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2024-04-01

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外籍分析师

丹麦超

04/02 00:00

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Silkeborg VS Aarhus AGF


Silkeborg welcome Aarhus for this Superliga Championship Group round 23 battle very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is mediocre by European standards. My fans and I can expect a match of pretty average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! Aarhus currently occupy the 5th place in this group. They have a decent 36 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 33.21. They have scored only 26 goals and I have not been at all impressed with their offense. Their attacks are often too slow and predictable. This makes it easy for the opponent to organize the defence. Furthermore, their midfielders lack offensive skill and willingness to take part in attacks in an effective way. Their defence has been solid but they have conceded 21 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 28.78.

Silkeborg have grabbed 27 points but their number of xPT is 30.88. They have netted the ball 28 times and have more firepower than the visitors. Aarhus's defence is a little better though. Silkeborg have allowed 32 goals. With the expected lineups Aarhus are slightly the better team here but taking the substantial home advantage into account the hosts deserve to be narrow favourites. The bookies disagree and offer Aarhus odds of only around 2.45 to take all three points. Silkeborg +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here. Silkeborg have not been in good form results-wise lately. However, the bookies have over-reacted to these results. Silkeborg have had some bad luck in many games recently. In round 22 they lost to Bröndby, currently in 2nd place, 1-4 away from home but the expected goals (xG) numbers were 1.23-0.54. Before this they lost to Aarhus at home 0-1 but had 57% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (10-4), shots on goal, shots off target (4-0) and attacks – 154-104. They also generated more in xG than Aarhus - 0.77-0.31 to be precise. In their last game Silkeborg crushed Fredericia 6-1 at home! It was a Landspokal Cup 1st leg game. Silkeborg had eight shots on goal – the visitors had only one. Aarhus's recent record is much better but they have also had some luck on their side in many games. In their last game they beat Nordsjaelland 3-2 away from home in the Landspokal Cup but the hosts recorded many more goal attempts, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 78-31. Before this they defeated Hvidovre 1-0 at home as big favourites on the betting market. They did not impress me as a whole – and recorded only one more goal attempt than the visitors. Hvidovre, in fact, even recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks!



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西尔克堡VS奥尔胡斯AGF


北京时间周二凌晨,锡尔克堡欢迎奥胡斯参加这场超级联赛小组赛第23轮的比赛。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是中等的。我和我的球迷可以期待一场以这个联盟的标准来看质量相当一般的比赛!最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!奥胡斯目前在这一组中排名第五。他们的账户上有相当不错的36分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)只有33.21。他们只进了26个球,我对他们的进攻一点也不印象深刻。他们的攻击通常过于缓慢和可预测。这使得对手很容易组织防守。此外,他们的中场缺乏进攻技巧,也不愿意以有效的方式参与进攻。他们的防守很稳固,但是他们丢了21个球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是28.78。

锡尔克堡拿到了27分,但他们的积分是30.88分。他们有28次进球,火力比客队强。不过奥胡斯的防守要好一点。锡尔克堡丢了32球。根据预期的阵容,奥胡斯队在这里稍显优势,但考虑到主场的优势,东道主应该以微弱优势取胜。博彩公司不同意,并提供奥胡斯赔率只有2.45左右,以获得所有三分。西尔克堡+0.5个进球显然是明智的选择。西尔克堡最近在成绩方面表现不佳。然而,博彩公司对这些结果反应过度。Silkeborg最近在许多游戏中运气都不太好。在第22轮比赛中,他们客场1-4负于目前排名第二的Bröndby,但预期进球数(xG)为1.23-0.54。在此之前,他们在主场0-1不敌奥胡斯,但控球率为57%,进球次数(10-4)、射正、射偏(4-0)和进攻次数(154-104)也更多。他们在xG的产出也比奥胡斯多——准确地说是0.77-0.31。在他们的上一场比赛中,西尔克堡主场6-1击败了弗雷德里西亚!这是陆地杯第一回合的比赛。西尔克堡有8次射门,客队只有1次。奥胡斯最近的战绩要好得多,但他们在许多比赛中也有一些运气。在上一场Landspokal杯比赛中,他们客场3-2击败了北荷兰,但主队的进球次数、进攻次数、尤其是危险进攻次数都更多——78比31。在此之前,他们在主场1-0击败了赫维多夫雷,成为博彩市场上的大热门。他们整体上没有给我留下深刻的印象,只比客队多进了一个球。事实上,Hvidovre甚至记录了更多的攻击和危险的攻击!

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