8/10 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-04-01

Tapio

外籍分析师

意甲

04/01 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Sassuolo vs Udinese


Sassuolo and Udinese lock horns in this Serie A round 30 battle at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore late Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best league in the world. My fans and I can expect a match of somewhat low quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won a strong eight of the last 10 picks betting on this league! Sassuolo currently occupy the 19th place in the standings . A total of 20 clubs play in this league. The teams that finish 18-20th place will be relegated to Serie B for next season. Both Sassuolo and Udinese are at risk of suffering this awful fate. Udinese are in 14th place but have just two more points in their pocket than Frosinone, currently in 18th place. The hosts have grabbed 23 points. Indeed, Udinese surely feel much more safe than Sassuolo in terms of not being relegated.. Taking this into account I believe the hosts are a little more motivated – or perhaps "desperate" would be the more accurate word here. Last season Sassuolo played pretty well and ended up in 13th place but this season has been a disappointment, especially results-wise. It is important that Sassuolo's number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher than 23 – 33.02 to be precise. They have netted the ball 33 times and their number of expected goals (xG) 36.32. Their defence has not been great – no denying this but can improve in this area of the game. They have conceded 56 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 46.45.

Udinese's offense has been very lame this season. Indeed, it lacks speed, individual skill, creativity and passing accuracy at key moments. Their midfielders do not take part in attacking actively enough. They have scored only 28 goals. Their defence is not solid at all – they have allowed 44 goals. Udinese, too, have been unlucky in terms of xPTS. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are slightly the bigger team here. Their squad has an estimated total market value of some 140 million euros. Udinese's number is about 135 million. Even so, with the expected lineups I see Udinese as marginally the better team here. However, with the substantial home advantage – based on my sophisticated expert analysis - the hosts deserve to be narrow favourites. The bookies disagree and offer Udinese odds of some 2.50 to take all three points. We will take the Sassuolo +0.5 goals handicap option. Neither team have been in good form recently. Indeed, both teams have won only one of their last five games. Sassuolo lost their last game 0-1 away from home against Roma. However, Roma are a big team and have been in good form under Daniele de Rossi. Sassuolo were priced around 8.00 to win the game. Roma recorded 10 goal attempts – Sassuolo, too, had their chances and could have grabbed a draw. Roma generated only a little more in xG – 0.74-0.67. Before this Sassuolo beat Frosinone 1-0 at home and deserved the win. They generated a little more in xG. Udinese have lost two of their last matches. In their most recent game they lost to Padova 2-3 at a neutral location. Padova play in Serie C. Before this Udinese were lame at home – losing to Torino 0-2 at home. They recorded only one shot on goal. The visitors managed five. Torino's xG was 1.33 – Udinese managed 0.41.



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萨索洛vs乌迪内斯


北京时间周日上午晚些时候,萨索洛和乌迪内斯将在马佩球场与三色城进行意甲第30轮的较量。这是世界上第四好的联赛。我的球迷和我可以期待一场比赛的质量在这个联盟的标准有点低。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在过去的10次选秀中赢了8次!萨索洛目前排名第19位。总共有20个俱乐部参加这个联赛。排名第18-20位的球队将在下个赛季降级到乙级。萨索洛和乌迪内斯都有可能遭受这种可怕的命运。乌迪内斯排在第14位,但只比目前排在第18位的弗罗西诺内多两分。东道主已经拿到了23分。的确,乌迪内斯肯定比萨索洛更安全,因为他们不会降级。考虑到这一点,我相信东道主更有动力——或许用“绝望”这个词更准确。上赛季萨索洛踢得很好,最终排名第13,但本赛季令人失望,尤其是在结果方面。重要的是,萨索洛的期望值(xPTS)要比23 - 33.02高得多。他们有33次进球,他们的预期进球数(xG)为36.32。他们的防守并不是很好——不可否认,但他们在这方面还可以提高。他们丢了56个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是46.45个。

本赛季乌迪内斯的进攻很差劲。事实上,它缺乏速度、个人技术、创造力和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的中场球员参与进攻的积极性不够。他们只进了28个球。他们的防守一点也不稳固——他们丢了44个球。乌迪内斯在xPTS方面也不走运。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主在这里的规模略大一些。据估计,这支球队的总市值约为1.4亿欧元。乌迪内斯的人数约为1.35亿。即便如此,在预期的阵容中,我认为乌迪内斯略微更好。然而,根据我老练的专家分析,东道主拥有巨大的主场优势,应该以微弱优势取胜。博彩公司不同意,并提供乌迪内斯的赔率约为2.50,以获得全部三分。我们将采用萨索洛+0.5个进球障碍选项。两队最近的状态都不太好。事实上,两队在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场。萨索洛上一场客场0-1输给了罗马。然而,罗马是一支强大的球队,在德罗西的带领下一直保持着良好的状态。萨索洛赢得比赛的价格在8英镑左右。罗马有10次进球尝试,萨索洛也有机会扳平比分。罗马在xG - 0.74-0.67赛季只多了一点。在此之前,萨索洛在主场1-0击败了弗罗西诺内,赢得了比赛。它们在xG中产生了更多。乌迪内斯最近输掉了两场比赛。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在一个中立的地方以2比3输给了帕多瓦。在此之前,乌迪内斯在主场0-2输给了都灵。他们只射门一次。来访者设法弄了五个。都灵的xG是1.33,乌迪内斯是0.41。

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