Reims VS Nice

Reims host Nice for this French Ligue 1 round 28 clash at Stade Auguste-Delaune late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the 5th-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. We have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to increase the good streak of 9/11 last picks won! Reims currently occupy the 9th place in the standings with a decent 39 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is somewhat lower. They have netted the ball 35 times in this league and have conceded 36 goals. They are safe from relegation and mathematically still  have a chance of making it to the top-3 - and a place in the UEFA Champions League - or Europa League if they were to finish in 5th place but I think this is extremely improbable. Indeed, Rennes (8th place), Marseille (7th) and Nice (6th place) are all better teams by pure class than Reims! Nice's chances of taking 5th, 4th - or even 3rd place are not perhaps not probable but still realistic. I expect them to be slightly more motivated here! The bookies have made a mistake with their odds here. Indeed, the biggest bookies offer odds of around 2.45 on the home win at the time of posting. Based on my strongly data-based analysis Nice deserves to be slim favourites here. The goal expectancy is lower than the bookies estimate and a draw would not surprise anyone here. We will take the Nice +0.5 goals handicap option.

Nice have a strong 43 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is 47.76. They have scored only 28 goals and do lack some offensive creativity compared to PSG. However, they play very cautious – sometimes even passive football, especially away from home.. I need to highlight that their number of expected goals (xG) is still 42.11. Their defence has no obvious weaknesses and they have allowed only 22 goals in Ligue 1 so far this season! Only Brest, currently in 2nd place, have conceded less goals. We should thank Nice's excellent coach for their rock-solid defence.. It is true that Nice have not been in impressive form lately – winning only one of their last five games. However, the bookies have overreacted to their lame recent results. I want to mention that they have also had some bad luck in many games in February and March. In their last game they lost to Nantes 1-2 at home despite being slightly the better team on the pitch. Before this they were excellent, beating Lens 3-1 on the road as clear underdogs. Nice recorded 2.21 in xG – Lens managed 0.88. The hosts have won two of their last 10 games but are undefeated in their last three matches. However, they have not impressed me recently.. Nice are the much bigger team here in terms of players' estimated total market value - according to Transfermarkt.com

兰斯VS尼斯

北京时间周日晚，兰斯主场迎战尼斯，将在奥古斯特-德劳球场迎战法甲第28轮。这是世界上第五好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。我们还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会，可以增加9/11最后一次选择获胜的良好势头!兰斯目前在积分榜上排名第九，他们得到了39分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)要低一些。他们在联赛中取得了35次进球，丢了36个球。他们不会降级，从数学上来说，他们仍然有机会进入前三，如果他们以第五名结束比赛，他们将有机会进入欧洲冠军联赛或欧洲联赛，但我认为这是极不可能的。事实上，雷恩(第8名)、马赛(第7名)和尼斯(第6名)在纯粹级别上都比兰斯强!尼斯获得第五、第四甚至第三名的机会不是不可能，但仍然是现实的。我希望他们在这里更有动力!博彩公司在赔率上弄错了。事实上，最大的博彩公司在发布时提供的主场获胜赔率约为2.45。基于我强烈的数据分析，尼斯理应成为最受欢迎的城市。预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低，平局不会让这里的任何人感到惊讶。我们将采用尼斯+0.5个目标障碍选项。

尼斯在他们的账户上有很强的43分。他们的xPTS数量是47.76。他们只进了28个球，与巴黎圣日耳曼相比确实缺乏进攻创造力。然而，他们踢得非常谨慎，有时甚至是被动的足球，尤其是在客场。我需要强调的是，他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然是42.11。他们的防守没有明显的弱点，本赛季到目前为止，他们在法甲只丢了22个球!只有目前排名第二的布雷斯特丢的球比他少。我们应该感谢尼斯优秀的教练坚如磐石的防守。尼斯最近确实状态不佳，最近五场比赛只赢了一场。然而，博彩公司对他们最近糟糕的结果反应过度。我想说的是，他们在2月和3月的许多比赛中运气也不好。在上一场比赛中，他们主场1-2输给了南特队，尽管他们在场上表现稍好一些。在此之前，他们表现出色，在客场3-1击败了蓝斯，显然处于劣势。尼斯在xG录得2.21，而蓝斯则录得0.88。东道主在最近10场比赛中赢了2场，但在最近3场比赛中保持不败。然而，他们最近并没有给我留下什么印象。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市值来看，尼斯队要大得多