A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 德甲 法兰克福VS不来梅
2024-04-05

Tapio

外籍分析师

德甲

04/06 02:30

已完赛

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Eintracht Frankfurt VS Werder Bremen



Eintracht Frankfurt host Werder Bremen for this German Bundesliga round 28 battle at Deutsche Bank Park early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the third-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. Most importantly we have yet another promising betting opportunity here to increase the winning streak here. The hosts are currently in 6th place in the standings. They have 41 points in their pocket and are fighting hard for a ticket in one of UEFA's club competitions for the next season. It is possible that Germany/Bundesliga will have not four but five places in the UEFA Champions League next season. This is decided based on "UEFA points" during the rest of the season. English German clubs' success in the Europa League and Champions League is the deciding factor. Werder Bremen comfortably sit at 10th place with 30 points to their account. They are safe from relegation but have very slim chances to fight for a top-6 position. I expect the hosts to be slightly the more motivated team here in front of their very loud and enthusiastic fans. Frankfurt have lost just one game at Deutsche Bank Park in this league this season. They have a clear edge over Bremen in all areas of the game here. The hosts have scored 42 goals and have allowed 35, only two more than Bayern Munich, currently in 2nd place. The visitors' score difference is 35:43.

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com Frankfurt are the much bigger team here. Their squad has an estimated market value of some 250 million euros. The Werder Bremen players are valued at around 100 million. Both numbers are, in my expert opinion, a little too low. Odds of around 1.80 are widely available on the home win and this is too high, based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis. Bremen played well in January and February but have been in abysmal form lately. Indeed, they have lost five games in a row! In their last game they lost to Wolfsburg at home 0-2- The visitors recorded many more goal attempts (15-6), shots on goal (5-1), shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, the visitors generated 2.34 in xG – Bremen managed only 0.49. However, Bremen's A. Jung was sent off in the 43rd minute and the visitors' M. Lacroix in the second half. Before this Hannover, who play in 2. Bundesliga, beat Werder Bremen 3-1 in a friendly match. In round 26 Bremen deservedly lost to Union Berlin, 12th place, 1-2 on the road. Werder Bremen recorded only two shots on goal – the hosts had six. Before this, Bremen lost to Dortmund and Hoffenheim. Frankfurt have been in mediocre form recently. They have won two of their last five games. In their last game they faced Union Berlin at home and no goals were scored. Frankfurt had many more goal attempts (18-10), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks (155-87) and especially dangerous attacks (84-34). In round 26 Dortmund beat Frankfurt 3-1 at home as very clear favourites. Dortmund played very well in this game - Frankfurt were not at their best.  Before this Frankfurt took two fine wins – over Hoffenheim 3-1 and Heidenheim 2-1. Against Hoffenheim at home Frankfurt were dominant – generating 3.76 in xG – the visitors managed only 0.56!  Against Heidenheim on the road Frankfurt recorded 2.43 in xG – the hosts managed 1.04.



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法兰克福VS云达不莱梅



北京时间周六凌晨,德甲第28轮,法兰克福主场迎战云达不莱梅。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个有希望的投注机会来增加连胜纪录。东道主目前排名第六。他们已经拿到了41分,并且正在努力争取下赛季欧足联俱乐部比赛的入场券。下赛季,德国/德甲有可能在欧冠联赛中获得不是4个,而是5个席位。这是根据本赛季剩余时间的“欧足联积分”来决定的。英德俱乐部在欧联杯和欧冠的成功是决定性因素。云达不莱梅以30分轻松排在第10位。他们不会降级,但争夺前6名的机会非常渺茫。我希望东道主在他们非常大声和热情的球迷面前表现得更有动力。本赛季,法兰克福在德意志银行公园球场只输过一场比赛。他们在比赛的各个方面都明显领先于不来梅。东道主进了42球丢了35球,只比目前排名第二的拜仁慕尼黑多2球。客队的比分差距是35:43。

根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com法兰克福是这里更大的球队。据估计,这支球队的市值约为2.5亿欧元。云达不莱梅球员的身价约为1亿美元。在我看来,这两个数字都太低了。主场获胜的赔率约为1.80,根据我复杂的、基于数据的分析,这太高了。不来梅在1月和2月踢得很好,但最近状态很糟糕。的确,他们已经连输五场了!在上一场主场0-2输给沃尔夫斯堡的比赛中,客队的进球次数(15-6)、射正次数(5-1)、射偏次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。此外,客队在2016年攻入2.34球,而不来梅仅攻入0.49球。然而,不来梅的荣格在第43分钟被罚下,客队的拉克鲁瓦在下半场被罚下。在此之前汉诺威,谁在2场比赛。德甲,在一场友谊赛中3-1击败云达不莱梅。在第26轮不来梅当之无愧地输给了第12名的柏林联盟,客场1胜2负。云达不莱梅只有2次射门,而东道主则有6次射门。在此之前,不莱梅先后输给了多特蒙德和霍芬海姆。法兰克福最近表现平平。他们在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场面对柏林联盟,没有进球。法兰克福的进球次数(18胜10负)、射正、射偏、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(155胜87负),尤其是危险进攻次数(84胜34负)更多。在第26轮比赛中,多特蒙德主场3-1击败法兰克福,成为夺冠热门。多特蒙德在这场比赛中踢得很好,法兰克福没有发挥出最佳状态。在此之前,法兰克福取得了两场精彩的胜利——3-1战胜霍芬海姆和2-1战胜海登海姆。在主场对阵霍芬海姆的比赛中,法兰克福占据了统治地位——全场进球3.76,而客队只进了0.56!在客场对阵海登海姆的比赛中,法兰克福取得了2.43的进球,而主队取得了1.04的进球。

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