In my opinion Poland has a really good chances to at least avoid loss in this game.
Poland has a significant mental advantage entering this game. In 2022, they won both matches against Wales (UEFA Nations). In Cardiff, Poland triumphed 1:0.
There is only one position between the two teams in the FIFA rankings. For me, this is a close match on paper. Despite their home advantage, Wales should not be considered favorites in this match.
When I look closer at both teams, I notice a significant difference in terms of quality and potential. Szczesny, a Polish goalkeeper who plays for Juventus, has maintained a clean sheet 12 times this season in Serie A. Wales' four goalkeepers have not played a single minute for their respective clubs (!!!). They are all second or third choices at their respective teams. Wales, like Poland, played with three at the back in their last game. Wales' finest defender and captain is Tottenham's Davies, yet he is not the first choice there. In comparison, Poland has Kiwior from Arsenal who is currently in excellent form. In the middle zone, Wales uses Championship players, while Poland has Zielinski from Napoli (he will play for Inter next season). Obviously, Wales striker Brennan Johnson is a promising youngster, but Lewandowski from Barcelona is still at least a class above.
Poland is a superior squad; they arrived here in high spirits after a good win over Estonia, and they have all the weapons to cause major problems for Wales. They won against them twice not long ago and can do so again today. Double chance on the away side appears to be an excellent option.
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在我看来,波兰在这场比赛中至少有很好的机会避免输球。
波兰队进入这场比赛有很大的心理优势。2022年,他们赢得了对威尔士的两场比赛。在卡迪夫,波兰以1:0获胜。
在国际足联的排名中,这两支球队之间只有一个位置。对我来说,这在纸上是一场势均力敌的比赛。尽管拥有主场优势,但威尔士在这场比赛中不应该被视为夺冠热门。
当我仔细观察这两支球队时,我注意到他们在质量和潜力方面的巨大差异。什琴斯尼,一名效力于尤文图斯的波兰门将,本赛季在意甲联赛中保持了12次零封对手。威尔士的四名门将没有为各自的俱乐部打过一分钟(!!)他们都是各自球队的第二或第三选择。威尔士和波兰队一样,在上一场比赛中使用了三后卫。威尔士最好的后卫和队长是热刺的戴维斯,但他并不是首选。相比之下,波兰队有来自阿森纳的基维尔,他目前状态非常好。在中场,威尔士使用英冠球员,波兰使用来自那不勒斯的齐林斯基(他将在下赛季为国米效力)。显然,威尔士前锋布伦南·约翰逊是一个很有前途的年轻人,但巴塞罗那的莱万多夫斯基至少比他高一个档次。
波兰是一支优秀的球队;他们在大胜爱沙尼亚之后兴致勃勃地来到这里,他们拥有给威尔士制造大麻烦的所有武器。不久前他们赢了他们两次,今天他们可以再赢一次。在客场获得不败的机会似乎是一个很好的选择。