End of season in Turkey. High odds. 加拉塔萨雷vs玛拉蒂亚
2021-05-15

Pavel

盈利高手

土超

05/16 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Probably, the most exciting games of the day will be held in Turkey, where Besiktas and Galatasaray are going to cross swords indirectly for the title with Fenerbahce watching from a distance.

The previous round had delivered amazingly unexpected results as 2 of 3 top table teams lost their key games - Besiktas failed to take advantage of unmotivated (according to the table) Karagumruk (1-2) and Fenerbahce to decent Sivasspor (1-2). Both played their games at home and yet could not make amends. What’s more Besiktas even had a 1 man advantage over Karagumruk on 1-1 scoreline and still found a way to lose the match.

I believe Galatasaray had their influence on those shocking outcomes. It is absolutely uncommon for a club of Karagumruk stature to be unmotivated to come and take 3 points away from title contender with 2 games remaining in the season. I would not state the same regarding Sivasspor, however - Fenerbahce is simply not good enough to be a serious contender for the title.

With 1 round remaining Besiktas and Galatasaray are now tied on 81 points and both face NTPF (nothing to play for) opponents - Goztepe and Yeni respectively. The key thing in the whole premise is that Besiktas and Gala are tied on all tie-breaker rules - 1) Points; 2) Head-to-head points; 3) Head-to-head goal difference; 4) Head-to-head goals scored;

They have 3 points each in h2h games; goals difference is +2 / +2; and h2h scored goals is 3 and 3.

The 5th tie-breaker rule is the overall goals difference - Besiktas is +44, while Galatasaray is +42.

This means that Galatasaray have to win their game against unmotivated Yeni Malatyaspor by at least 3 goals to stand a chance of taking over Besiktas and winning the title. It would not be a miracle by any means, especially not by Turkish Super Liga standards, where I’ve seen bigger jaw dropping things happen. I am positive Galatasaray will do their part of the job and win this final game by a 3+ goals difference, probably, allowing Yeni to score a consolation goal as well.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

当天最激动人心的比赛将在土耳其举行,贝西克塔斯和加拉塔萨雷将为争夺冠军间接交锋。

上一轮的结果出人意料,前三名中有两名输掉了关键的比赛——贝西克塔斯没能抓住毫无动力的卡拉古姆鲁克(1-2)和费内巴切(1-2)的机会,输给体面的西瓦斯波尔(1-2)。两人都在家里玩游戏,但却无法弥补过失。更重要的是,贝西克塔斯甚至在1比1的比分中对卡拉古姆鲁克有1人的优势,但仍然找到了输掉比赛的方法。

我相信加拉塔萨雷对这些令人震惊的结果有影响。在赛季还剩两场比赛的情况下,卡拉古姆鲁克这样的俱乐部没有动力从冠军争夺者手中夺走3分,这是绝对不寻常的。但是对于西瓦斯波尔,我不会说同样的话——费内巴切还不够好,不足以成为冠军的有力竞争者。

在剩下的1轮比赛中,贝西克塔斯和加拉塔萨雷现在平分81分,他们都面临着NTPF的对手——格兹特佩和耶尼。整个前提的关键是贝西克塔斯和加拉在所有的平分规则上是相同的:1)分数;2)直接点;3)头球得分差异;4)面对面得分;

他们在h2h比赛中各得3分;目标差异是+2 / +2;h2h得分是3和3。

第5个规则是总进球的差异-贝西克塔斯是+44,而加拉塔萨雷是+42。

这意味着加拉塔萨雷必须以至少3个进球战胜缺乏动力的马拉蒂亚斯波,才有机会取代贝西克塔斯并赢得冠军。无论如何,这都不是一个奇迹,尤其是以土耳其超级联赛的标准来看,在那里我看到过更令人瞠目的事情发生。我很肯定加拉塔萨雷会做好他们的工作,以3+的差距赢得最后一场比赛,可能会让叶尼也打进一个安慰性的进球。

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