Lille vs Marseille

Lille and Marseille lock horns for this French Ligue 1 round 28 clash at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of good level by this league's standards. Most importantly we have yet another promising betting opportunity here to increase the hot streak here. The hosts are currently in 4th place in the standings. They have a fine 46 points in their pocket and are fighting hard for a ticket in the UEFA Champions League for the next season. Teams who finish 1-3 will earn a ticket directly and the team that finished in 4th place will play in the qualification. Lille's number of expected points (xPTS) is even higher than 46. They have scored only 43 goals and do not have massive firepower, at least compared to PSG. However, they play very well-organized football and have allowed only 24 goals. Just one goal less than PSG, who top the standings with 62 points. The Lille defence has no obvious weaknesses. Lille's number of expected goals (xG) is 47.03 so their offense is still pretty good. At home they have been amazingly strong! Indeed, they have won nine of the 13 matches in Ligue 1 and have netted the ball 25 times and allowed only seven goals. They have lost just one game at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Ligue 1 this season and have been the best home team. Marseille have been very poor on the road, winning only two of the 13 away games in Ligue 1!

Marseille are in 7th place with a decent 39 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is higher though. They have a very slim chance of making it to the top-4. They had a very poor run in January and in the first half of February. After that they took many wins in a row under a new manager, Gasset. He replaced the AC Milan legend, Gennaro Gattuso. Now Marseille are no longer enjoying Gasset's new manager bounce. Indeed, they have not lost three games in a row, all by a margin of two goals. In their last game PSG showed Marseille no mercy, taking a 2-0 win in Marseille. They generated 2.34 in xG – Marseille managed 1.15. Before this Marseille were poor on the road against Rennes, recording only one shot on goal. Rennes generated much more in xG. Before losing to Rennes Marseille lost to Villarreal in Spain in an UEFA Europa League Play Offs second leg clash 1-3. They did, however, qualify 5-3 on aggregate. Lille's recent form is pretty strong, they have not lost any of their last six games. At home they have last suffered a defeat last September, 1-2 to Reims. In their last game they played well, beating a very dangerous team, Lens, 2-1 at home. Lens even played in the Champions League this season! Lille generated 2.02 in xG – the visitors managed only 0.55. Lille also recorded many more goal attempts and shots on goal. Before this they faced Brest, 2nd place with 50 points on the road. Brest were solid favorites in this game on the betting market but it was a balanced battle – 1-1 was the final score. Lille generated marginally more in xG – 0.98-0.93. On the 14th of March they did what was needed, taking 1-1 draw at home against Sturm Graz in the Europa League. Lille crushed the Austrian hosts 3-0 in the first leg after an impressive performance! Odds of around 2.10 are widely available on the home win. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis, they have a 54% chance to take all three points!

里尔vs马赛

北京时间周六凌晨，法甲联赛第28轮里尔和马赛将在皮埃尔-莫罗伊球场(维伦纽夫-阿斯克)展开激战。这是世界上第四好的联盟。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个有希望的投注机会来增加这里的连胜纪录。东道主目前排名第四。他们已经拿到了46分，并且正在努力争取下赛季欧冠的入场券。1胜3负的球队将直接获得入场券，第四名的球队将参加资格赛。里尔的预期点数(xPTS)甚至高于46。他们只进了43个球，并且没有强大的火力，至少与巴黎圣日耳曼相比。然而，他们踢得很有组织，只丢了24个球。仅比积分榜第一的巴黎圣日耳曼少一球。里尔的防线没有明显的弱点。里尔的预期进球数(xG)是47.03，所以他们的进攻还是很不错的。在主场，他们表现得非常强大!事实上，他们在法甲联赛的13场比赛中赢了9场，打进25球，只丢了7球。他们本赛季在皮埃尔-莫罗伊球场只输过一场，是法甲最好的主队。马赛在客场表现很差，在法甲的13场客场比赛中只赢了两场!

马赛以可观的39分排名第七。不过，它们的xpt数量更高。他们进入前四的机会非常渺茫。他们在1月和2月上半月的表现非常糟糕。在那之后，他们在新教练加塞特的带领下取得了许多连胜。他取代了AC米兰的传奇人物加图索。现在马赛不再享受加塞特的新教练带来的反弹。事实上，他们没有连续输掉三场比赛，而且都是以两球的差距输掉的。在上一场比赛中，巴黎圣日耳曼毫不留情地以2:0战胜马赛。他们在xG赛季取得了2.34个进球，马赛取得了1.15个。在此之前，马赛在对阵雷恩的比赛中表现不佳，只有一脚射门。雷恩在《xG》中创造了更多内容。在输给雷恩之前，马赛在欧联杯附加赛次回合1-3输给了西班牙比利亚雷亚尔。然而，他们最终以总比分5-3晋级。里尔最近的状态很好，他们最近6场比赛没有输过一场。在主场，他们上一次遭遇失败是在去年9月，1-2输给兰斯。在上一场比赛中，他们打得很好，在主场2-1击败了一支非常危险的球队蓝斯。朗斯本赛季甚至还参加了欧洲冠军联赛!里尔在2008年进了2.02球，而客队只进了0.55球。里尔也记录了更多的进球尝试和射门。在此之前，他们面对的是排在第二的布雷斯特，目前客场积50分。在这场比赛中，布雷斯特队在博彩市场上被看好，但这是一场势均力敌的比赛——最终比分是1比1。里尔在xG - 0.98-0.93期间的产量略高。3月14日，他们完成了任务，在欧联杯主场1-1战平格拉茨。在第一回合比赛中，里尔凭借出色的表现3-0击败了东道主奥地利。主场获胜的赔率约为2.10。根据我强有力的基于数据的专家分析，他们有54%的机会获得全部三分!