A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 法乙 圣埃蒂安VS孔卡诺
2024-04-06

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

04/06 21:00

已完赛

圣埃蒂安
1:0
孔卡诺
解读理由:

Saint Etienne VS Concarneau


St. Etienne welcome Concarneau for this French Ligue 2 round 31 battle at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the fifth-best second tier on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat decent level by this league's standards. We have yet another promising betting opportunity to increase the good streak. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the better team here. The key question is: How much better are they.. Yes, St. Etienne have an edge in all areas of the game. They are currently in 3rd place in the league table. Their offense is pretty far from top-level by this league's standards. It lacks some creativity and speed. They have netted the ball only 38 times in Ligue 2. Their defence, on the other hand, is solid – mainly thanks to a good defensive structure. They have allowed only 23 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 29.43. I expect a more low-scoring and rather uneventful match as the visitors will surely defend very hard.. St. Etienne often aim at lowering the tempo of the game after they have taken the lead. Concarneau are unlikely to change their tactics a lot even if they were to end up trailing by a margin of one goal. Their style of play is strongly based on fast counter attacks. Odds on the home win offered by the bookies are around 1.40 and this is too low based on my expert opinion. The visitors +1.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here.. The chance of winning is 64.50%. Odds of around 1.70 are widely available at the time of posting.

Concarneau are in 18th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. The four last teams will be relegated. However, the visitors still have a good chance of saving themselves. Indeed, they are just two points behind Troyes, currently in 16th place. They must be extremely motivated here. They have scored only three goals less than the hosts. Their defence does, in all honesty, lack individual skill to challenge for a top-10 place. They have grabbed 33 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 37.75. Their recent results are weak but they have played better than many matches' final scores would suggest. The bookies have reacted to Concerneau's latest results.. In their last game they lost to Angers 2-4 at home as clear underdogs. Angers are a very strong team, currently in 2nd place. Angers did record more in expected goals (xG) but the hosts had more attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they Concarneau were not at their best and lost to Pau on the road 0-2 as clear underdogs according to the bookies. The match was more balanced than the final score would reflect. Pau had 15 goal attempts – the visitors managed 11. The hosts have taken many wins recently but have also had some luck on their side. In their last game they beat the rock-bottom team, Valenciennes, 2-0 away from home as very big favourites – priced around 1.45 to win on the betting market. recorded many more goal attempts (16-4), shots on goal (6-1), shots off goal (10-3), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 85-33. The visitors generated 1.67 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.40. Valenciennes recorded many more goal attempts (12-8), shots on goal (5-3), shots off goal (10-3), attacks and dangerous attacks – 52-56. Both teams generated 0.88 in xG. Before this St. Etienne beat Bastia 4-0 away from as very clear favourites. However, the final score is massively misleading! Bastia missed a penalty when the score was 0-0 and also had 51% ball possession as well as recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks – 61-38. The xG numbers were 1.33-1.63.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

圣艾蒂安VS康卡诺


北京时间周六晚上,圣艾蒂安欢迎孔卡诺参加法甲联赛第31轮的比赛。这是世界上第五好的第二梯队。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看还算不错的比赛。我们还有另一个很有希望的投注机会来增加连胜纪录。当然,毫无疑问,东道主在这里是一支更好的球队。关键问题是:他们有多好……是的,圣艾蒂安在比赛的各个领域都有优势。他们目前在联赛中排名第三。按照联盟的标准,他们的进攻还远没有达到顶级水平。它缺乏一些创造力和速度。他们在法甲联赛中只有38次进球。他们的防守,另一方面,是坚实的-主要得益于良好的防守结构。他们只丢了23个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是29.43个。我期待一场比分更低、更平淡无奇的比赛,因为客队肯定会非常努力地防守。圣艾蒂安经常在取得领先后降低比赛的节奏。康卡诺不太可能改变他们的战术,即使他们最终以一球的差距落后。他们的打法以快速反击为基础。博彩公司提供的主场获胜赔率约为1.40,根据我的专家意见,这太低了。客队1.5个进球的劣势显然是明智的选择。中奖几率为64.50%。在发布时,1.70左右的赔率广泛可用。

康卡诺在这个联赛中排名第18位,总共有20家俱乐部。最后四支球队将降级。然而,游客们仍然有很大的机会自救。事实上,他们只落后特鲁瓦两分,目前特鲁瓦排在第16位。他们在这里一定非常积极。他们只比东道主少进了三个球。老实说,他们的防守确实缺乏挑战前10名的个人技术。虽然他们拿到了33分,但他们的期望分数(xPTS)是37.75分。他们最近的成绩不佳,但他们的表现比许多比赛的最终比分所显示的要好。博彩公司对Concerneau的最新结果作出了反应。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2-4不敌愤怒队,明显处于劣势。愤怒是一支非常强大的球队,目前排名第二。愤怒队的预期进球(xG)确实更多,但主队的进攻和危险进攻更多。在此之前,他们康卡诺并没有处于最佳状态,在客场0比2输给了加索尔,根据博彩公司的说法,他们显然处于劣势。这场比赛比最终比分所反映的更加平衡。保罗有15次射门,而客队只有11次。东道主最近取得了许多胜利,但他们也有一些运气。在上一场比赛中,他们客场2-0击败了排名垫底的瓦伦西亚队,成为夺冠热门,在博彩市场上的赔率约为1.45。进球次数(16胜4负),射正(6胜1负),射偏(10胜3负),角球次数,总传球次数,完成传球次数,进攻次数和危险进攻次数(85胜33负)。客队在xG中产生了1.67,而主队只产生了0.40。瓦朗谢纳的进球次数(12胜8负)、射正(5胜3负)、射偏(10胜3负)、进攻和危险进攻(52胜56负)都比他多。两支球队在xG上的得分都是0.88。在此之前,圣艾蒂安在客场4-0击败巴斯蒂亚,这是非常明显的夺冠热门。然而,最终的分数是巨大的误导!在比分为0-0的时候,巴斯蒂亚罚丢了一个点球,控球率也达到了51%,他的进攻和危险进攻也更多了——61比38。xG值为1.33 ~ 1.63。

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