BIG GAME! GREAT ODDS! 法甲 布雷斯特VS梅斯
2024-04-07

Ricards

外籍分析师

法甲

04/07 19:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Six games are going to happen in the French Ligue 1 on Sunday night and I'm going to talk about the battle between Brest and Metz. After 27 games, Brest has 14 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses, a total of 50 points and 2nd place while Metz has 6 wins, 5 draws, 16 losses, a total of 23 points and 17th place. In this game, I predict Brest's win.

In the last 7 games, Brest has 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. One draw was against Clermont won the road but Brest had a better xG. Before the break, Brest drew 1:1 at home against Lille but the hosts again had a better xG. Last round, Brest beat Lorient with a late goal but Brahimi got a red card so he won't be playing in this game. At the same time, he's a substitute so the loss won't be so tough. Brest is a good home team with 7 wins and 5 draws in 13 games, with a total of 20 goals scored and 8 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 22.2 at home, the xGA is 10.5 with a difference of 11.6.

Metz has 2 wins and 4 losses in the last 6 games. The team beat Nantes and Clermont but 2 of 3 goals were from the penalty line. Last round, Metz hosted Monaco and lost 2:5 although the xG difference wasn't so big. On the road this season, Metz has 4 wins and 2 draws in 14 games, with a total of 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 13.1 on the road, the xGA is 28.4 with a difference of -15.3.

This is a very important game for both teams but Brest has an upper hand. They are in the 2nd place but just 4 points above the 4th-placed Monaco. The team has a great chance to play in the Champions League next season not only for the 1st time ever but also that would be the 1st time ever to play in any international competition! The xG difference speaks for itself, and Brest already has won the 1st meeting this season.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日晚上法甲联赛将有六场比赛,我将谈谈布雷斯特和梅斯之间的战斗。27场比赛后,布雷斯特14胜8平5负,积50分排名第2,梅茨6胜5平16负,积23分排名第17。在这场比赛中,我预测布雷斯特会赢。

在过去的7场比赛中,布雷斯特取得了4胜2平1负的成绩。一场平局是客场战胜克莱蒙,但布雷斯特有一个更好的xG。中场休息前,布雷斯特主场1:1战平里尔,但主队又有了更好的阵容。上一轮,布雷斯特在最后时刻进球击败洛里昂,但卜拉希米得到了红牌,因此他无法参加本场比赛。同时,他是替补,所以输掉比赛不会太难受。布雷斯特是一支优秀的主队,13场比赛7胜5平,进20球丢8球。球队在主场的xG值为22.2,xGA值为10.5,两者之差为11.6。

梅斯最近6场比赛2胜4负。这支球队击败了南特和克莱蒙,但3个进球中有2个来自罚球线。上一轮,梅斯主场迎战摩纳哥,以2:5输掉了比赛,不过双方的xG差距并不是很大。在本赛季的客场比赛中,梅斯在14场比赛中取得了4胜2平的成绩,进13球失25球。该队在路上产生的xG为13.1,xGA为28.4,差值为-15.3。

这对两队来说都是一场非常重要的比赛,但布雷斯特占了上风。他们排名第二,但只比排名第四的摩纳哥高出4分。这支球队下赛季有很大的机会参加欧冠联赛,这不仅是有史以来第一次,也是有史以来第一次参加任何国际比赛!xG的差距不言自明,布雷斯特已经赢得了本赛季的第一次交锋。

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