掉了两场比赛;他们输给了一支新升级队——按照德甲标准,这是一支非常小的球队——海登海姆客场2-3胜率最高——博彩公司开出的胜率约为1.40。这是拜仁可耻的表现!上半场他们以2比0领先,但下半场他们显得有些懒散和傲慢。在此之前,在主场击败多特蒙德时,他们的定价低于1.35,但在懒散和有些混乱的表现后,他们以0比2输掉了比赛。拜仁球迷在比赛中和赛后都非常失望,有些人甚至愤怒。在这场比赛之前,拜仁在两队之间的最后一场比赛中赢了9/10。总而言之,我们不能说拜仁在任何足球比赛中都没有机会,但目前他们离最佳水平还差得很远。他们在比赛的任何方面都无法与阿森纳匹敌。阿森纳在防守质量方面比客队有最大的优势。拜仁的顶级前锋h·凯恩是本赛季唯一一位在顶级水平上表现出色的拜仁球员。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。