STRONG results in this league! $$$
2024-04-01

Tapio

外籍分析师

意甲

04/02 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Inter Milan VS Empoli


Inter and Empoli lock horns in this Serie A round 30 battle at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) in Milan early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best league on the planet. My fans and I can expect a match of decent quality by this league's standards here. There is, of course, a clear difference in class between the two teams here.. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! We have won a strong eight of the last 10 picks betting on this league! Inter currently top the Serie A standings and have been the best team in this league this season. However, they are not as strong as the standings and other statistics would suggest. Their chance of lifting the trophy is over 99% as they have 76 points to their account. AC Milan, in second place, have grabbed 65 points. Teams have 8-9 matches left to play. Inter's number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 66.11. They have netted the ball 71 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is 59.87. Inter's defence has been solid – no denying this. It has no obvious weaknesses.They have allowed only 14 goals but I want to highlight that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much higher – 25.02 to be precise. Inter have been too hot in many matches this season and this is the case here as well. We have to oppose them here. Of course they are big favourites to win but their odds are way too low, based on my sophisticated analysis. We will take the Empoli +2.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning – once again! Empoli have not lost any of their last 10 games by a margin of more than one goal! Many Inter players were on international duty recently and are probably not as fresh as the Empoli players. Some squad rotation by Inter's coach would not be a big surprise here.

Empoli are in a fierce struggle against relegation. They currently occupy the 18th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. The teams that finish in 18th-20th place are relegated to Serie B for next season. Indeed, Empoli must be extremely motivated here. I believe they have an excellent chance of not being relegated. Indeed, they can improve in all areas of the game. Moreover, they have been very unlucky in terms of xPTS. They have just 25 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS is 34.21. They have scored only 23 goals and their offense is not, in all honesty great, but their number of xG is still 32.67. They will surely be extremely defensive here and are unlikely to change their tactic a lot even if they were to end up trailing by a margin of one or two goals. They have conceded 43 goals and their number of xGA is 40.33. Inter were impressive at the beginning of this year but Atletico Madrid, clear underdogs in the match up, exposed some of their weaknesses in the Champions League and qualified over Inter 3-2 on aggregate. Surely a massive disappointment to Inter. Inter were strong in the first leg at home but Atletico deserved to win in Spain – generating much more in xG than Inter. In their last game Inter played a disappointing 1-1 draw at home against Napoli. Inter were priced around 1.50 to win the game by the bookies. Inter generated only a little more in xG in this game – 1.41-1.38 to be precise. They had more goal attempts but Napoli had 51% ball possession and recorded many more attacks – 97-68. Empoli have lost three times, taken three wins and played three draws in their last nine matches. In their last game they were not at their best and lost Empoli, currently in 4th place, 0-1 as clear underdogs. Before this Milan were too strong but Empoli kept it close – losing only 0-1 in Milan as big underdogs. In February Empoli played well, not losing a single game!



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国际米兰VS恩波利


北京时间周二凌晨,国米和恩波利将在米兰圣西罗球场展开意甲第30轮激战。这是世界上第四好的联盟。我和我的球迷可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高质量比赛。当然,这两支队伍在阶级上有明显的差别。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!我们在过去的10次选秀中赢了8次!国际米兰目前在意甲联赛中排名第一,并且是本赛季意甲联赛中表现最好的球队。然而,他们并不像排名和其他统计数据所显示的那样强大。他们举起奖杯的机会超过99%,因为他们的账户上有76分。排名第二的AC米兰已经拿到了65分。球队还有8-9场比赛要打。国米的预期积分(xPTS)“只有”66.11。虽然取得了71次进球,但预期进球(xG)却只有59.87个。国米的防守很稳固,这是不可否认的。它没有明显的弱点。他们只丢了14个球,但我想强调的是,他们的预期失球数(xGA)要高得多——准确地说是25.02个。国米在本赛季的很多比赛中都太热了,这里也是如此。我们必须在这里反对他们。当然,他们是获胜的大热门,但根据我的复杂分析,他们的赔率太低了。我们将选择恩波利+2.5个进球障碍的选项,有很大的机会获胜——再一次!恩波利在过去的10场比赛中没有输过一球以上的比赛!很多国米球员最近都参加了国家队比赛,可能没有恩波利的球员那么新鲜。国米教练的一些阵容轮换在这里不会是一个很大的惊喜。

恩波利正在为保级进行激烈的斗争。他们目前在这个联赛中排名第18位,共有20家俱乐部。排在第18 -20名的球队将在下个赛季降级到乙级。的确,恩波利在这里一定干劲十足。我相信他们很有可能不降级。事实上,他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。此外,他们在xPTS方面非常不走运。他们的口袋里只有25分,但他们的得分是34.21分。他们只进了23个球,他们的进攻也不是很好,但他们的xG数仍然是32.67。他们在这里肯定会非常防守,即使他们最终落后一两个球,他们也不太可能改变他们的战术。他们丢了43个球,xGA是40.33。国米在今年年初给人留下了深刻的印象,但在比赛中明显处于劣势的马竞,在冠军联赛中暴露了他们的一些弱点,并以总比分3-2击败国米出线。这对国米来说无疑是一个巨大的失望。国米在主场的首回合表现强劲,但马竞理应在西班牙获胜——在xG比国米贡献更多。在上一场比赛中,国米在主场1-1战平了那不勒斯,结果令人失望。博彩公司给国米开出了1.50英镑的胜率。国米在这场比赛中只产生了一点点xG,准确地说是1.41-1.38。他们有更多的进球尝试,但那不勒斯有51%的控球率,并且有更多的进攻记录——97比68。恩波利在最近的9场比赛中输了3场,取得了3胜3平。在上一场比赛中,他们状态不佳,输掉了恩波利,恩波利目前排名第四,0-1明显处于劣势。在此之前,米兰太强大了,但恩波利把比分压得很紧——在米兰的比赛中,恩波利只以0比1输掉了比赛。二月份恩波利踢得很好,一场也没输!

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