In my opinion Everton has a really good chance to make at least one point in today’s match.

Overall Everton have a solid record against Newcastle as they didn’t lose in 26 of the last 35 matches against them.

I trust Everton here. They are only 3 points above the relegation zone so their motivation to win is on the highest possible level. In the current season Everton are playing better on the road than at home. They won 33% of away league matches. Yes, they lost the last 3 consecutive matches, but if you look deeper on it, that was extremely unlucky. Everton lose at home against West Ham, but they had higher expected goals scored value than opponents. They lost 0:2 against Manchester United on the road, but conceded two goals from penalty kicks and had 1.61 expected goals scored value. In the last round Everton lost 1:2 on the road against Bournemouth, but the match was close (1.32 vs 1.01 expected goals scored) and conceded a deciding goal in additional time. Everton are not playing badly at all. Today all key players are available and I have good chances for them to bounce back on a good track.

To be honest, I have to go against Newcastle because their squad problems are enormous. In this game hosts are without 11 players which normally probably should start in the first line up. It’s lineup of unavailable players for today’s game: Pope, Trippier, Botman, Lascelles, Livramento, Joelinton, Tonali, Miley, Almiron, Gordon, Wilson. It’s crazy.

In those circumstances a double chance on the away side looks like a valuable option to play.

在我看来，埃弗顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

总的来说，埃弗顿在对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛中取得了稳定的战绩，他们在过去35场比赛中有26场没有输球。

我相信埃弗顿。他们只比降级区高出3分，所以他们的动力是尽可能高的。这个赛季埃弗顿在客场比在主场打得好。他们赢得了33%的客场比赛。是的，他们输掉了最近三场比赛，但如果你深入研究，那是非常不幸的。埃弗顿在主场输给了西汉姆，但他们的预期进球值高于对手。他们在客场0:2输给了曼联，但在点球大战中丢了两个球，并有1.61个预期进球值。在上一轮比赛中，埃弗顿客场1:2输给了伯恩茅斯，但双方的比分非常接近(1.32比1.01的预期进球数)，并在加时赛中丢了一个决定性的进球。埃弗顿踢得一点也不差。今天所有的关键球员都可以上场，我有很好的机会让他们回到好的轨道上来。

说实话，我必须和纽卡比赛，因为他们的阵容问题太严重了。在这场比赛中，东道主没有11名球员，这些球员通常应该在首发阵容中首发。这是今天比赛不能上场的球员名单:波普、特里皮尔、博特曼、拉塞尔斯、利夫拉曼托、乔林顿、托纳利、麦莉、阿尔米隆、戈登、威尔逊。这太疯狂了。

在这种情况下，客场的双重机会看起来是一个有价值的选择。