Wales VS Poland

Wales and Poland lock horns in this UEFA EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final at Cardiff City Stadium very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. My fans and I can expect a match of better than average quality by this competition's standards here. The winner of this match will qualify for the EURO 2024 tournament which will be played in Germany this summer. Indeed, the stakes are extremely high and the goal expectancy here is low – even lower than the bookies estimate. There is not a big difference in pure class between these two teams. However, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Poland have a much more valuable squad. Indeed, their squad has an estimated value of about 230 million euros. The Welsh squad, on the other hand, is valued at around 175 million. This is too high in my expert opinion. Around 145 million would be a more realistic number. Some of the key Polish players are much better in terms of individual skill than any of Wales's players. Robert Lewandowski is past his prime already but he is still the visitors' most important player. He has scored a good number of goals for Barcelona, the reigning Spanish LaLiga champions, this season. He struggled a bit in the early season but has been in good form recently1 Zielinski, who plays for Napoli, the reigning Italian Serie A champions is also worth mentioning here. He is a fast and skilled player and will most probably cause some problems to Wales's defence here.. Wales' level has dropped after their only world-class player, Gareth Bale, retired after the World Cup 2022 which was played in Qatar. Wales were lame in this tournament – losing two games and taking one draw. They even lost to Iran 0-2. Poland were not overly impressive in Qatar either but performed better than Wales. They qualified for the Play offs but lost to the eventual finalists, France, 1-3.

Wales's FIFA ranking is 29th at the moment – but based on my expert opinion this is a little way too high! 35-37th would be a more realistic ranking for this small country. They have many players from the English Premier League and the Championship but these players are nothing special by international standards.. Poland, on the other hand, are in 30th place in the FIFA ranking. This is more or less correct in my opinion. Wales beat my home country, Finland, in their last game last week. Wales did play quite well and deserved to win the game. However, I want to highlight that Finland have been in decline since EURO 2020, which was played in 2021 because of Covid-19. Finland played even below their normal level in this game and Wales eventually took a 4-1 win. However, the final score is still misleading. Indeed, Finland had 57% ball possession. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.78-1.43 in Wales's favour. Wales recorded two more goal attempts than Finland but Finland recorded many more attacks (102-63) as well as dangerous attacks! Wales were very clear favourites in this game – priced around 1.80 to win in the 90 minutes of play by the bookies. Poland have not lost any of their last five games and should, based on my strongly data-based analysis, be narrow favourites here! They have an excellent chance of at least not losing during the 90 minutes of play. We will take the +0.5 goals handicap option. They crushed Estonia 5-1 at home in their most recent game. They had 74% ball possession and recorded 25 goal attempts - Estonia had one. Poland also had 10 shots on goal – Estonia managed just one. Furthermore, Poland recorded 649 completed passes – Estonia had only 77! Estonia only managed 0.10 in xG in this game. Their player, M. Paskotsi, was sent off in the 27th minute though. Before this Poland easily beat Latvia 2-0 in Warsaw in a friendly game.

威尔士VS波兰

北京时间周三凌晨，威尔士和波兰将在卡迪夫城体育场举行2024年欧洲杯预选赛决赛。我和我的球迷可以期待一场比比赛平均水平更好的比赛。这场比赛的获胜者将有资格参加今年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯。事实上，这里的赌注非常高，期望进球很低——甚至低于博彩公司的估计。这两支球队在纯粹的水平上没有太大的差别。然而，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的说法，波兰拥有更有价值的阵容。事实上，他们的球队估计价值约为2.3亿欧元。另一方面，威尔士队的价值约为1.75亿英镑。以我的专业意见，这个价格太高了。大约1.45亿是更现实的数字。就个人技术而言，波兰的一些关键球员比威尔士的任何球员都要好得多。罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基已经过了他的黄金时期，但他仍然是客队最重要的球员。本赛季，他为西甲卫冕冠军巴塞罗那队打进了不少进球。他在赛季初有些挣扎，但最近状态不错。齐林斯基效力于意大利意甲卫冕冠军那不勒斯，这里也值得一提。他是一名速度快、技术娴熟的球员，很可能会给威尔士的后防线带来一些问题。威尔士唯一的世界级球员加雷斯·贝尔在2022年卡塔尔世界杯后退役，威尔士的水平有所下降。威尔士在这次比赛中表现很差，输了两场比赛，只取得了一场平局。他们甚至以0比2输给了伊朗。波兰队在卡塔尔的表现也不尽如人意，但比威尔士队表现要好。他们晋级附加赛，但以1比3输给了最终的决赛对手法国队。

威尔士目前在国际足联的排名是第29位——但根据我的专家意见，这有点太高了!对于这个小国来说，35-37是一个更现实的排名。他们有很多来自英超和英冠的球员，但以国际标准来看，这些球员没什么特别的。另一方面，波兰在国际足联的排名中排名第30位。在我看来这或多或少是正确的。威尔士在上周的最后一场比赛中击败了我的祖国芬兰。威尔士踢得很好，应该赢得这场比赛。然而，我想强调的是，自2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯以来，芬兰一直在走下坡路。芬兰队在这场比赛中的表现甚至低于他们的正常水平，威尔士最终以4比1获胜。然而，最终的分数仍然具有误导性。事实上，芬兰有57%的控球率。威尔士队的预期进球数为2.78比1.43。威尔士的进球次数比芬兰多两次，但芬兰的进攻次数要多得多(102比63)，而且是危险的进攻!威尔士在这场比赛中是非常明显的大热门——博彩公司在90分钟的比赛中以1.8英镑的价格获胜。波兰队在最近五场比赛中没有输过一场，根据我对数据的分析，波兰队在这里应该是微弱的热门!至少在90分钟的比赛中，他们有很大的机会不输球。我们将采用+0.5个目标障碍选项。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以5比1击败了爱沙尼亚。他们有74%的控球率，有25次射门，而爱沙尼亚只有1次。波兰队也有10次射门，而爱沙尼亚队只有1次射门。此外，波兰队完成了649次传球，而爱沙尼亚只有77次!爱沙尼亚在这场比赛中只有0.10的xG。然而，他们的球员M.帕斯科茨在第27分钟被罚下。在此之前，波兰在华沙的一场友谊赛中以2:0轻松击败拉脱维亚。