Millwall VS West Bromwich Albion

Millwall host West Brom for this Championship round 39 battle at The Den Friday evening Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of English football. The Championship is definitely the best second tier on the planet! My fans and I can expect a match of better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very promising betting opportunity here. My fans and I have won an impressive six picks in row betting on this league! There is a very clear difference in class between the two teams here. West Brom occupy the 5th place in the standings with a fine 66 points. The teams who finish 3-6th will play in the Play Offs at the end of the season. Hull, currently in 7th place have 58 points to their account but have played one game less than West Brom. Indeed, the visitors need points and must be extremely motivated here! West Brom have played in the Premier League, the best league in the world, in the past. They have netted the ball 59 times and their number of expected goals (xG) is 64.16. They have conceded only 36 goals. This is the 3rd-lowest number in this league. Their defence does not have any obvious weaknesses. The West Brom defenders make very few silly mistakes. The midfielders - and sometimes even the strikers – actively take part in defending. Their offensive players are not quite top-level in terms of individual skills but their offensive structure is great. I also trust their coach a lot – especially in terms of tactical skills!  Millwall are having a disappointing season and are in 16th place in this league with a total of 24 clubs. The bottom-three clubs suffer this awful fate. Millwall should be safe from relegation. As a result they do not have that much to play for here and the visitors have an edge in motivation. Millwall have only 43 points to their account and their number of expected points (xPTS) is even smaller. Their offense lacks individual skill, speed, creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments. Their offensive structure is not great either.. Even Huddersfield, in 22th place, have scored 42 goals but Millwall have netted the ball only 36 times! Their defence, on the other hand, is not awful – they have conceded 50 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 55.43.

West Brom have been in strong form lately - winning four of their last six games. In their last game they were not at their best but still beat Bristol City 2-0 at home. They generated much more in xG than the visitors. Before this they crushed Huddersfield 4-1 on the road! Most bookies saw this game as more or less a coin toss – a 50/50 game without a favourite offering both teams odds around 2.70 to take all three points. This match was yet another example of the bookmakers underestimating West Brom. Odds of around 2.40 are widely available on them to beat Millwall here and this is, based on my sophisticated expert analysis, clearly too high! With the expected lineups they have a 48.50% chance to win. Millwall have won three of their last 13 games but have achieved some decent results recently. However, they have had some luck on their side in many of their last five matches. In their most recent game Leeds were simply too strong and Millwall lost 0-2 away from home. Leeds, a strong team, generated much more in xG in this game and also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks (13-2) as well as attacks. Before this Millwall beat Birmingham 1-0 at home but the game could easily have gone either way. Indeed, the visitors recorded more goal attempts (16-12) and generated more in xG – 0.95-0.48. Millwall had more shots on goals but the visitors had 52% ball possession. In round 36 Millwall were very lucky to take a point from Blackburn on the road. It was a 1-1 draw. The hosts had close to 70% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (11-3), shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, corner kicks, attacks (148-88) as well as dangerous attacks – 68-20! I want to highlight that 20 dangerous attacks is a very low number in professional football! I will post one more pick on this league today!

米尔沃尔VS西布朗维奇

北京时间周五晚上，米尔沃尔将在主场迎战西布朗，进行英冠第39轮的比赛。这是英国足球的第二高水平。冠军赛绝对是这个星球上最好的第二梯队!我和我的球迷可以期待一场比这个联盟的平均水平更好的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有希望的赌博机会。我的球迷和我已经赢得了令人印象深刻的连续六个选择投注这个联赛!这两个队在阶级上有非常明显的差别。西布朗以66分的好成绩排在积分榜第五。排名第3-6的球队将在赛季结束后参加附加赛。赫尔城目前排名第七，积分58分，但比西布朗少踢了一场比赛。的确，游客需要积分，必须在这里非常积极!西布朗曾经参加过英超联赛，这是世界上最好的联赛。进球59次，预期进球(xG) 64.16个。他们只丢了36个球。这是联盟第三低的数字。他们的防守没有明显的弱点。西布朗的后卫很少犯愚蠢的错误。中场球员——有时甚至是前锋——积极参与防守。他们的进攻球员在个人技术上不是顶级的，但他们的进攻结构很好。我也非常信任他们的教练——尤其是在战术技巧方面!米尔沃尔这个赛季令人失望，在联赛中排名第16位，总共有24家俱乐部。排名倒数三名的俱乐部遭受着这种可怕的命运。米尔沃尔应该不会降级。结果他们在这里没有太多的比赛，客队在动力方面有优势。米尔沃尔只有43分，他们的预期积分(xPTS)更少。他们的进攻缺乏个人技术、速度、创造力和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的进攻结构也不太好。即使排在第22位的哈德斯菲尔德也进了42球，但米尔沃尔只进了36球!另一方面，他们的防守并不糟糕——他们丢了50个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是55.43。

西布朗最近状态很好，在过去的六场比赛中赢了四场。在上一场比赛中，他们虽然状态不佳，但仍然在主场2-0击败了布里斯托尔城。他们在xG中产生的比访客多得多。在此之前，他们在客场以4比1大胜哈德斯菲尔德!大多数博彩公司认为这场比赛或多或少就像掷硬币一样——一场50/50的比赛，没有最受欢迎的赌注，两队都有2.70左右的赔率获得全部三分。这场比赛是博彩公司低估西布朗的又一个例子。他们赢米尔沃尔的赔率普遍在2.40左右，根据我老练的专家分析，这显然太高了!根据预期的阵容，他们有48.50%的机会获胜。米尔沃尔在过去的13场比赛中赢了3场，但最近取得了一些不错的成绩。然而，在过去的五场比赛中，他们的运气都不错。在最近的一场比赛中，利兹太强大了，米尔沃尔客场0-2输掉了比赛。利兹，一支强大的球队，在这场比赛中创造了更多的进球机会，也创造了更多的进球尝试，射门，角球(13-2)以及进攻。在这场比赛之前，米尔沃尔主场1-0击败伯明翰，但比赛很容易就会发生两种情况。事实上，客队在xG - 0.95-0.48的比赛中有更多的进球尝试(16-12)和更多的进球。米尔沃尔的射门次数更多，但客队的控球率为52%。在第36轮的比赛中，米尔沃尔很幸运地从布莱克本那里拿到了一分。双方1比1战平。东道主的控球率接近70%，并且有更多的进球尝试(11胜3负)、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、角球次数、进攻次数(148胜88负)以及危险进攻(68胜20负)!我想强调的是，20次危险进攻在职业足球中是非常低的数字!今天我将在这个联盟上再发表一个选择!