🧨11/8 in my last J1 league bets 🧨
2024-04-03

Przem

外籍分析师

日职

04/03 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Kawasaki has a really good chance to make at least one point in today’s match.


Kawasaki have a really solid record at this stadium as they didn’t in 5 of the last 6 away matches against Yokohama. Overall record against today’s opposition is also good - Kawasaki lost only 3 of the last 13 matches against Yokohama.


It's the early stage of the season, both teams with the same amount of points so far, but according to the expected goals scored model Kawasaki looks better in offense than Yokohama (7.9 vs 6.5). Guests’ also look more solid at the back, according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede less goals than hosts of today’s game (5.6 vs 6.5).


Yokohama came for this game in a very bad mood. In the last round they played on the road against Nagoya, they had a lead of 1:0 in that game, but they lost 1:2 by a goal scored directly from a free kick in additional time. For sure that was a painful loss. Yokohama's defensive formation looked unstable in the current season so far as they failed to keep a clean sheet in all league matches. Hard to imagine that for them today.


Kawasaki in the previous round recorded a big 3:0 win at home against Tokyo. That was excellent performance at both ends of the pitch: 2.95 expected goals scored, 0.15 expected goals conceded. For sure team confidence before today’s game is on the highest possible level. Everything clicks together and they should be able to make many dangerous chances to score against the shaky Yokohama defense.


In those circumstances double chances on the away side looks like a very good option to play.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,川崎很有可能在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。


川崎在这个球场有一个非常稳定的记录,因为他们在最近6场客场对阵横滨的比赛中有5场没有。川崎在对阵横滨的13场比赛中只输了3场,总的战绩也不错。


虽然目前是赛季初期,两队的积分相同,但从预期进球数模型来看,川崎队在进攻端比横滨队要好(7.9比6.5)。客队的后防线看起来也更稳固,根据预期失球模型,他们的失球应该比今天的主队少(5.6比6.5)。


横滨带着非常糟糕的心情来看这场比赛。在上一轮客场对阵名古屋的比赛中,他们曾以1:0领先,但在加时赛中,他们凭借任意球的直接进球以1:2输掉了比赛。毫无疑问,这是一个痛苦的损失。本赛季,横滨的防守阵型看起来不稳定,因为他们未能在所有联赛中保持零封。这对今天的他们来说很难想象。


川崎在上一轮主场3:0大胜东京。这在球场两端都是非常出色的表现:预期进球数为2.95,预期失球数为0.15。毫无疑问,在今天的比赛之前,球队的信心达到了最高水平。一切都配合得很好,他们应该能够制造很多危险的机会来得分,对抗摇摇欲坠的横滨防线。


在这种情况下,客场的双机会看起来是一个很好的选择。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。